FanDuel Archives - Boardroom https://boardroom.tv/tag/fanduel/ Sports Business News Thu, 29 Feb 2024 19:32:04 +0000 en-US hourly 1 Boardroom Brand Builders Parlay: Curry, Klay Headline 4-Leg Play from FanDuel https://boardroom.tv/fanduel-brand-builders-parlay-stephen-curry-klay-thompson-nba-warriors/ Thu, 29 Feb 2024 18:31:45 +0000 https://boardroom.tv/?p=87354 Breaking down Stephen Curry and Klay Thompson's business & endorsement portfolios as part of FanDuel’s Boardroom Brand Builders Parlay.

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]]> Breaking down Stephen Curry and Klay Thompson’s business & endorsement portfolios as part of FanDuel’s Boardroom Brand Builders Parlay.

Madison Square Garden has always been a special place to play for Stephen Curry.

Curry’s 54-point performance on Feb. 27, 2013, at MSG proved to the world he was a force to be reckoned with as a superstar, and on Dec. 14, 2021, Curry broke Ray Allen’s all-time 3-point record at The Garden in a nationally televised game on TNT. Just over 11 years to the day of his king-making performance at the Mecca, which remained his career high until 2021, Steph and the Golden State Warriors visit the ascendant New York Knicks in prime time on TNT.

In collaboration with our friends at FanDuel Sportsbook, we put together a four-leg parlay fans can wager on Thursday on the FanDuel Sportsbook App and retail locations across the country. The Boardroom Brand Builders Parlay celebrates Curry and his legendary Warriors running mate Klay Thompson — NBA champions who are successful entrepreneurs off the court who can help you win big Thursday thanks to their amazing contributions on the hardwood.

All betting odds are current as of 2 p.m. EST on Feb. 29

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Stephen Curry, PG, Golden State Warriors

Widely regarded as the greatest shooter of all time, the four-time NBA champion, two-time MVP, nine-time All-NBA, and 10-time All-Star has also developed quite the investment portfolio. Curry’s SC30 Inc. combines his endorsement, investment, and philanthropic endeavors into one company.

His Curry Brand sneakers and apparel imprint with Under Armour signed Sacramento Kings star guard De’Aaron Fox in October as the first signature athlete besides Curry himself. You may have seen Steph recently in commercials for CarMax, Subway, and Chase, and his investment portfolio includes TMRW Sports, Tonal, Squire, and Super.com.

Curry’s Unanimous Media, per its website, aims to “develop, create, and distribute compelling family, faith, and sports based content for all” in film and TV, podcasting, publishing, and gaming. Projects have included ABC‘s mini golf show Holey Moley, HBO Max‘s celebrity couple game show About Last Night, and the 2022 Audible podcast series The Greatest Sports Stories Never Told.

In 2021, the 35-year-old signed a four-year, $215 million contract extension that expires in 2026. While he won’t be giving you any of his contract money, you can make some cash off Steph’s strong performance on Thursday.

Boardroom Bet: 25+ points (-200 via FanDuel Sportsbook), 6+ assists (+135 via FanDuel Sportsbook)

Klay Thompson, SG, Golden State Warriors

While Curry is widely regarded as the best basketball shooter who ever lived, Thompson is among the all-time greats in this regard as well. The final year of Klay’s five-year, $189 million has been a turbulent one, transitioning nicely to a bench role while his 3-point shooting percentage dips to a career-low 37.2%.

The 34-year-old remains as popular as ever inside and outside the Bay Area, with a strong group of investments and endorsements to match. Thompson has a signature shoe deal with Anta, hawks sandwiches for Subway, promotes health and wellness for Kaiser Permanente, and has promoted movies on social media like Bob Marley: One Love and The Super Mario Bros. Movie. In the past few years, Klay has put money into Sleeper, Overtime, Dapper Labs, and funding rounds for at least a few healthcare companies.

In four games since he was moved to a reserve role, Thompson is shooting 41.2% from 3-point range and knocking down four triples per contest. Play it right, and he may make it rain for you against the Knicks on Thursday.

Boardroom Bet: 15+ points (-140 via FanDuel Sportsbook), 3+ made threes (-195 via FanDuel Sportsbook)

All told — solid scoring performances from both Steph and Play, the tried and trusted dynamic duo, could mean a major payout just in time for the weekend slate. Here’s your 4-leg parlay odds, according to FanDuel Sportsbook:

Boardroom Brand Builders Parlay Total: +509

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]]> Loading Inside FanDuel’s Las Vegas Takeover https://boardroom.tv/fanduel-super-bowl-lviii-las-vegas/ Fri, 09 Feb 2024 20:33:47 +0000 https://boardroom.tv/?p=86892 The sports betting giant seamlessly blends sports and entertainment in Sin City in the run-up to Super Bowl LVIII. Boardroom breaks down how FanDuel is making its mark.

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]]> The sports betting giant seamlessly blends sports and entertainment in Sin City in the run-up to Super Bowl LVIII. Boardroom breaks down how FanDuel is making its mark.

Between the national anthem and kickoff, football fans will lock in on yet another betable moment at this year’s Super Bowl: Rob Gronkowski‘s Kick of Redemption. Following last year‘s ill-fated attempt, the Hall of Fame-bound tight end seeks to crush a 25-yard field goal and unlock a $10 million pot for FanDuel users. This year, the brand brought in some big names to get Gronk ready — even tapping John Cena to play the villain role and outspoken captain of Team Miss.

However, recreating last year’s award-winning Kick of Destiny is only one part of a trio of high-impact experiences at the intersection of sports and entertainment that FanDuel is bringing to Las Vegas. “I think that’s what is uniquely different from others that might advertise during the Super Bowl,” the company’s Executive Vice President of Marketing Andrew Sneyd told Boardroom. “We are a part of the sports viewing experience with our customers, and we like to bring to life our brand accordingly for the biggest sports holiday of the year.”

Leading into the big weekend at Super Bowl LVIII, Boardroom examines how FanDuel plotted its Las Vegas takeover. From Kid Cudi and Calvin Harris on stage at the third annual FanDuel Party to Gronk’s quest for glory, Boardroom explores how FanDuel is making the most of the biggest event on the American sporting calendar.

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For those who have never been, it’s difficult to explain the buzz at Radio Row. The pop-up functions as the central media space for the days leading up to the Super Bowl. If you’re in the room, you’ll notice some of the biggest names in sports casually strolling through, flanked by PR reps, as they cross from interview to interview.

Amidst it all, FanDuel TV set up their temporary set, capturing the likes of the Las Vegas Raiders’ Maxx Crosby, newly-minted Offensive Rookie of the Year CJ Stroud, and many more. For a few days, the channel’s marquee programs, including Up & Adams with Kay Adams and Run it Back, called the risers home. Meanwhile, talent from The Ringer produced its signature programming in partnership with the brand.

However, never one to miss a moment of overlap, the buzziest moment of the week came as Rob Gronkowski took the stage in preparation for his big kick. Hosted by Kay Adams, Gronk discussed everything from his preparation to the psychological warfare that John Cena is trying to leverage to throw off his game.

“I told John Cena, it’s my kick again. He keeps going against me. He thinks I’m gonna miss it, but I’m gonna make it,” Gronk told the assembled crowd of reporters.

As the sets begin to break down on Friday evening, FanDuel will shift its attention to its second high-profile event of the week in Vegas: The FanDuel Party, headlined by Kid Cudi and Calvin Harris, will then take place on Friday, Feb. 9, at the LIV Nightclub for the third consecutive year.

Plus, according to Sneyd, the company’s partnership with Spotify adds an extra layer of star power as they bring in top-tier talent. The event is set to take place inside the Fountainbleu, one of the freshest new hotels on the strip.

Adding to the excitement from the week, the event will feature a live-taping of JJ Jastremski, Raheem Palmer, and Cousin Sal’s The Ringer Gambling Show.

The luxury event solidifies the company’s space at the intersections of sports and entertainment, highlighting the culmination of its thoughtful evolution through the years. As the company planned for the trio of high-impact events, messaging this was especially important for the company. Plus, it creates the opportunity to bring those watching from home into the action.

“Obviously, Vegas is the home of sports betting in America. We have a product that is in everyone’s pocket outside of Nevada,” Sneyd said. “We want to make sure that we’re using the platform of being active within Las Vegas to send great content out to everyone watching on television that had the opportunity to connect to our mobile sports betting product in their pocket as opposed to the geography where we are.”

Will Gronk Get Redemption?
FanDuel is giving Hall of Fame tight end Rob Gronkowski a second chance at a Super Bowl field goal with “Kick Of Destiny 2,” this time in front of a live audience.
Check it out!

But everything that FanDuel set forth during Super Bowl week is a thoughtful lead-up to the Kick of Destiny 2. Last year’s first iteration of the campaign set a high standard for what is possible.

The Super Bowl’s legacy as a top moment for ads — and the most expensive — presented an interesting challenge for Sneyd and his team.

“When you’ve got 120 million plus eyeballs, I think it’s really important to stand out and be part of the experience and sort of honor the moment as opposed to advertise at people,” he said. “I think that tends to be the people, the brands, the products that are a part of the day and celebrate the great moment and understand the context in which we’re communicating that really connect with customers differently.” 

For FanDuel, Gronk represented the perfect talent match for the challenge. Notorious for his light-hearted antics and down-for-anything attitude, Gronk made the most of his moment.

“He is always up for figuring out the ways to be able to bring more fun to the world,” Sneyd commented.

They outkicked expectations last year, taking home a coveted Cleo Award — the top creative award in the advertising industry. But, this year, they felt there was more to do.

This year’s kick will take place live and will inform the creative direction for the company’s in-game ad, just 42 minutes later.

Will Gronk pull together a Kick of Redemption, or will he have to console himself with his three Super Bowl rings? Only time will tell, but either way, FanDuel is prepared to maximize the moment in Vegas.

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]]> Loading image Kid Cudi, Calvin Harris Tapped for FanDuel x Spotify Super Bowl Party https://boardroom.tv/headline-to-go/02-03-2024-kid-cudi-calvin-harris-fanduel-spotify-super-bowl-party/ Sat, 03 Feb 2024 14:00:00 +0000 https://boardroom.tv/?post_type=headline-to-go&p=86731 The latest on the FanDuel x Spotify Super Bowl party, and more important stories shaping sports business, culture, & tech with HeadlineToGo.

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]]> Kid Cudi, Calvin Harris Tapped for FanDuel x Spotify Super Bowl Party

In a collab between two of the heaviest hitters in their respective industries, FanDuel and Spotify are teaming up on a Super Bowl party headlined by Calvin Harris and Kid Cudi. Held at LIV inside the Fountainbleu Resort on Feb. 9, this marks FanDuel‘s third annual Super Bowl event. FanDuel has been the sports betting partner of Spotify‘s sports and pop culture podcast network, The Ringer, since 2021. In addition to performances from Calvin Harris and Kid Cudi, attendees will also be treated to a live recording of “The Ringer Gambling Show” podcast with hosts John “JJ” Jastremski, Raheem Palmer, and “Cousin Sal” Iacono.

Meta Shares Jump Over 20% On Heels of Strong Earnings Report

Meta shares soared more than 20% on Friday on the heels of strong fourth-quarter results, pushing Facebook’s parent company to its third-best day ever. Per Bloomberg, Meta added that it would pay investors a quarterly dividend for the first time, a payout of $ 0.50 per share on March 26. The California-based firm also announced a $50 billion share buyback. Despite this good news, Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg said he intends to keep the roster growth “relatively minimal” for this year. “Until we reach a point where we are just really under water on our ability to execute, I kind of want to keep things lean because I think that’s the right thing for us to do culturally,” he explained.

For more key takeaways from Meta’s recent earnings report, catch up with Boardroom’s Michelai Graham. 

Theo Epstein Returns to Red Sox, Takes Part Ownership in Fenway Sports Group

Former Boston Red Sox general manager Theo Epstein is getting an ownership stake in Fenway Sports Group and will also take on a role as a senior advisor for the Red Sox, the company confirmed Friday. “For me, it’s perfect. I was looking for a pathway into ownership,” Fenway said about the transition. Having built the roster that broke Boston’s 86-year World Series drought, this marks Epstein’s return to the Red Sox organization after 13 years away. He became the Red Sox’s general manager in 2002 at age 28 and also held the title of Executive Vice President. Epstein also won a World Series with the Chicago Cubs in 2016.

Amazon’s Spending on Video & Music Increased Nearly 14% in 2023

Amazon’s spending on video and music content climbed 13.8% to $18.9 billion in 2023, a 10-K filing that dropped Friday revealed. That number includes licensing and production costs associated with content offered for Amazon Prime subscribers and costs associated with digital subscriptions and sold/rented material. An increase in spending occurred amid the dual strikes by Hollywood guilds, which interfered with production across the film and TV industry. In the fourth quarter last year, Chief Financial Officer Brian Olsavsky told analysts that Amazon had a higher spend on digital content, “especially around live sports, English Premier League, and Champions League in Germany and Italy, for example.”

Collection of Air Jordans Worn By MJ in NBA Finals Victories Breaks Sale Record

The Dynasty Collection, a complete set of six individual Air Jordan sneakers worn by Michael Jordan in his NBA Finals championship games, sold for $8 million to an unnamed buyer, Sotheby‘s confirmed on Friday morning. The sale set a new global record for game-worn sneakers at auction. The Dynasty Collection consists of all the Hall of Famer’s Finals wins, starting with Jordan‘s first victory with the Chicago Bulls in 1991 all the way through his final season with the team in 1998. The full Air Jordan sneaker collection was sold as part of “The One Auction,” a cross-category sale that spotlights exemplary human feats.

NHL Players to Participate in 2026 & 2030 Winter Olympics

NHL players will compete in the Winter Olympics for the 2026 and 2030 tournaments, the league said Friday, as part of a joint deal with the NHL Players Association, the International Ice Hockey Federation, and the International Olympic Committee. “The international composition of National Hockey League rosters is unparalleled, and NHL Players take great pride in representing their countries,” NHL Commissioner Gary Bettman said. Despite nearly playing in 2022, NHL players have not been able to participate in the Winter Olympics since 2014 in Sochi. The 2026 Games are set to take play from Feb. 6-22 in Milan and Cortina d’Ampezzo, Italy, while the IOC will announce the 2030 host country in July.

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]]> FanDuel Parent Company Flutter Entertainment to Debut on NYSE https://boardroom.tv/fanduel-parent-company-flutter-nyse-debut/ Mon, 29 Jan 2024 12:30:00 +0000 https://boardroom.tv/?p=86394 FanDuel parent company Flutter Entertainment will debut and list on the New York Stock Exchange Monday under the FLUT symbol.

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]]> The global online sports gambling operator will begin listing on the New York Stock Exchange under the ticker FLUT starting this week.

Flutter Entertainment, the Ireland-based parent company of global sports betting brands including FanDuel, Betfair, Sky Betting, and PokerStars, is set to list on the New York Stock Exchange under the FLUT symbol, the company announced Monday.

Flutter is already listed on the London Stock Exchange, but a secondary listing will provide access to the U.S.’ biggest and most liquid capital markets, the company said. FanDuel TV’s “Up & Adams” will broadcast live from the trading floor Monday featuring planned segments with FanDuel CEO Amy Howe and Rob Gronkowski.

In the company’s Q4 earnings report released last week, Flutter boasted FanDuel’s top-ranked 43% gross revenue market share for the quarter with a 51% net revenue share in the U.S. Quarterly revenues in the U.S. rose 26%, propelling full year revenue up 41% to $3.9 billion. Total Flutter revenues eclipsed $12 billion in 2023, a 25% year-over-year increase up from $2.5 billion just four years ago.

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With more U.S. states like Vermont and Maryland recently entering the sports betting market, and the likely chance of others to come, Flutter projects the American sports betting and iGaming market to reach $40 billion in value by 2030 with a further $320 billion in potential future value.

In Q4 2023 alone, the number of average monthly U.S. players grew by more than 4 million, with Flutter investing $55 million in responsible gaming initiatives in the first half of 2023 alone to ensure sustainability and a positive net impact. FanDuel’s partnerships with nearly every major pro sports league provide a strong chance to acquire, retain, and grow its user base on its way, Flutter believes, to become the first sportsbook in the U.S. to achieve profitability for a full year.

Flutter hopes its new NYSE listing will keep the company’s momentum strong as the American market remains a leading region of growth for the industry.

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]]> Loading Salaries, Stats, and Strategic Wagers — All the Smoke for NFL Championship Weekend https://boardroom.tv/nfl-championship-weekend-salaries-stats-strategic-wagers/ Sat, 27 Jan 2024 05:01:00 +0000 https://boardroom.tv/?p=86360 Top NFL storylines, salaries, betting angles, and notes this weekend as the Chiefs, Ravens, Lions, and 49ers play to reach the Super Bowl.

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]]> From storylines and salaries to betting angles and interesting anecdotes — Boardroom has all the details on this weekend’s NFL conference championship games for the Chiefs, Ravens, Lions, and 49ers.

Trips to Las Vegas for Super Bowl 58 are on the line Sunday as the NFL’s two conference championship games take center stage.

First at 3 p.m. ET on CBS, Patrick Mahomes, Travis Kelce, and the defending champion Kansas City Chiefs visit presumptive 2023 MVP Lamar Jackson and the Baltimore Ravens. Kansas City has reached the AFC title game in each of Mahomes’ six seasons as a starter, with three Super Bowl appearances and two championships to show for it. It’s Baltimore’s fifth conference championship appearance since moving from Cleveland in 1996, the last trip coming when the Ravens won it all 11 years ago.

Then, at 6:30 p.m. ET on Fox, Jared Goff, Amon-Ra St. Brown, and the Detroit Lions look for their first-ever Super Bowl appearance as they take on Brock Purdy, Christian McCaffrey, and the San Francisco 49ers. Detroit’s Wild Card round win over the LA Rams was its first playoff win since 1992, the last time it made it this far with a 41-10 loss to Washington. Prior to the Super Bowl era, the Lions won NFL titles in 1935, 1952, 1953, and 1957 but have barely sniffed a postseason run this deep since.

The 49ers are a different story, reaching this stage in four of the last five seasons. They have just one Super Bowl appearance, a 2020 loss to Kansas City, to show for it in that span. Let’s dive into the many different angles Sunday’s action provides.

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NFL Championship Weekend: Top Conference Title Game Salaries & Incentives

Chiefs vs. Ravens

  • Lamar Jackson, QB, Baltimore: $80 million
  • Patrick Mahomes, QB, Kansas City: $59.35 million
  • Roquan Smith, LB, Baltimore: $27 million
  • Chris Jones, DE, Kansas City: $21.67 million
  • Jawaan Taylor, LT, Kansas City: $20 million

Per Spotrac’s 2023 cash rankings, Jackson and Mahomes are the NFL’s two highest-paid players this season. And it’s Jackson, not Mahomes, who was named as one of the five MVP finalists. Since Jones was named first-team All-Pro, a Chiefs win would earn him a $1 million bonus.

@fdsportsbook Which matchup do YOU want to see? ##superbowllviii##KansasCityChiefs##DetroitLions##BaltimoreRavens##SanFrancisco49ers ♬ original sound – FanDuel Sportsbook

Lions vs. 49ers

  • Nick Bosa, DE, San Francisco: $51.01 million
  • Jared Goff, QB, Detroit: $25.98 million
  • Javon Hargrave, DT, San Francisco: $24.93 million
  • Trent Williams, LT, San Francisco: $20.12 million
  • Charvarius Ward, CB, San Francisco: $14 million

While not on this list, Purdy and McCaffrey are the only teammates among the NFL’s MVP finalists. While CMC is eighth on the team with a $12 million salary this season, Purdy’s $870,000 has him tied for 46th on the 49ers. Per CBS, Goff would receive $945,000 for playing 1% of snaps in a Lions Super Bowl appearance, meaning a ton is on the line Sunday in Santa Clara.

@boardroom Salaries and valuations, awards and donations. #brockpurdy #49ers #archmanning #texasfootball #texaslonghorns ♬ original sound – Boardroom

Betting Angles via FanDuel SportsBook

First of all, Boardroom partnered with our friends at FanDuel SportsBook for the Brand Builders Parlay, a four-leg bet for Sunday’s games centered around players whose off-field endorsements and investments are as impressive as their on-field excellence. On the FanDuel app, you’ll be able to ride Jackson, Kelce, McCaffrey, and George Kittle to victory (bet responsibly, please!). A few other notes to watch out for:

  • San Francisco has failed to cover the spread in each of its last six home games. The Niners are seven-point favorites against Detroit.
  • Over the last three years, home teams have won 55.4% of NFL games. That number drops to 40.8% in games refereed by Shawn Smith, per Sharp Football, the lead official for the Chiefs-Ravens game.
  • Baltimore is favored by 3.5 points on Sunday, just the sixth time in Mahomes’ career his team is a three-plus point underdog. The Chiefs are 5-0 in those previous games.

Other Entertaining Game Notes

  • The Ravens are going all out Sunday at M&T Bank Stadium. Ray Lewis and Ed Reed are Sunday’s legends of the game. Jonathan Ogden will be the honorary captain. Michael Phelps will deliver the game ball. And T-Pain will perform at halftime.
  • CBS Sports contributing analyst JJ Watt joins CBS’ two-hour pregame show live from Baltimore. The show will feature taped interview segments with KC’s Isiah Pacheco and Baltimore’s Zay Flowers.
  • Sunday evening’s game at Levi’s Stadium will mark a milestone for both the Niners and the denim purveyors. Thursday, the 49ers and Levi’s announced a 10-year, $170 million naming rights extension running through the 2043 season. So even if the Niners lose, they’re already monetary winners this weekend.

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]]> Loading NFL Wild Card Weekend: All Eyes on Peacock’s Exclusive Chiefs-Dolphins Stream https://boardroom.tv/nfl-wild-card-weekend-nbc-peacock-incentives-betting/ Fri, 12 Jan 2024 20:25:02 +0000 https://boardroom.tv/?p=85899 Will the stream on NBC's Peacock become the new norm? Also, top betting trends, player incentives, and more ahead of NFL Wild Card Weekend.

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]]> Will the stream on NBC’s Peacock become the new norm? Also, top betting trends, player incentives, and more ahead of NFL Wild Card Weekend.

There’s no shortage of key storylines as the NFL kicks off the playoffs with six games over three days as part of its holiday Wild Card Weekend.

We’ve got Tyreek Hill playing his former team in the playoffs as the Miami Dolphins visit the defending champion Kansas City Chiefs. The Detroit Lions won a division title for the first time in 30 years, and their reward is a battle against longtime former Lions QB Matthew Stafford, now leading the Los Angeles Rams. Mike McCarthy won a Super Bowl with the Green Bay Packers and now has to face them as Dallas Cowboys head coach.

Weather will also play a major factor in a pair of AFC matchups. Temperatures are forecasted to be in the single digits Saturday night in Kansas City, with a wind chill well into the negatives. In Buffalo, a state of emergency is in effect with a snowstorm expected to hit the area and winds gusting to 50 miles per hour leading into Sunday’s Bills home game against the Pittsburgh Steelers.

From media to betting, mixed with a few important incentives, here’s everything you need to watch out for Wild Card Weekend in the NFL.

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NBC, Peacock Making History

For the first time in NFL history, a playoff game will be exclusively broadcast on a streaming service. NBC reportedly paid $110 million for Saturday night’s Chiefs–Dolphins Wild Card matchup to only be on its Peacock streaming service, except for the involved local markets. Like its December regular-season exclusive between the Bills and Chargers, the fourth quarter will be commercial-free (perhaps more time to pan the cameras Taylor Swift‘s way).

NBC clearly hopes the game will drive permanent subscribers, or perhaps at least people who sign up for a free trial and forget to cancel the subscription later on. Other networks will be closely watching how many tune in Saturday night, with ESPN‘s ESPN+, CBS‘ Paramount+, Fox‘s Tubi, and Amazon Prime Video likely itching to be the next streamer to get a postseason game.

And if this works in the NFL, where there are fewer playoff games, you can imagine that Warner Bros. Discovery’s Max and ESPN+ will angle for exclusively streamed NBA playoff games soon, perhaps with baseball and hockey not far behind. It seems hard to slam the streaming playoff door shut unless Saturday’s experiment yields disastrous results.

Without going too far into the weeds, here are some betting splits and trends to watch courtesy of our friends at FanDuel SportsBook:

  • An overwhelming 80% of the money is on the Cleveland Browns to cover 2.5 Saturday afternoon in Houston against the Texans. Bettors love a David Njoku anytime touchdown at +180.
  • In frigid temperatures, 83% of the money is on the Chiefs -230 to beat the Dolphins. Isiah Pacheco over 64.5 rushing yards is one of FanDuel‘s most popular player props.
  • With Buffalo favored by 10, the largest spread this weekend, a lot of money is on Pittsburgh at favorable odds. Steelers +400 moneyline is getting 41% of the money, and Pittsburgh +10 is at 44% as bettors see strong value.
  • While a whopping 69% of bets are on Green Bay at +265 to upset Dallas, 64% of the money is on Dallas to hold serve at home at -335. A CeeDee Lamb anytime touchdown at -160 and Jordan Love over 22.5 pass completion are popular player props here.
  • Monday night’s game of the free-falling Philadelphia Eagles visiting the Tampa Bay Buccaneers has bettors split on the outcome. While 63% of the money is on Philly to cover the 3-point spread, 55% of the money is on Tampa to pull the home upset at +134.

3 Key Monetary Incentives

After a slew of players cashed in on contract incentives in Week 18, three quarterbacks have a little extra individual motivation to win this weekend, per Spotrac. Joe Flacco earns an extra $250,000 if the Browns win at the Texans, Love would receive $500,000 if Green Bay wins and he plays 65% of the offensive snaps, and Baker Mayfield gets $250,000 if Tampa beats Philadelphia and he plays 75% of the offensive snaps.

Enjoy this weekend’s games!

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]]> Loading Gronk Gets Shot at Redemption in FanDuel Super Bowl Commercial https://boardroom.tv/rob-gronkowski-fanduel-gronk-super-bowl-commercial/ Tue, 09 Jan 2024 14:00:00 +0000 https://boardroom.tv/?p=85676 FanDuel is giving Rob Gronkowski a second chance at a Super Bowl field goal with "Kick Of Destiny 2," this time in front of a live audience.

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]]> FanDuel is giving Hall of Fame tight end Rob Gronkowski a second chance at a Super Bowl field goal with “Kick Of Destiny 2,” this time in front of a live audience.

Last year, FanDuel’s first-ever Super Bowl commercial featured Rob Gronkowski attempting a field goal live on air. The “Kick Of Destiny” campaign kicked off with the NFL playoffs, leading to a 25-yard attempt during the third quarter.

The kick? It started strong, but the wind pushed it wide left, which was no good.

But FanDuel is giving Gronk a second chance with “Kick Of Destiny 2,” the company announced Tuesday. Gronkowski’s attempt will come right before the kickoff of Super Bowl LVIII, and this time, it’ll be done in front of a live audience.

FanDuel SportsBook customers can make a free make-or-miss pick, with correct guessers getting a share of $10 million in free wagers for the big game. FanDuel TV’s Kay Adams will be the commentator during the 30-second spot, culminating another branded postseason campaign.

“I can’t lie — when I missed the Kick of Destiny during last year’s Super Bowl, it was devastating. I told the team at FanDuel I knew I could do better and needed a shot at redemption this year,” Gronkowski said. “I’m going to show America I can make that kick, even with all the pressure of doing it live in front of the entire country. No wind is going to stop me, and we’re going through the uprights this year for everyone who picks that I’m going to make the kick.” 

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The first “Kick Of Destiny 2” teaser opens with Gronk in the desert, looking devastated after the missed kick and searching for redemption. Iconic actor Carl Weathers serves as his new coach as he makes friends and enemies along the way, including John Cena, who can’t wait for the legendary tight end to mess it up all over again.

“I rarely get to play the villain, so I’m ready to fully embrace this role,” Cena said. “I remember watching Gronk’s kick last year and am so excited to be working with a brand like FanDuel to make this sports moment more exciting for their fans, but do I think he’s going to make it? No chance!”

Fans can track Gronk’s progress on FanDuel’s Twitter, Instagram, TikTok, and YouTube accounts.

“Last year’s Kick of Destiny campaign saw tremendous engagement from our customers as they were captivated with what would happen during our live Super Bowl commercial,” Andrew Sneyd, FanDuel’s executive vice president of marketing, said.

“With the introduction of the Make or Miss free pick function and Rob’s desire for redemption, this year will be even more exciting for FanDuel customers. Rob is an authentic embodiment of the FanDuel fan, passionate, entertaining, and trailblazing. And we’re ready to make history, again.”

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]]> Rob Gronkowski Seeks Redemption in FanDuel SBLVIII Commercial %%page%% %%sep%% %%sitename%% FanDuel is giving Rob Gronkowski a second chance at a Super Bowl field goal with "Kick Of Destiny 2," this time in front of a live audience. FanDuel,FanDuel Sportsbook,NFL,Rob Gronkowski,Super Bowl,Super Bowl commercials,Rob Gronkowski FanDuel Loading CFP National Championship: Do Sportsbooks Favor Michigan or Washington? https://boardroom.tv/cfp-national-championship-fanduel-sportsbook-michigan-washington/ Fri, 05 Jan 2024 19:52:07 +0000 https://boardroom.tv/?p=85601 With both teams boasting undefeated records heading in, our friends over at FanDuel help us break down the CFP National Championship with the latest odds, analysis, and best bet.

The post CFP National Championship: Do Sportsbooks Favor Michigan or Washington? appeared first on Boardroom.

]]> With both teams boasting undefeated records heading in, our friends over at FanDuel help us break down the CFP National Championship with the latest odds, analysis, and best bet.

This article originally appeared at FanDuel Research.

The 2023-24 college football season will be the final campaign before we see rampant conference movement in addition to a playoff expansion. And believe you and me, this year has certainly lived up to the hype.

For the passing holiday weekend’s pivotal CFP action, we were privy to two intensely competitive semifinal contests. With the dust now settled, we are left with a meeting of undefeateds in next Monday’s title game: the Washington Huskies (14-0) and Michigan Wolverines (14-0).

Naturally, the upcoming title game will feature a litany of explosive athletes on both sidelines. Personally, I think this will set up our fiercest battle for the natty in quite some time. Remember: we have not had a one-score contest in the championship game since 2017-18.

With Monday’s kickoff between Washington and Michigan already at the forefront of the nation’s mind, let’s dive into all you need to know for the 2023-24 CFP National Championship Pres. by AT&T.

All college football odds via FanDuel Sportsbook. Lines may change after this article is published.

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CFP National Championship: Washington vs. Michigan Betting Odds

Kickoff: Monday (Jan. 8), 4:30 p.m. ET on ESPN/ABC/ESPN+
Location: NRG Stadium, Houston, TX
Spread: MICH -4.5 (-108)
Moneyline: Washington: +160 | Michigan: -194
Total: 55.5

Michigan vs. Washington Analysis

This Monday evening, we should — in all likelihood — see a college football contest for the ages. At this point, the game certainly deserves it, as it is the end of an era in many ways.

By next season, the CFP playoff field will have expanded from four teams to a dozen: won’t that be interesting. Additionally, the two programs vying for this year’s national title — Washington and Michigan — will be a part of the same conference. Organizational movement will not be exclusive to the Dawgs in 2024, but “UDub of the Big Ten” will take some getting used to.

It goes without saying that U-M and Washington have done well to distinguish themselves above all other CFB programs this season. Still, Monday will present a clash of styles for all the marbles. They say, “Everything’s bigger in Texas.” Well, this rumble in Houston between the Huskies and Wolverines will be big as they come.

Washington — in search of their second Division I football national title in school history — qualified for the College Football Playoff for the first time since 2016. Undoubtedly, this current group is the most talented team the Huskies have ever showcased, but especially so on offense. Riding the left arm of star quarterback Michael Penix Jr. (FBS-leading 4,648 passing yards), UW has accumulated a scoring clip of 37.6 PPG.

Like any quality football team, Penix does not do it all on his own. Washington’s receiving corps was the cream of the crop in 2023. Junior Rome Odunze (14 TD) and sophomore Ja’lynn Polk (17.3 YPC) both went well over 1,000 receiving yards this year, displaying home-run ability on a weekly basis. Still, the Huskies will see their toughest matchup yet when lined up against Michigan’s defense.

On D, the Wolverines were the most prolific side in college football this past season. Through 14 games, Michigan has suffocated opponents into just 10.2 PPG. That includes two separate shutouts versus the rival Michigan State Spartans and Iowa Hawkeyes. More specifically, U-M’s pass rush is ferocious. Led by defensive lineman Jaylen Harrell (6.5 sacks), nine different Wolverines have logged multiple quarterback sacks this year.

Of course, Michigan has a highly efficient offensive group as well. Signal-caller J.J. McCarthy has earned the nation’s third-best QBR (89.5) in this campaign. From there, tailback Blake Corum — who is the school’s all-time leader in rushing TD — has scored 26 total touchdowns to pace all of FBS this season. Can this group earn Ann Arbor their 10th national championship in football?

Transparently, the game will be won and lost on the matchup between Washington’s offense and Michigan’s defense. However, in the reciprocating battle, the Huskies must buckle down on the U-M’s run game to give themselves a quality shot in this title bid. As always, the Wolverines will attempt to control the pace and clock.

So, Monday in H-town — will it be #GoBlue or #PurpleReign?

CFP National Championship Best Bet

Washington +4.5 (-112)

In a contest where I believe Michigan’s offense will be asked to do more than ever, I am taking the points with Penix and the Huskies. The senior quarterback and head coach Kalen DeBoer have clicked over the past two years together, amassing more than 9,200 yards through the air during that span. Simply, in the Big Ten or elsewhere, the Wolverines have not seen an offensive attack like the one from UDub.

A major key in this game will be Washington’s offensive line. In 2023, the Huskies allowed just 11 sacks. Only three FBS schools — the Oregon Ducks, Liberty Flames and West Virginia Mountaineers — surrendered fewer than that. Also, UW’s 74 total yards lost from sacks is fourth-lowest in the country.

I respect that there is a fair shot head coach Jim Harbaugh is leaving after this season and that Michigan will want to send him off properly, but the Huskies’ two wins over Oregon combined with the recent Sugar Bowl victory against the Texas Longhorns has me a believer in the Dawgs.

Not only do I think Washington can cover the spread while getting more than a field goal, but I can absolutely see them winning this contest straight up. The Dawgs have been underdogs in three separate games in 2023, and obviously, they have won outright each time.

Earlier in the week (January 2nd), the received action on the natty at FanDuel Sportsbook showed more public support for Washington against the spread. However, in the moneyline market, Michigan had brought back a slightly larger handle.

Even if UW falls short versus the Wolverines, it is tough for me to see them getting blown out with Penix and Co. moving the ball how they have all year long (473.6 total yards per game). However things may fall, I have the most confidence in Washington +4.5. I am hoping for a purple parade in Seattle, blasting tunes from both Jimi and Nirvana (not as a mashup, of course).

– Gabriel Santiago

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]]> Loading Who Do Oddsmakers Like as College Football Playoffs Kick Off? https://boardroom.tv/college-football-playoffs-oddsmakers-michigan-alabama-texas-washington/ Sat, 30 Dec 2023 00:51:01 +0000 https://boardroom.tv/?p=85399 The College Football Playoffs kick off on Monday. Will Michigan stave off the Alabama Crimson Tide in the Rose Bowl? Can Texas take down Washington for the Sugar Bowl title? This article originally appeared at FanDuel

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]]> The College Football Playoffs kick off on Monday. Will Michigan stave off the Alabama Crimson Tide in the Rose Bowl? Can Texas take down Washington for the Sugar Bowl title?

This article originally appeared at FanDuel Research.

The college football postseason action is heating up, and we’re now at the stage of bowl season where we’ve got the big games on the schedule.

Monday offers both legs of the CFP semifinals. Of that bunch, I am most thrilled for a clash between the Alabama Crimson Tide and Michigan Wolverines in the Rose Bowl Game Pres. by Prudential.

There is quite a bit to unpack here, and I know you value your time. Prior to New Year’s Day, let’s dive into the odds and lines for the upcoming bowl slate, emphasizing the most valuable of the traditional betting markets where applicable.

All college football odds via FanDuel Sportsbook. Lines may change after this article is published.

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Rose Bowl

Alabama vs. Michigan

  • Venue: Rose Bowl, Pasadena, CA
  • Time: 5 p.m. ET
  • TV: ESPN
  • Spread: MICH -1.5 (-115)
  • Moneyline: ALA +108/ MICH -130
  • Total: 44.5 (-112/-108)

As the most anticipated college football game of 2023-24, “The Granddaddy of Them All” is sure to deliver a show this Monday evening. This time around, the Rose Bowl will pit together arguably the two proudest CFB fanbases in Michigan (13-0) and Alabama (12-1). Naturally, with that comes two larger-than-life head coaches in Jim Harbaugh and Nick Saban.

It will be tough to pinpoint who has the true edge in this contest. Saban and the Tide last won in Pasadena in 2021. Meanwhile, the Wolverines haven’t scored a Rose Bowl victory since 1998. Still, in the current campaign, U-M appears as powerful as ever. At numberFire, the power rankings have Michigan (30.26 nERD) No. 1 in all of FBS.

For the Tide (22.07 nERD), they show up 11th overall on numberFire’s power rankings scale. Their only loss of 2023 came way back on September 9th to the Texas Longhorns, which means ‘Bama is currently on an 11-game winning streak. Does that mean they can end the Wolverines’ season in Pasadena?

When it comes to defense, Michigan was widely regarded as the best team in college football. Through 13 contests, U-M has suffocated opponents into just 9.5 points per game (PPG). Still, they have not faced a side like Alabama this season. Even Michigan’s annual test with the Ohio State Buckeyes cannot fully prepare them for the physicality that the Tide play with.

Similar to most years, ‘Bama finished the regular season ranked in the top 20 in both offensive (35.1 PPG) and defensive scoring (18.4 PPG). At the moment, the Tide are riding high after a statement victory over the reigning national champion Georgia Bulldogs. They’ll need every bit of that momentum to take down undefeated Michigan.

GameMatchupSpreadMoneylineOver/Under
CFP- Rose BowlAlabama v. MichiganMICH -1.5+108/-13044.5
CFP – Sugar BowlTexas v. WashingtonTEX -4.5-184/+15262.5

Best Bet: Michigan -1.5 (-115)

We have talked about the mantra of “if it ain’t broke, don’t fix it” before, and I think it will apply to the upcoming Rose Bowl. The Wolverines have been dominant wire-to-wire this year. We mentioned the incredible defense, but the J.J. McCarthy-led offense has been stellar, as well. The junior quarterback has been extremely sharp in 2023, displaying a QBR of 89.3 (third-best in the nation).

Alabama has a talented signal-caller of their own in sophomore Jalen Milroe (83.6 QBR). The Crimson Tide quarterback has a big arm and quality athleticism but will be making his CFP debut this weekend. In this moment, I’d prefer to lean on the experience of McCarthy, the Wolverines’ run game, and Michigan’s massive offensive line.

A point and a hook will be the smallest spread the Wolverines are asked to cover this year. In two prior contests in 2023 wherein Michigan was against a single-digit spread, they covered in both. With similar circumstances here, I will lay points with undefeated U-M.

Photo by Michael Hickey/Getty Images

Sugar Bowl

Texas vs. Washington

  • Venue: Caesars Superdome, New Orleans, LA
  • Time: 8:45 p.m. ET
  • TV: ESPN
  • Spread: TEX -4.5 (-105)
  • Moneyline: TEX -184/WASH +152
  • Total: 62.5 (-115/-105)

For the second leg of the 2023-24 College Football Playoff, we will see the Texas Longhorns (12-1) and Washington Huskies (13-0) rumble at the Sugar Bowl. Both sides are looking to return to glory, as each has gone without a national title over the past 15 years or more.

Seeking their first natty since 2005, the Longhorns will be making their inaugural trip to the CFP. They are fresh off a fantastic regular season that ended with a Big 12 title, destroying the Oklahoma State Cowboys in the conference championship game. Texas’ only loss this year came against the rival Oklahoma Sooners. Simply, is UT ready for the undefeated Dawgs?

Washington is having a historic season, winning 13 games in a single campaign for the first time in school history. More impressively, the Huskies are accomplishing all this in head coach Kalen DeBoer’s second campaign at the helm. They have leaned on a high-flying offense in 2023, as quarterback Michael Penix Jr. led the entire nation with 4,218 passing yards.

The Longhorns have also made great strides in head coach Steve Sarkisian’s short stint. In three seasons in Austin, Coach Sark has improved Texas’ win total in each campaign. In the present moment, the ‘Horns have very real aspirations of going all the way (FanDuel Sportsbook has Texas currently at +250 odds to win the national championship), but that path goes through New Orleans this Monday night.

At this year’s Allstate Sugar Bowl, the winner will likely be an underdog in the title game to whoever wins the aforementioned Rose Bowl. Nevertheless, all the marbles are on the line. Undoubtedly, fanbases from Austin and Seattle will embark upon “The Big Easy” in droves, but I’d expect the burnt orange to outweigh the purple.

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Best Bet: Over 62.5 (-115)

Unlike Bama-Michigan, I am expecting to see quite a bit of points at the Superdome. I mentioned Penix’s abilities as a signal-caller, and the lefty — along with his favorite targets, Rome Odunze (18.5 yards per reception) and Ja’lynn Polk (10.3) — has gotten UDub to score 37.7 PPG in 2023. On a fast surface indoors, I believe we see those two dashing down the field.

Of course, Texas can score the rock at a prolific level, as well. In 2023, the ‘Horns averaged 36.2 PPG. Sophomore quarterback Quinn Ewers dazzled in 11 games played, tossing 21 scores to just six interceptions. From there, Ewers can lean on a stout running game — one that produces 189.1 yards per game on the ground.

Back at numberFire, the CFB game projections yield as estimated score of 35.04-28.15 in favor of Texas. That equates to a sum of 63.19 total points, which gets us over the set total of 62.5. Concurring with my sentiment, I will be rooting for a high-scoring affair in NOLA.

–Gabriel Santiago

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]]> Loading 2023 Big Ten Championship – Iowa v Michigan (Photo by Michael Hickey/Getty Images) Loading Raiders vs. Chargers Week 15: Where’s the Smart Money on TNF? https://boardroom.tv/raiders-chargers-nfl-thursday-night-football-fanduel-odds/ Thu, 14 Dec 2023 16:08:55 +0000 https://boardroom.tv/?p=84941 As the season nears its end, Week 15 kicks off with a Raiders vs. Chargers matchup, in which the teams will start a different quarterback than they started the season with.

The post Raiders vs. Chargers Week 15: Where’s the Smart Money on TNF? appeared first on Boardroom.

]]> As the season nears its end, Week 15 kicks off with a Raiders vs. Chargers matchup, in which the teams will start a different quarterback than they started the season with.

This article originally appeared at FanDuel Research.

Week 15 kicks off with a matchup between the Los Angeles Chargers (5-8) and the Las Vegas Raiders (5-8), the loser of which will secure sole standing at the bottom of the AFC West.

Neither team has legitimate playoff hopes, and a laundry list of injuries on both sides should make this a choppy game.

Justin Herbert capped off a disappointing year after sustaining a season-ending injury on Sunday, so Easton Stick will make his first career start for the Chargers.

Stick threw for 176 yards in the second half of last week’s game but failed to contribute any points. Keenan Allen (heel) did not practice on Monday or Tuesday, and his potential limitations would result in an even more muted Chargers passing game. However, this LA offense is averaging just 7.6 points across their last three games, meaning there are few places to go but up.

Aidan O’Connell will get another shot against the Chargers after losing his first career start against them in a Week 4 matchup. Though we haven’t seen much improvement from O’Connell since this 24-17 defeat, he may have to shoulder a bit more workload on Thursday night. Josh Jacobs (quad) is questionable to play, and it’s hard to replace the guy who’s been averaging 19.5 carries in games started by O’Connell.

While there’s not much on the line for either team, we did go into last week’s Thursday Night Football game expecting a not-so-invigorating matchup and ended up with a competitive contest.

The game kicks off at 8:15 p.m. ET and can be streamed on Prime Video.

NFL odds via FanDuel Sportsbook. Lines may change after this article is published.

Chargers vs. Raiders Week 15 Betting Odds: Spread, Total, and Moneyline

  • Spread: Raiders -3.0 (-104)
  • Total: 34.5
  • Moneyline: Raiders: -154 | Chargers: +130
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Chargers vs. Raiders Week 15 Matchup Analysis

The Raiders are the deserved home favorites in this one. According to numberFire’s nERD-based power rankings, Las Vegas ranks 27th overall, made up of a 27th-ranked schedule-adjusted offense and 19th-ranked schedule-adjusted defense. Los Angeles ranks a few spots ahead at the 22nd spot, though we can’t take this ranking for its word on Thursday. The Chargers’ 29th-ranked D is saved by their 13th-ranked offense, but without Herbert and maybe even Keenan Allen, we can’t realistically expect an explosive offensive game from the Bolts.

I’d expect a Raiders game that favors the pass script. Though the status of Josh Jacobs isn’t set in stone, his absence would force Las Vegas to become less reliant on their run game, and this should be a great matchup for O’Connell to let the ball fly.

The Chargers have the eighth-worst pass defense in the NFL. They allow 261.9 passing yards (fourth-most) and 1.5 passing touchdowns (tied for eighth-most) per game. However, they are a pressure-heavy team, ranking second in sacks per game. In Week 4, O’Connell was sacked six times by Khalil Mack alone, but Las Vegas has been a bit more protective of their QB as of late, coming in with the 11th-lowest QB sacked percentage across their last three games.

O’Connell has thrown more interceptions (seven) than touchdown passes (four), plus he and Las Vegas put up a goose egg in a 3-0 defeat at the hands of the Minnesota Vikings last Sunday. And while Davante Adams has been wasting away on a bad team, the O’Connell-to-Adams connection is starting to flourish a tad more — Adams is averaging 10.8 targets and 73.5 receiving yards over his last four games. I’d look for this combo to get out ahead of the Chargers below-average secondary.

Even with Justin Herbert starting, the Chargers have managed just two touchdown scores across their last three games. Our sample size for Easton Stick couldn’t get much smaller, but we do know he’ll be playing a Vegas D that lets up the ninth-fewest points (19.9), 10th-fewest passing yards (207.7), and forced Joshua Dobbs to the bench on Sunday.

Maxx Crosby, the defensive standout for this Raiders team, is listed as questionable and has yet to practice this week. If Crosby can’t suit up, Stick and company will get a bit of leeway, but the Chargers’ offense should be put on the back of Austin Ekeler on Thursday.

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Ekeler (injury) didn’t get a chance to face the Raiders in Week 4. Though his utilization in the run game has been muted across his last three games, he should be able to attack the seventh-worst-ranked Vegas rush D that gives up the eighth-most rush yards per game (127.4) and forces opponents to run the ball at the seventh-highest rate.

Despite the fact that the Raiders have the second-worst turnover differential in the league (-10), I’m keen on siding with the home favorites in this one. numberFire has Las Vegas coming out with a victory but failing to cover the spread, projecting this game to end up with a 22.68-21.98 Raiders win.

Raiders vs. Chargers Prop Bets

Austin Ekeler Over 78.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards (-114) / Any Time Touchdown (+170)

I’m all in on a mighty Austin Ekeler game. The Raiders have a solid pass defense and a vulnerable rush defense that gives up 4.4 yards per attempt (eighth-most), resulting in their opponents running the ball at the eighth-highest rate.

Without Ekeler, the Chargers gained 155 yards on the ground against the Raiders in Week 4, and Herbert’s absence should protect this volume.

Vegas allows running backs a total of 139.31 rushing and receiving yards per game. We should see Easton Stick utilize Ekeler in the passing game in a similar way that Herbert has this season. Ekeler’s -3.9 average depth of target proves he is the ultimate panic button option when opposing D’s are generating pressure, and he netted 53 total yards in the second half of last week’s game once Stick was put under center.

The Raiders allow the eighth-highest red zone scoring percentage (62.16%) in the league. Ekeler is rocking with a 60.5% red zone rush share and 16.0% red zone target share, so tagging him to reach the end zone seems like a solid move.

I’d also consider laddering Ekeler’s rushing props — you can get 40-plus rushing yards at -178, 50-plus at +102, 60-plus at +168, and 70-plus at +265. It’s probably best to cap the laddering off at 70 rushing yards. After all, Ekeler hasn’t reached this since the season opener, but I’m interested in the potential here.

Aidan O’Connell 200+ Passing Yards (+102)

O’Connell netted 238 passing yards against the Chargers in Week 4 and has cleared the over on this prop in four out of his six starts. The two occasions in which O’Connell did not reach 200-plus passing yards came against pass D’s that rank in the top 12.

The Chargers have allowed opposing QBs to throw for 200-plus yards in 11 of their 13 games this season, giving up an average of 261.9 passing yards (fourth-most).

O’Connell has been throwing the ball at a super high rate as of late, averaging 35.3 passing attempts over his last three games. I wouldn’t expect this number to take a hit if Josh Jacobs is ruled out for this contest, and the Chargers allow the third-most completions on the road (26.2). I’d even give O’Connell 225-plus Passing Yards at +200 a gander.

— Annie Nader

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]]> Loading UEFA Champions League Odds 2023-24 https://boardroom.tv/uefa-champions-league-odds-2024/ Thu, 14 Dec 2023 14:00:00 +0000 https://boardroom.tv/?p=76752 The race is on for the world’s biggest prize in club sports. Check out the latest 2024 UEFA Champions League odds at FanDuel Sportsbook. POST LAST UPDATED: DEC. 14, 2023 On Saturday, June 1,

The post UEFA Champions League Odds 2023-24 appeared first on Boardroom.

]]> The race is on for the world’s biggest prize in club sports. Check out the latest 2024 UEFA Champions League odds at FanDuel Sportsbook.

POST LAST UPDATED: DEC. 14, 2023

On Saturday, June 1, 2024, the UEFA Champions League will crown its next winner. In the meantime, Manchester City will be content to celebrate the 2023 title that capped off a historic treble-winning campaign.

So, who’s chasing the Sky Blues along the road to continental glory?

This year’s field was confirmed with Aug. 31’s group stage draw, and the group stage was officially narrowed to the final 16. Once again, we’re looking at eight groups of four clubs, with each playing one another home and away for a total of six matches:

  • GROUP A: Bayern Munich, Manchester United, FC Copenhagen, Galatasaray
  • GROUP B: Sevilla, Arsenal, PSV, Lens
  • GROUP C: Napoli, Real Madrid, Braga, Union Berlin
  • GROUP D: Benfica, Inter, Salzburg, Real Sociedad
  • GROUP E: Feyenoord, Atlético Madrid, Lazio, Celtic
  • GROUP F: Paris Saint-Germain, Borussia Dortmund, AC Milan, Newcastle
  • GROUP G: Manchester City, RB Leipzig, Crvena Zvezda (Red Star Belgrade), Young Boys
  • GROUP H: Barcelona, Porto, Shakhtar Donetsk, Antwerp
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The top two in each group after six group stage matches will advance to the knockout rounds. That got us thinking — according to our friends at FanDuel Sportsbook, who’s in pole position to win the whole thing, and where is the sneakiest betting value? Check out the full 2023-24 UEFA Champions League odds rundown below.

2024 UEFA Champions League Odds

All current odds to win championship via FanDuel Sportsbook as of Oct. 25, 2023. “Opening odds” refers to pre-group stage numbers on Aug. 28 following tournament draw.

CLUBCOUNTRYCURRENT
ODDS		OPENING
ODDS
Manchester CityEngland+210+200
Bayern MunichGermany+460+600
Real MadridSpain+600+850
ArsenalEngland+650+1100
BarcelonaSpain+1600+1600
PSGFrance+1400+1800
NewcastleEnglandEliminated+2900
Inter MilanItaly+2100+2900
Atlético MadridSpain+2300+2900
NapoliItaly+4200+2900
Manchester UnitedEnglandEliminated+2300
AC MilanItalyEliminated+4400
Red Bull LeipzigGermany+6500+5000
PortoPortugal+6500+10000
Borussia DortmundGermany+3500+5000
LazioItaly+12000+10000
SevillaSpainEliminated+5000
Real SociedadSpain+5000+10000
BenficaPortugalEliminated+5000
FeyenoordNetherlandsEliminated+12000
GalatasarayTurkeyEliminated+19000
LensFranceEliminated+12000
PSVNetherlands+12000+42000
Red Bull SalzburgAustriaEliminated+16000
Union BerlinGermanyEliminated+12000
BragaPortugalEliminated+42000
CelticScotlandEliminated+16000
Crvena ZvezdaSerbiaEliminated+42000
Shakhtar DonetskUkraineEliminated+42000
Young BoysSwitzerlandEliminated+42000
AntwerpBelgiumEliminated+42000
FC CopenhagenDenmark+19000+42000
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2023-24 Champions League Group Stage Schedule

  • Match 1: Sept. 19-20
  • Match 2: Oct. 3-4
  • Match 3: Oct. 24-25
  • Match 4: Nov. 7-8
  • Match 5: Nov. 28-29
  • Match 6: Dec. 12-13
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UEFA Champions League Pots 2023-24

Before each year’s group stage draw, the 32 qualifying teams were split into so-called Champions League pots. Pot 1 always includes the defending champion (Manchester City), last season’s UEFA Europa League winner (Sevilla), and the domestic champions of the top European leagues not otherwise represented: Spain (Barcelona), Italy (Napoli), Germany (Bayern Munich), France (Paris Saint-Germain), Portugal (Benfica), and the Netherlands (Feyenoord).

The members of the other three pots are determined by the eligible teams’ UEFA club coefficient ranking — click here to learn more about the numbers.

Pot 1

  • Manchester City, Sevilla, Barcelona, Napoli, Bayern Munich, Paris Saint-Germain, Benfica, Feyenoord

Pot 2

  • Real Madrid, Manchester United, Inter Milan, Borussia Dortmund, Atletico Madrid, RB Leipzig, Porto, Arsenal

Pot 3

  • Shakhtar Donetsk, Red Bull Salzburg, AC Milan, Lazio, Crvena Zvezda (Red Star Belgrade)

Pot 4

  • Newcastle United, Union Berlin, Galatasaray, Lens, Celtic, Young Boys, Real Sociedad

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]]> Loading Eagles vs. Cowboys Week 14: Who Do Oddsmakers Like in NFC East Clash? https://boardroom.tv/eagles-cowboys-nfl-sunday-night-football-fanduel-odds/ Sun, 10 Dec 2023 05:01:00 +0000 https://boardroom.tv/?p=84704 To close out a busy Week 14 Sunday slate, our friends at FanDuel have all the odds and props you need for the hyped divisional battle.

The post Eagles vs. Cowboys Week 14: Who Do Oddsmakers Like in NFC East Clash? appeared first on Boardroom.

]]> To close out a busy Week 14 Sunday slate, our friends at FanDuel have all the odds and props you need for the Eagles vs. Cowboys divisional battle.

This article originally appeared at FanDuel Research.

Week 14’s Sunday Night Football matchup between the Philadelphia Eagles and Dallas Cowboys is about as good as it gets. These are two teams who are among the top two records in their conference, they are bitter rivals jostling for the top spot in the NFC East, and each squad features an MVP candidate. You can’t ask for much more.

According to FanDuel Sportsbook’s NFL MVP odds, Jalen Hurts is +350 to win the award while Dak Prescott is +300 (the two shortest odds). Both teams are also among the top six shortest odds to win the Super Bowl with the Eagles at +500 and Cowboys at +900.

Of course, this is also a pivotal race for the NFC East with Philadelphia holding a one-game lead over Dallas. The Eagles took the previous head-to-head matchup in Week 9. If Philly completes the season sweep, expect their odds of winning the division to soar (currently -490). For the Cowboys, this could be their final chance of making a push for the NFC East (currently +330).

Now that the stakes have been laid out, let’s dig into the matchup. Check out FanDuel’s latest NFL odds for the Sunday night showdown.

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Cowboys vs. Eagles Betting Odds: Spread, Total, Moneyline

  • Spread: Cowboys -3.5 (+100)
  • Total: 51.5
  • Moneyline: Cowboys: -194 | Eagles: +162

Eagles vs. Cowboys Week 14 Matchup Analysis

The Eagles are 10-2 with the second-shortest odds to win the Super Bowl, yet they’re underdogs against the Cowboys. Why? Philadelphia was trounced in a 42-19 loss against the San Francisco 49ers in Week 13 — similar to Dallas’ 42-10 loss against the Niners.

Additionally, the Cowboys have the longest active home win streak with 14 consecutive wins. They are also averaging 44.5 points per game (PPG) while going 3-1 against the spread (ATS) over their previous four home games. Dallas’ dominance at home also goes hand in hand with their need to win the NFC East. Gaining home advantage for the playoffs could be what the Cowboys need to finally make a deep run. 

The Eagles’ offensive line has been the subject of criticism in recent weeks. The unit has given up an average of 3.3 sacks over the last four games, and the run game is averaging only 3.7 yards per carry over the last seven games. They also totaled only 46 rushing yards last week. The run game failed to get going in the previous meeting against Dallas at 3.3 yards per carry.

This offensive line is usually continuously praised as one of the league’s best units. With recent struggles, how will they respond? The pass blocking must improve as the Cowboys have the best pass rush win rate and have the fifth-most sacks in the league (38.0). Slowing Micah Parsons will be a tall task as he posted 5.5 sacks over his previous four outings and is the favorite to win Defensive Player of the Year (+100). 

Stopping the run has been Dallas’ weakness on defense; they give up 4.1 yards per carry (11th-best), rank 22nd in run stuff win rate, and have given up 48.9 rushing yards over expectation (16th-worst). Philly could look to ride D’Andre Swift, who had only six carries last week. 

On the other side of the ball, it could be about the Eagles trying to limit Dak Prescott and Co. Since the Week 5 loss against the 49ers, Prescott has been outstanding with 0.34 expected points added per dropback (EPA/DB). CeeDee Lamb has terrorized defenses with 117.7 receiving yards per game, 12.3 yards per game, and 16.7 receiving yards over expectation (RecYOE) since Week 6. 

Philadelphia has allowed -0.01 EPA/DB on the season (9th-worst) and has numberFire’s 10th-worst schedule-adjusted pass defense. 

Ultimately, the Eagles’ run game has not been the same and found little success in the previous matchup. Philadelphia’s secondary could be in store for a long night against the red-hot Prescott. Dallas is an intriguing cover with their hot streak at home; the +100 odds only sweeten the deal. 

The over could also be wise with the Cowboys giving up 35 points and 334 passing yards last week.

Cowboys vs. Eagles Prop Bets

All NFL odds via FanDuel Sportsbook. Lines may change after this article is published.

D’Andre Swift Over 53.5 Rushing Yards (-114)

After giving D’Andre Swift only six carries last week, the Eagles have heard run the ball all week. Eagles fans were even standing outside of the facility to urge Philly to run the rock.

Philadelphia probably feels the pressure and will likely respond on Sunday. Making another Super Bowl run is unlikely without their dominant run game. This is something the Eagles must solve, and quickly.

Dallas clearly has a fearsome pass rush that few teams want to regularly drop back against. How do you slow the pass rush? How about running right at it? 

Stopping the run has been perhaps the only clear flaw of the Cowboys’ defense. This is nothing new; it was the same case last season. They held up well against Philly’s run game in Week 9, but I don’t think that will continue this week.

Taking the over for Swift’s rushing yard total could be more of a gut feeling. He barely touched the ball in Week 13 and averaged 2.4 yards per carry against Dallas this season. 

Ultimately, I believe in this offensive line. It is still 1st in run block win rate while the Cowboys are 22nd in run stuff win rate. Keeping Dallas’ offense off of the field could also be wise as it averages 32.3 PPG (first). Deploying an effective run game could help limit the Cowboys’ possessions.

Swift’s workload could increase this week, leading to the over.

Dak Prescott Over 2.5 Passing Touchdowns (+158) 

I’ve gone over Dak Prescott’s current hot streak; it’s about as good as it gets. He’s averaging 3.3 passing touchdowns per game over his previous six contests. 

The Eagles give up 2.3 passing touchdowns per game (tied for the worst in the league). They allowed an average of 3.0 passing touchdowns per game over the last five games, including four against the 49ers last week. 

Dallas’ passing offense has also had Philly’s number. Prescott totaled 374 passing yards, three touchdowns, and 0.14 EPA/DB in Week 9’s head-to-head clash. 

Dak’s favorite target CeeDee Lamb has consistently torched the Eagles; he’s averaging 10.5 catches, 13.5 targets, and 155.5 receiving yards per game in the last two meetings. 

The Cowboys red zone offense has struggled at times, ranking 17th in scoring percentage (touchdown). However, Philadelphia holds the fourth-worst mark in opponent scoring percentage in the red zone. 

With Dak’s red-hot play and the Eagles’ secondary and red-zone defense, Prescott could continue to stack passing touchdowns this week. The +158 odds are calling my name.

— Riley Thomas

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]]> Loading Devin Haney vs. Regis Prograis: Who Has the Edge at Sportsbooks? https://boardroom.tv/haney-vs-prograis-boxing-fanduel-sportsbook-odds/ Fri, 08 Dec 2023 05:01:00 +0000 https://boardroom.tv/?p=84602 Get set for Saturday’s super lightweight action with the latest Haney vs. Prograis odds and betting insights from FanDuel Research.

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]]> This article originally appeared at FanDuel Research.

Get set for Saturday’s super lightweight action with the latest Haney vs. Prograis odds and betting insights from FanDuel Research.

Since boxing Hall of Famer Andre Ward retired, it is not often that a prize fight takes us to the Bay Area. However, come Saturday night, that’s exactly what we’ll have — prepare for it to be hyphy.

Taking place at San Francisco’s Chase Center (home of the Golden State Warriors), former undisputed champion Devin “The Dream” Haney (30-0, 15 KO) will jump up one division to challenge Regis “Rougarou” Prograis (29-1, 24 KO) for the WBC world super lightweight strap. Can Haney steal new hardware while maintaining his perfect record?

Haney-Prograis will serve as the main event on a seven-bout fight card that also features a women’s title match. This will be Haney’s second time in the ring this year while Prograis has also fought once previously in 2023.

Before the two Americans exchange blows in the “City by the Bay,” let’s see how they match up. For all betting information, how to watch, fighter history, and full card details, read below:

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Devin Haney vs. Regis Prograis Fight Odds

All Haney-Prograis boxing odds via FanDuel Sportsbook.

Moneyline

  • Haney: -450
  • Prograis: +310

Round Total

  • 10.5 rounds (-650/+400)

Will Fight Go the Distance?

  • Yes: -450
  • No: +310

Method Of Victory

  • Haney by Points or Decision: -245
  • Haney by KO/TKO: +850
  • Draw: +1280 (from +2800)
  • Prograis by Points or Decision: +700
  • Prograis by KO/TKO: +630

Specific round betting for Haney-Prograis is also available at FanDuel Sportsbook.

How To Watch Haney vs. Prograis

In the United States, DAZN will hold the pay-per-view rights for Haney-Prograis. For viewers in the UK, the entire program will be available with an existing DAZN subscription.

The seven-match fight card is slated to begin at 8:00 p.m. ET with main event ringwalks for Haney and Prograis scheduled tentatively for 10:37 p.m. ET. Keep in mind, this strap will be hosted not in Southern Nevada, but in Northern California.

Fighter History

Devin Haney

As one of the craftiest fighters in the sport, Devin Haney — having just turned 25 years old — has dazzled his way to an undefeated 30-0 professional record. He spent the past year (June 2022 – August 2023) as the undisputed lightweight champion. Haney regularly features masterful ring skills and generalship, utilizing his lengthy reach of 71 inches.

Currently, “The Dream” finds himself as the No. 7 pound-for-pound fighter on multiple respected lists, such as ESPN and The Ring. After proving to be top dog amongst a hyper-talented lightweight circuit, Haney will now beef up to junior welterweight. Still, for his upcoming bout, he and Prograis both stand at 5-foot-8.

Haney’s most recent spat came over the summer in his hometown of Vegas. Near the end of last May, he shared the ring with Vasiliy Lomachenko for a dozen competitive rounds. In a gritty effort, Haney appeared to be losing after a surge from Loma midway through, but “The Dream” buckled down in deep water, attacking his opponent’s body to control tempo. By fight’s end, Haney was — somewhat controversially — declared winner by unanimous decision.

Immediately prior to the scrap with Loma, Haney showcased back-to-back wins over George Kambosos on foreign soil. Fast-forward to now, and Haney will be fighting back in San Francisco where he was born. This will be his first bout in California since 2019.

If there’s a gripe against Haney’s skillset, it can be associated with his ability as a finisher, yielding a 50% KO rate. For a fighter as notable as him, you might imagine that number to be higher. Considering that, and the fact that Haney is moving up in weight, it makes sense that the bookmakers are adamant on this bout with Prograis going the distance (-450 odds at FanDuel Sportsbook).

Regis Prograis

At the age of 34, Regis Prograis — the WBC super lightweight champ — is absolutely not to be slept on. For you baseball fans and bettors, Prograis is what you would call a “power lefty.” The southpaw from New Orleans showcases a brilliant 29-1 pro record, but what’s paramountly impressive is Prograis’ 82.8% knockout rate.

Nicknamed “Rougarou” (Creole for werewolf), Prograis’ boxing career began in Houston. He became a professional back in 2012, proceeding to win 24 of his bouts by stoppage since then (including four of his past five fights). In his most recent match (first title defense), he earned a split-decision victory over Danielito Zorrilla. On that night in NOLA, Prograis scored a third-round knockdown.

“Rougarou” first won his WBC strap in a vacant match versus Jose Zepeda. Back in November 2022, the two lefties fought fiercely until a wobbling Prograis landed a massive left on Zepeda’s chin, earning an 11th-round knockout in front of the Los Angeles crowd.

Of course, Prograis does have one blemish on his record. In 2019, he and Josh Taylor produced a meeting of unbeaten fighters in London. Despite entering as a slight favorite, “Rougarou” lost a majority decision to Taylor; the Scotsman won 117-112 and 115-113 on the cards in his favor.

At FanDuel Sportsbook, the method of victory category has Prograis as a more likely candidate to win this Saturday by KO/TKO (+630 odds) compared to by points/decision (+700). Weirdly enough, a draw here is priced shorter (+1280) than I have seen in most fights (whereas ties typically show +1600 odds or longer), but I’d still consider that to be a dart.

Devin Haney vs. Regis Prograis Full Card

  • Main Event: Devin Haney vs. Regis Prograis
  • Junior Welterweight: Liam Paro vs. Montana Love
  • Lightweight: Andy Cruz vs. Jovanni Straffon
  • IBF Bantamweight Title Bout: Ebanie Bridges vs. Mayo Yoshida
  • Middleweight: Amari Jones vs. Quilisto Madera
  • Junior Lightweight: Beatriz Ferreira vs. Destiny Jones
  • Junior Lightweight: Shamar Canal vs. Jose Antonio Meza

— Gabriel Santiago

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]]> Loading Chiefs vs. Packers: Is Green Bay an Underdog to Watch on Sunday? https://boardroom.tv/chiefs-vs-packers-prediction-odds-props-nfl/ Sat, 02 Dec 2023 05:01:00 +0000 https://boardroom.tv/?p=84372 Ahead of a sneaky-interesting SNF matchup, our friends at FanDuel Sportsbook have your Chiefs vs. Packers prediction, odds, and more.

The post Chiefs vs. Packers: Is Green Bay an Underdog to Watch on Sunday? appeared first on Boardroom.

]]> This article originally appeared at FanDuel Research.

Ahead of a sneaky-interesting Sunday Night Football matchup, our friends at FanDuel Sportsbook have your Chiefs vs. Packers prediction, odds, and more.

The Kansas City Chiefs (8-3) against the Green Bay Packers (5-6) may seem like an underwhelming Sunday Night Football matchup. According to FanDuel Sportsbook‘s NFL Super Bowl odds, the Chiefs have the shortest odds to win the Lombardi Trophy (+430), and the Packers are -110 to make the playoffs. Plus, the spread favors Kansas City by six points.

However, the recent play of both teams could suggest this one will be closer than what most think. The Chiefs have shown some chinks in their armor by going 2-2 over their last four games. Kansas City was also down 14-0 in the second quarter against the 5-7 Las Vegas Raiders in Week 12.

The Packers have won back-to-back games as underdogs and are 3-1 outright and against the spread (ATS) over their previous four games.

Will Green Bay stay hot in the underdog role? Let’s dive into the matchup, including FanDuel’s latest NFL odds and a breakdown of each squad.

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Chiefs vs. Packers Week 13 Betting Odds: Spread, Total, and Moneyline

  • Spread: Chiefs -6 (-110)
  • Total: 42.5
  • Moneyline:
    • Chiefs: -255
    • Packers: +210

Chiefs vs. Packers Week 13 Matchup Analysis

The Chiefs have won with a different formula this season: defense. The offense has not been as dominant as we are used to (numberFire‘s seventh-best unit). Meanwhile, the defense is the fifth-best unit in the league. Even with the change of play, Kansas City is the sixth-best squad in numberFire’s nERD-based power rankings.

The defense has especially excelled against the pass by allowing only 176.6 passing yards per game (fourth-best) and 5.6 yards per passing attempt (third-best). They have also held opponents to -0.21 expected points added per dropback (EPA/DB) — the fifth-best mark in the NFL.

Following early-season struggles with interceptions in five consecutive games, Green Bay’s Jordan Love has caught fire over the last month. The Packers’ signal-caller has 0.19 EPA/DB over his previous four games compared to -0.11 EPA/DB in the first seven games of the season. Love was electric in the 29-22 win against the Detroit Lions on Thanksgiving with 0.34 EPA/DB, a 7.3% completion percentage over expectation (CPOE%), and three passing touchdowns.

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The upcoming matchup between the Chiefs’ secondary and Love could be the most anticipated collision. Whoever gains the upper hand could decide the outcome.

Green Bay will likely be looking to take advantage of Kansas City’s run defense, though. They have numberFire’s 11th-worst adjusted run defense and give up 4.6 yards per carry (fifth-worst). The Packers’ rushing attack has lacked at 4.1 yards per carry (13th-worst), but injuries have been a part of the equation.

Aaron Jones has missed four games, including Week 12’s matchup with the Lions. He is questionable with a knee injury, and to make matters worse, A.J. Dillon is questionable with a groin setback. This could leave most of the workload to Patrick Taylor, who had a 48.1% snap share, -3.1 rushing yards over expectation (RYOE), and three carries last week.

If the backfield is not healthy, Green Bay could almost fully rely on Love’s arm, especially with the inexperienced Taylor at halfback. This would likely be a big blow to the Packers’ chances of winning. Keeping Patrick Mahomes and Co. off of the field with a successful run game would be a major advantage.

Yes, I said the Chiefs’ offense has not been as successful this season. This is still Mahomes and Andy Reid, though.

The passing game leads the way as numberFire’s eighth-best unit in schedule-adjusted passing offense. Following a rough showing with -0.37 EPA/DB in Week 11, Mahomes bounced back in Week 12 with 0.28 EPA/DB against the Raiders. Kansas City totaled 31 points in last week’s win — their third 30-point game of the season.

The Chiefs have lacked consistent receiver play, which allows defenses to focus on Travis Kelce. However, rookie wideout Rashee Rice has emerged and comes off a career-high week with 8 receptions, 10 targets, and 107 receiving yards. After totaling 36.9 receiving yards over expectation (RecYOE) with a 67.2% snap share, Rice could help Kansas City’s offense return to their dominant form.

The Packers have numberFire’s 14th-best schedule-adjusted pass defense. After giving up over 300 passing yards last week, will Green Bay halt the Chiefs’ passing game?

Ultimately, this game could come down to the passing games. Neither rushing attack has excelled, ranking in the bottom half of rushing yards per carry. Both air attacks have found their footing in recent games.

The turnover battle is another area to watch as Kansas City averages the ninth-most giveaways per game, and Green Bay averages only 1.1 giveaways per game (sixth-fewest). The Packers are averaging 2.0 takeaways over the last two weeks, including three fumble recoveries last week.

Love is playing excellent football at the right time, and Green Bay’s defense has been opportunistic. I like the Packers to cover the spread as an underdog once again.

Chiefs vs. Packers Prop Bets

All NFL odds via FanDuel Sportsbook. Lines may change after this article is published.

Jordan Love 2+ Passing Touchdowns (+148)

Kansas City’s secondary certainly boasts impressive marks as numberFire’s fifth-best schedule-adjusted passing defense. When it comes to giving up touchdowns, the Chiefs’ pass defense is not as good as you would think. It gives up 1.2 passing touchdowns per game — tied with seven teams as the fifth-lowest mark.

This bodes well for Jordan Love, who has recorded at least two passing touchdowns in three consecutive games. Love has been on fire as he had 0.34 EPA/DB in Week 12.

The Packers may also be more prone to throwing the ball in the red zone with Aaron Jones and AJ Dillon questionable. Green Bay’s receivers also come off impressive outings as Christian Watson (12.9 RecYOE) and Romeo Doubs (6.3 RecYOE) posted solid RecYOE.

Rashee Rice 5+ Receptions (+108)

As previously mentioned, Rashee Rice is steadily becoming one of Patrick Mahomes’ favorite targets. Over the first six weeks of the season, Rice had a 38.3% snap share while averaging 4.7 targets per game. Since Week 7, he has a 63.1% snap share (the highest among Kansas City receivers) and is averaging 5.6 targets per game.

After recording a career-high 8 receptions and 10 targets in Week 12, targeting 5 receptions for Rice could be a sound bet. The run game has not been great either with Isiah Pacheco totaling -2.2 rushing yards over expectation (RYOE) since Week 7.

The passing game could be at the forefront after Mahomes recorded 298 passing yards and 2 touchdowns with a 79.4% completion percentage last week.

The Chiefs have had a clear need for improved receiver play. Rice is providing exactly that. Why would Kansas City decrease his workload now? It even freed up Travis Kelce last week as he totaled 91 receiving yards — his most since Week 7. Rice could be in store for another big performance.

— Riley Thomas

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]]> Chiefs vs. Packers Prediction: Odds, Props, & More %%page%% %%sep%% %%sitename%% Ahead of a sneaky-interesting SNF matchup, our friends at FanDuel Sportsbook have your Chiefs vs. Packers prediction, odds, and more. FanDuel,football,Green Bay Packers,Jordan Love,Kansas City Chiefs,NFL,Odds,chiefs vs. packers prediction Loading Ryan Garcia vs. Oscar Duarte Odds & Prop Bets Overview https://boardroom.tv/ryan-garcia-vs-oscar-duarte-odds-prop-bets-fanduel/ Fri, 01 Dec 2023 17:26:33 +0000 https://boardroom.tv/?p=84335 Get ready for Ryan Garcia vs. Oscar Duarte with the latest information from our friends at FanDuel Sportsbook.

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]]> Get ready for Ryan Garcia vs. Oscar Duarte with the latest numbers from our friends at FanDuel Sportsbook.

We haven’t seen Ryan Garcia step into the ring since he couldn’t get back up after taking a body shot from Gervonta Davis in the seventh round of their April fight. Standing four inches taller than Davis, it was the first loss of Garcia’s career — one in which he felt dehydrated and weak at the lightweight division.

So he made a decision: He’s going to fight at junior welterweight (up to 140 pounds) from now on. Despite Davis simply being the better boxer that night, it was apparent that moving up was necessary for Garcia at that size.

With the move comes a slew of new opponents — Teofimo Lopez, Regis Prograis, and Josh Taylor — but also brings with it some familiar faces. One of those is Davis, who may not compete at 140, but Garcia has been adamant about having a rematch with him after the first fight was done at a catchweight. Another is Devin Haney, who vacated his belts at 135 pounds to also move up to junior welterweight starting with Prograis on Dec. 9. in San Francisco.

All of these boxers likely share the same sentiment about themselves, but if Garcia has his way, he’ll be running the 140-pound division in no time.

“I’m going to run through the 140 division, and I’m going to become a champion,” Garcia told Boardroom on The ETCs. “That’s my goal — become a champion. … I’m going to earn it just like I earned it in the amateurs, earned it coming up, earned it. Now, I’m going to earn it, and I’m going to get that rematch [against Gervonta], and I’m going to beat him. That’s my goal. That’s what I want to do.”

But first, Garcia must not look too far ahead and get past Duarte on Saturday night at the Toyota Center in Houston. To prep for the bout, Boardroom lays out the latest odds and prop bets from our friends over at FanDuel Sportsbook.

Ryan Garcia vs. Oscar Duarte Odds to Win

All odds and props are via FanDuel Sportsbook as of Friday morning. Subject to change ahead of fight.

Moneyline

Ryan Garcia: -550
Oscar Duarte: +340

Moneyline (3-way)

Garcia: -420
Duarte: +350
Draw: +1280

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Ryan Garcia vs. Oscar Duarte Prop Bets

Method of victory

Ryan Garcia by KO/TKO: -128
Ryan Garcia by points/decision: +280

Oscar Duarte by KO/TKO: +580
Oscar Duarte by points/decision: +880

Draw: +1280

Over/under total rounds

OVER 8.5: -118
UNDER 8.5: -108

Will the fight go the distance?

Yes: +280
No: -410

Special FanDuel Fight Props

Ryan Garcia to win in 60 seconds: +15000
Oscar Duarte to win in 60 seconds: +25000
Ryan Garcia to be knocked down AND win: +1000
Oscar Duarte to be knocked down AND win: +1100
Both fighters get knocked down: +850
Fight will end in Rounds 1-3: +800
Fight will end in Rounds 4-6: +470
Fight will end in Rounds 7-9: +260
Fight will end in Rounds 10-12: +470
A knockdown in any of Rounds 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, or 6: +170
1+ Knockdowns in the fight: -240
2+ Knockdowns in the fight: +220
3+ Knockdowns in the fight: +850

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]]> Ryan Garcia vs. Oscar Duarte Odds & Prop Bets Overview - Boardroom Get ready for Ryan Garcia vs. Oscar Duarte with the latest information from our friends over at FanDuel Sportsbook. betting,boxing,FanDuel,FanDuel Sportsbook,Odds,Ryan Garcia,sports betting,garcia vs. duarte Loading Bears vs. Vikings Prediction: Where’s the Smart Money Going on Monday Night Football? https://boardroom.tv/bears-vs-vikings-prediction-odds-prop-bets-nfl-week-12/ Mon, 27 Nov 2023 19:59:31 +0000 https://boardroom.tv/?p=84151 They meet again. Our friends at FanDuel Sportsbook get you set for Monday night with your Bears vs. Vikings prediction and props to watch.

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]]> This article originally appeared at FanDuel Research.

Chicago and Minnesota are set to meet for the second time this season. Our friends at FanDuel Sportsbook get you set for Monday Night Football with your Bears vs. Vikings prediction and props to watch.

The Chicago Bears (3-8) will visit the Minnesota Vikings (6-5) for a divisional game to wrap up Week 12.

The Vikings edged the Bears 19-13 in a Week 6 game at Soldier Field. In that matchup, Kirk Cousins was at the helm for Minnesota, Tyson Bagent took a majority of the snaps for Chicago, and D’Onta Foreman led both teams in rush yards. We won’t see any of these players featured tonight.

Justin Fields (thumb) will make his second start back for the Bears whereas Foreman (ankle) finds himself on the injury report.

Cousins suffered a torn Achilles in Week 8 and will miss the remainder of the season. Losing Cousins, who up until his injury was throwing for 300-plus yards and multiple touchdowns more often than not, is a major blow for the Vikings, but all is not lost.

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Joshua Dobbs has taken over the signal-caller role, and Minnesota fans couldn’t ask for much more from him through three games. Dobbs has thrown for four touchdowns, rushed for three, and tossed just one interception in his Vikings era.

The Vikings’ five-game winning streak was snapped last week in a 21-20 defeat, but the energy has shifted in Minnesota. After starting the season 1-4, they now hold -230 playoff odds going into tonight.

Bright spots for the Bears, meanwhile, have been few and far between this season. Their three wins have been against teams that sit in the bottom eight of numberFire’s power rankings while their average margin of loss stands at a meaty 10.8 points. Last week, they held a 10-point fourth-quarter lead over the Detroit Lions but allowed 17 unanswered Detroit points in the final four minutes.

Chicago has a young and scrappy team, but at this point, they are hardly playing for anything other than an advantageous draft position.

The game kicks off at 8:15 p.m. ET and can be watched on ABC and ESPN.

NFL odds via FanDuel Sportsbook. Lines may change after this article is published.

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Bears at Vikings Week 12 Betting Odds: Spread, Total, and Moneyline

  • Spread: Vikings -3.0 (-105)
  • Total: 43.5
  • Moneyline:
    • Vikings: -154
    • Bears: +130

Bears at Vikings Week 12 Matchup Analysis

The numbers show this matchup may be more lopsided than the spread indicates. Per numberFire’s power rankings, the Vikings sit pretty in the 9th spot while the Bears fall far behind as the 24th-ranked team. Chicago drifts in the bottom 10 of both offense and defense whereas Minnesota ranks 11th on both sides of the ball.

We should expect a pass-heavy game from both teams — or at least anticipate offensive success to come via the passing game. The Bears allow the second-fewest rush yards per game (79.5) and fewest yards per rush attempt (3.4), while the Vikings allow the eighth-fewest rush yards (94.0) and the fourth-fewest yards per rush attempt (3.7).

These factors would likely favor Minnesota, who hold the fifth-lowest rush play percentage to Chicago’s third-highest. With that being said, the Vikings have been rushing the ball and have the sixth-highest rate since Dobbs joined the team — though his Passing Net Expected Points (NEP) have increased six points in the same span.

Though the Bears are one of the least sacrificial defenses on the ground, they do let up the seventh-most passing yards per game (245.9). The spots where the Bears D falters most happen to be in the gravest instances.

No team in the league allows a higher third-down conversion percentage (47.55%) to opponents than Chicago, and this percentage increases to a towering 58.23% on the road.

Further, the Bears are allowing a league-high 75.0% red zone scoring percentage to opponents. For comparison, the Vikings allow only a 53.3% red zone scoring percentage.

Justin Jefferson (hamstring) was marked as questionable for tonight but is not expected to play. T.J. Hockenson has been incredible this season and leads all tight ends in the league with 736 yards, but the Bears have been solid against tight ends this year, allowing an average of 47.55 receiving yards to this position.

Instead, it would be advisable to keep your eyes peeled for a big Jordan Addison game. The rookie receiver has stepped up amid Jefferson’s absence, leading the team in red zone and end-zone target share.

Justin Fields was incredible on the ground in his first game back from injury last week, rushing for a season-high 104 yards. If he can follow up on this type of play and permit the Bears offense to operate as a dual-threat in the air and on the ground, perhaps he can look to grab his first career win against Minnesota. Although last week’s late-game flub further exposed the disarray within Chicago’s coaching staff.

The Vikings are 2-0 in the NFC North this season while the Bears have dropped all three of their games in the division.

Bears vs. Vikings Best Bets

Vikings -3.0 (-105)

Siding with Minnesota to cover seems to be the right move tonight. The Bears have a single road victory to their name this season and a -50 point differential for away games.

This, paired with an indefensible 58.23% third-down conversion percentage allowed on the road, gives Minnesota a major home advantage.

Since Dobbs has taken over as QB1, the Vikings are averaging 4.3 red zone scoring attempts per game (third-most). Look for Minnesota to use these opportunities to capitalize off of Chicago’s league-high red zone scoring percentage allowed to opponents.

The Vikings have kept one win this season within three points while the Bears have kept one loss within three points. Minnesota’s -154 moneyline odds aren’t thrilling but are undervalued nonetheless.

numberFire anticipates a 26.49-22.29 Vikings win.

Jordan Addison Over 49.5 Receiving Yards (-114) and Anytime Touchdown (+185)

Jordan Addison has eclipsed 50 yards in 8 out of 11 games this season, and we should expect more of the same tonight.

Addison is rocking with a 25.3% target share since Jefferson was placed on IR and has seen a team-high 10.6 aDOT in this span. He’s also been playing 90.7% of snaps (team-high), making him a clear option to target against a Bears D that allows 143.18 receiving yards to wide receivers.

I’d also look out for Addison to reach the end zone for the eighth time this season. He has a team-high 29.4% red zone target share and 33.3% end zone target share since Jefferson’s injury.

These numbers have dipped a bit since Dobbs took over, but the Bears allow the third-most passing touchdowns per game (2.0) and the second-most on the road (2.3), so the Dobbs-to-Addison end-zone connection could be primed for a debut.

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Alexander Mattison Over 10.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

Alexander Mattison doesn’t see a whole lot of action in the passing game, but that could change with this matchup.

The Bears give up almost as many receiving yards (63.27) to running backs as they do rushing (64.09). This resulted in Mattison being targeted 7 times for 28 yards in Week 6’s game against Chicago.

Mattison is averaging 6.5 yards per reception and has had 11-plus yard receptions in four games this season. A catch or two should do the trick for this prop.

D.J. Moore Over 60.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

While I do believe the Vikings as a whole are underrated going into tonight’s game, their 23rd-ranked pass defense is properly rated, and the Bears have an offensive weapon that can take advantage.

D.J. Moore is running a whopping 96.9% of routes this season and also leads the team in target share (25.8%), aDOT (12.5), and downfield targets (3.3).

Minnesota gives up way too many yards to wide receivers (170.91 per game) for Moore to not be of interest.

When Moore is involved and succeeds, so do the Bears. He is averaging 40.3 yards in games where the Bears have lost by more than 10 points whereas he averages 96.0 yards when the Bears end the game within at least 10 points.

numberFire’s projections and the spread indicate that Chicago can stay within striking distance throughout this game, and hefty Moore yardage should come hand-in-hand.

— Annie Nader

Bears vs. Vikings Prediction

The numberFire projections model gives the Vikings a 64.2% chance of victory against Chicago.

A spread of 3 points and total of 43.5 implies a final score of approximately 23-20.

Bears vs. Vikings prediction via numberFire projection model

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]]> Bears vs. Vikings Prediction, Odds & Prop Bets: NFL Week 12 %%page%% %%sep%% %%sitename%% They meet again. Our friends at FanDuel Sportsbook get you set for Monday night with your Bears vs. Vikings prediction and props to watch. Chicago Bears,FanDuel,FanDuel Sportsbook,football,Jordan Addison,Justin Fields,Justin Jefferson,Minnesota Vikings,NFL,Odds,sports betting,TJ Hockenson,bears vs vikings prediction Loading Screenshot-2023-11-27-at-2.23.12-PM NFL Week 12 Predictions: Saints, Texans, & Playoff Implications https://boardroom.tv/nfl-week-12-predictions-fanduel-sportsbook/ Sat, 25 Nov 2023 05:01:00 +0000 https://boardroom.tv/?p=84124 Grab your leftovers and get ready for a full slate of football this weekend. FanDuel Research has all your NFL Week 12 predictions.

The post NFL Week 12 Predictions: Saints, Texans, & Playoff Implications appeared first on Boardroom.

]]> Grab your Thanksgiving leftovers and get ready for a full slate of football this weekend. FanDuel Research has all your NFL Week 12 predictions here.

This article originally appeared at FanDuel Research

After the Thanksgiving slate and the Black Friday game, we still have lots of football to help ourselves to on Sunday.

The headline game for Sunday is a matchup between the Buffalo Bills and Philadelphia Eagles — two teams expected to be Super Bowl contenders this season.

Another big matchup is a battle in the AFC South. The Houston Texans have won three games in a row and sit one game behind the Jacksonville Jaguars — who will be their opponents this week.

We also have a game between the New Orleans Saints and Atlanta Falcons that could decide first place in the NFC South.

These games will have huge implications for the playoffs, but which games could have implications for our wallets, if we decide to bet them? Let’s look at the Week 12 odds and see what value could be out there.

All NFL odds via FanDuel Sportsbook. Lines may change after this article is published.

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NFL Week 12 Predictions

NFL Week 12Kickoff (ET)Favorite
New England Patriots at New York Giants1 p.m.NE
Pittsburgh Steelers at Cincinnati Bengals1 p.m.PIT
Carolina Panthers at Tennessee Titans1 p.m.TEN
Jacksonville Jaguars at Houston Texans1 p.m.JAX
New Orleans Saints at Atlanta Falcons1 p.m.ATL
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Indianpolis Colts1 p.m.IND
Los Angeles Rams at Arizona Cardinals4:05 PMARI
Cleveland Browns at Denver Broncos4:05 PMDEN
Kansas City Chiefs at Las Vegas Raiders4:25 PMKC
Buffalo Bills at Philadelphia Eagles4:25 PMPHI
Baltimore Ravens at Los Angeles Chargers8:20 PMBAL

New Orleans Saints at Atlanta Falcons

  • Time: 1 p.m. EST
  • TV: FOX
  • Spread: ATL -1.5 (-102)
  • Moneyline: NO -102/ ATL -116
  • Total: 42.5

It may be the worst division in football this year, but the winner of the NFC South will still get a playoff berth.

Both the Saints and the Falcons come into this week off of their bye after losing their last game. Atlanta has actually lost their last three games, and the screws are starting to be tightened on Arthur Smith. He called talk of Desmond Ridder potentially being benched “toxic group think” before eventually benching Ridder. Now, he’s turning back to Ridder for the remainder of the season.

The Saints lost their last game to the Minnesota Vikings, and Derek Carr went down injured. It looks like Carr will be healthy enough to go this Sunday.

Best Bet: Saints +1.5 (-120)

I’m backing the Saints in this spot. They have enough offensive weapons to do damage versus a Falcons’ defense that ranks just 14th, according to numberFire’s metrics.

Atlanta has good numbers against the run, but a lot of that came before Grady Jarrett went down with an injury. They haven’t won a game without Jarrett and have allowed 4.68 yards per carry since he’s been out of the lineup.

New Orleans can win this game if they find ways to involve all of their key offensive players. In their last win, Taysom Hill scored two touchdowns. He may be seen as a gadget player, but he’s a very effective red-zone piece to this offense.

Arthur Smith has really struggled to get his talented offensive players consistently involved. Top-10 picks Kyle Pitts, Drake London and Bijan Robinson are not put in positions — by their coach or their quarterback — to create big plays. Bijan got 22 carries last game, but that was in a losing effort, which could cause Smith to change the game plan.

It’s unlikely that the Falcons have their breakout offensive performance against this Saints defense that ranks seventh by numberFire. If you back the Saints, you’re getting points with the better QB and better coach. That’s a recipe I like when looking to bet a side in the NFL.

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Jacksonville Jaguars at Houston Texans

  • Time: 1 p.m. EST
  • TV: CBS
  • Spread: JAX -1.5 (-110)
  • Moneyline: JAX -124/ HOU +106
  • Total: 48.5

The Houston Texans were widely criticized for their draft day trade to move next year’s first-round pick to take Will Anderson Jr., with some thinking they could have potentially traded a top-five selection if things went poorly.

Luckily, head coach DeMeco Ryans, offensive coordinator Bobby Slowik, C.J. Stroud and Anderson have all been contributing to a surprising surge for the Texans. They’ve now won three games in a row and are in position to make the playoffs.

The Jacksonville Jaguars bounced back with a win last week after a poor showing in Week 10. Prior to that, they had won five games in a row, with the previous loss being at home against these Texans.

Best Bet: Texans ML (+106)

I’m riding with the Texans to keep this streak going. Despite throwing three interceptions last week, Stroud says he won’t slow down. This is definitely a good thing for Houston, as he had thrown only two interceptions before that over the entire season.

Houston’s passing offense is the fourth-best in the NFL, according to numberFire’s metrics. It was hard to envision that happening before the season, with a rookie QB and no amazing weapons for him to target. That’s where credit has to be given to the coaching staff, as they’ve been successful even with wide receivers going in and out of the lineup throughout the season.

Jacksonville’s offense hasn’t been amazing despite their overall team success. The Jags’ O ranks 21st overall by nF. They look unlikely to thrive in the run game this week, as their 30th-ranked rushing offense is up against the eighth-best rush defense.

There’s a case to be made for Houston just being a better overall team than Jacksonville, so I’ll take the odds and back them as a home underdog in this spot.

Buffalo Bills at Philadelphia Eagles

  • Time: 4:25 p.m. EST
  • TV: CBS
  • Spread: PHI -3 (-120)
  • Moneyline: BUF +140/ PHI -166
  • Total: 48.5

The Buffalo Bills needed to get their season back on track last week with a dominant win over the New York Jets. Whether it was firing Ken Dorsey or playing the Jets, Buffalo got exactly what it needed.

Also last week, the Philadelphia Eagles got what they had been longing for since February, a win over the Kansas City Chiefs. Of course, they would have liked to have the Super Bowl win, but for this season, this was as sweet as it gets.

Sometimes after important wins, teams can be in a letdown spot the next week. That’s unlikely to be the case here, with both teams knowing how good their opponent is.

Best Bet: Eagles -3.0 (-120)

It’s still too early to say the Bills’ offense is fixed. They faced a Jets team that did most of the damage to themselves. New York turned the ball over four times, leading to 17 points for the Bills.

Josh Allen limited himself to just one interception on the day and three touchdowns. A whopping 81 of his 275 yards came from one play to Khalil Shakir, which featured some very questionable routes to the ball carrier by the defense.

Buffalo still couldn’t really get Stefon Diggs involved. Their star wide receiver had just four catches for 27 yards. A lot of their offensive success came from throwing to running backs — and Philly defends backs in the passing game better than any team in the league.

Philly’s pass defense hasn’t been the same this season, but they were able to contain Patrick Mahomes for the most part. They should be able to play even better at home this week.

The Bills lost another key defensive player when Taylor Rapp got hurt last week. Add him to Tre’Davious White, Matt Milano, Kaiir Elam and Taron Johnson, and you have one banged-up defense — especially in the secondary. That doesn’t bode well against A.J. Brown, who’s tied for second in the league in receiving yards.

The Eagles’ offensive line gave up some sacks last week but played well overall against the Chiefs. The unit is currently ranked second by PFF and should have an advantage this week.

With Philly arguably the best team in the league this season, I’ll lay the three points with the Eagles in this game.

— Nicholas Vazquez

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]]> NFL Week 12 Predictions: Saints, Texans, & Playoff Implications - Boardroom Grab your leftovers and get ready for a full slate of football this weekend. FanDuel Research has all your NFL Week 12 predictions. AJ Brown,Atlanta Falcons,Buffalo Bills,CJ Stroud,Derek Carr,FanDuel,football,Houston Texans,Jacksonville Jaguars,Josh Allen,New Orleans Saints,NFL,Odds,Philadelphia Eagles,sports betting,Stefon Diggs,nfl week 12 predictions Loading Eagles vs. Chiefs Week 11: Who Do Oddsmakers Like in Super Bowl Rematch? https://boardroom.tv/eagles-vs-chiefs-week-11-monday-night-football-odds/ Mon, 20 Nov 2023 22:31:12 +0000 https://boardroom.tv/?p=83959 To close out the Week 11 schedule, our friends at FanDuel have all the odds and props you need for the Super Bowl rematch -- Eagles vs. Chiefs.

The post Eagles vs. Chiefs Week 11: Who Do Oddsmakers Like in Super Bowl Rematch? appeared first on Boardroom.

]]> This article originally appeared at FanDuel Research.

To close out the Week 11 schedule, our friends at FanDuel have all the odds and props you need for the Super Bowl rematch — Eagles vs. Chiefs.

In what is likely the most highly anticipated game of the regular season, the Philadelphia Eagles (8-1) will visit the Kansas City Chiefs (7-2) to cap off Week 11.

This matchup is fraught with storylines. Not only will we see a Super Bowl LVII rematch, but this could be a preview of what we may have in store for Super Bowl LVIII — both teams enter the night as the betting favorite to win their respective conference.

The Kelce brothers will also face each other for the fifth time ever. Travis Kelce has yet to lose against Jason Kelce.

Each team is fresh off a bye week, and former Eagles-turned-Chiefs head coach Andy Reid has a storied 20-3 record following the bye.

A fairly clean injury report should keep the excitement and competitiveness in this game, though potential rainfall could make this a messy one.

Can Andy Reid maintain his post-bye dominance? Or will Jalen Hurts and the Birds come into Arrowhead Stadium and get revenge on last season’s Super Bowl victors?

The can’t-miss game kicks off at 8:15 p.m. ET and can be watched on ABC and ESPN.

All NFL odds via FanDuel Sportsbook. Lines may change after this article is published.

Chiefs vs. Eagles Betting Odds: Spread, Total, and Moneyline

  • Spread: Chiefs -2.5 (-115)
  • Total: 45.5
  • Moneyline: Chiefs -148 | Eagles +126
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Eagles vs. Chiefs Matchup Analysis

Home-field advantage is the biggest swing vote with this spread. Similar to last season, Kansas City has dropped just one game at Arrowhead, with this year’s singular home loss coming in a Kelce-less season opener against the Detroit Lions.

Away teams at Arrowhead are drawing the second-fewest penalties among road sides in the NFL, and the Chiefs are averaging one extra takeaway at home. With that being said, it’s hard to imagine this Eagles team, one that boasts the best record in the league, coming out anything other than strongly tonight.

Per numberFire’s power rankings, the Eagles have the sixth-best offense, while the Chiefs have the eighth-best O. Patrick Mahomes ranks a hair above Jalen Hurts by Passing Net Expected Points (NEP) per drop back, though Hurts has a bit more talent to work with on offense.

AJ Brown is one of four players in the league to have already hit the 1,000-receiving-yard mark, DeVonta Smith is about as good as it gets as far as second-string receiving targets are concerned, and D’Andre Swift has been a great addition to the backfield.

The Chiefs’ offense has been somewhat muted over their last two games, scoring just two touchdowns in that span. Mahomes and Kansas City are the type of team to bounce back from this, especially given the bye week, though we shouldn’t expect much action to happen on the ground tonight.

Isiah Pacheco has been good in his sophomore season, but the Eagles give up fewer rush yards than anyone in the league — by a lot. Although the Birds’ D is a bastion on the ground, their secondary does not fare as well. On a per-game basis, Philadelphia gives up the fourth-most passing yards and second-most passing touchdowns.

Though Mahomes’ non-Kelce receivers can sometimes feel like choosing a name out of a hat, the reigning MVP can pick apart even the strongest of pass defenses, so it’s safe to say that heavier rainfall would likely favor the Eagles tonight.

Rookie wide receiver Rashee Rice has worked his way up the Mahomes’ target totem pole as of late, while Skyy Moore ranks third (behind Kelce and Rice) in target share. No team allows a higher pass-play percentage than Philadelphia does so look for the already pass-heavy Chiefs to continue this game plan.

While the Eagles give up the fourth-most passing yards, the Chiefs give up the fourth-fewest.

Kansas City has, by numberFire’s metrics, the sixth-best defense in the league, which is led — first and foremost — by their solid pass defense. They give up the third-fewest yards per pass attempt and average the third-most sacks per game.

Their defense struggles more on the ground, sacrificing the 16th-most rushing yards and fourth-most yards per rush attempt, so look for a big game from Swift.

Tight end Dallas Goedert is one of few notable injuries in this game, and his third-highest target share could swing the door open for alternative Philadelphia receivers.

The final score of last season’s Chiefs-Eagles Super Bowl matchup stood at 38-35, while their meeting in 2021 — the only other Mahomes-vs.-Hurts game — resulted in a 42-30 Chiefs victory. A towering 18 touchdowns were scored across these two games.

While tougher defenses and dicey weather may help the defenses tonight, historically, these games have been shootouts, and it wouldn’t be bold to expect this one to come down to the wire.

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Chiefs vs. Eagles Best Bets

D’Andre Swift Over 13.5 Rush Attempts (-130) / 70+ Rushing Yards (+138)

Iffy weather, an unforgiving Kansas City pass D, and a so-so KC run defense — this game has all the fixings for a monster D’Andre Swift game.

Save for a no-show season opener outing — prior to Swift’s preeminence on the Eagles running back depth chart — he is averaging 76.38 rush yards on 16.75 carries per game.

As mentioned, the Chiefs let up the fourth-most yards per rush attempt. They also force the third-highest rush-play percentage at home.

Though Jalen Hurts will undoubtedly be a candidate to see some work on the ground, Swift’s workload should be strong tonight — Kenneth Gainwell has only five carries over his last two games.

The Chiefs come into the night with the fourth-ranked overall defense. The Eagles have played three teams that rank in the top 12 of numberFire’s defensive power rankings this season. Swift averaged 116 rush yards against these teams (Dallas Cowboys, Minnesota Vikings, and Tampa Bay Buccaneers).

numberFire’s model predicts Swift to rush for 69.72 yards on 15.69 carries. I’m all in on Swift to surpass his rush attempts prop — he’s done so in all but one game since the season opener. You can also get Swift Over 59.5 Rushing Yards at -114, though I like the idea of committing to a big Swift game and targeting him to run for 70-plus yards at +138.

Skyy Moore Any Time Touchdown (+600)

Patrick Mahomes has thrown for eight touchdowns in just two career games against the Eagles. The Birds are allowing the second-most passing touchdowns per game (2.1) and have allowed the most over their last three games (2.7).

Travis Kelce (-125 anytime TD) and Rashee Rice (+200) are the likely touchdown recipients, but I think Mahomes spreads the wealth enough to make Skyy Moore a potentially worthwhile move at +600.

Moore has reached the end zone just once this season, but he does have the third-highest mark in both target share and route rate on the team. More importantly, he has a decent enough 11.8% red zone target share (fourth) and a sizable 18.8% end zone target share (tied for second).

The odds on this prove it’s a longshot, but the Chiefs should continue to play a pass-first game in this matchup, and if Mahomes gets going, I think Moore is a good candidate to get in on the fun.

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]]> Loading NFL Week 11 Predictions: From the Jets & Bills to CeeDee Lamb and the Cowboys https://boardroom.tv/nfl-week-11-expert-betting-picks-predictions/ Sat, 18 Nov 2023 05:01:00 +0000 https://boardroom.tv/?p=83893 Get ready for a pivotal Week 11 of the NFL season with expert picks and predictions, courtesy of our friends at FanDuel Sportsbook.

The post NFL Week 11 Predictions: From the Jets & Bills to CeeDee Lamb and the Cowboys appeared first on Boardroom.

]]> This article originally appeared at FanDuel Research

Get ready for a pivotal Week 11 of the NFL season with expert picks and predictions, courtesy of our friends at FanDuel Sportsbook.

Each week throughout the NFL season, the staff here at FanDuel Research will bring you their three favorite bets on the board — one side, one total, and one player prop. They’ll share some insight into one of the picks to provide you with reasoning as to why they’re on that bet.

All odds come from the NFL odds at FanDuel Sportsbook.

Note: Betting lines and numberFire’s player projections may change after this article is published.

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NFL Expert Betting Picks for Week 11

Jim Sannes, Digital Media Managing Editor

Side: Buffalo Bills -7 (-110)

This has shifted to -7 from -6.5 earlier in the week, so you now push on 7, but I’m still showing a lot of value. The Bills offense has been really, really efficient this year. You just have to decide whether their wild turnover rate is sustainable. Josh Allen has cut down his turnover-worthy play rate, but the results have swung against him. They’re now facing a Jets team that will struggle to exploit their banged-up defense, so I think this is a spot where laying the 7 is fully justifiable.

Total: Tampa Bay Buccaneers at San Francisco 49ers over 41.5 (-110)

Player Prop: George Kittle Under 41.5 Receiving Yards (-108)

Austin Swaim, Senior Editor

Side: New York Giants +9.5 (-115)

Total: Dallas Cowboys at Carolina Panthers Over 41.5 (-115)

Player Prop: Josh Jacobs Over 17.5 Rush Attempts (-114)

Unless the Dolphins have absolutely torched the Raiders early, Jacobs’ current workload with the new regime should comfortably eclipse this prop. He’s gotten at least 26 carries in both games, and 19 of his 27 carries last week came either tied or trailing. He’s projected for 17.9 carries by numberFire’s model, and I expect a heavy dose of Las Vegas’ lead tailback against a Miami defense that ranks 25th against the rush in numberFire’s schedule-adjusted metrics.

Austan Kas, Senior Editor

Side: Miami Dolphins -12.5 (-115)

Total: New York Jets at Buffalo Bills Under 40.0 (-115)

Player Prop: Calvin Ridley Over 48.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

I think this is the week Calvin Ridley goes off. He’s played at least 86% of the snaps in three straight games, and while Ridley was officially targeted just three times last week, he was more involved than that, drawing a trio of penalties, as well. The Titans are a quality matchup, too, as they are allowing the third-most catches per game to wideouts along with the seventh-most receiving yards per game to the position.

Tom Vecchio, Editor

Side: Pittsburgh Steelers +1.5 (-120)

Total: Tennessee Titans at Jacksonville Jaguars Under 40.5 (-115)

Player Prop: Terry McLaurin Anytime TD (+185)

Over the last five weeks, McLaurin has a 24.2% target share, 33.9% air yards share, and 28.6% red zone target share. Those rates have all increased compared to his season numbers and McLaurin has just one TD in this span. The Giants have allowed the third-most (10) to receivers this season, putting McLaurin in a great spot.

Kenyatta Storin, Editor

Side: Houston Texans -4.5 (-115)

C.J. Stroud is still a longshot to win MVP, but the fact he’s even in the conversation as a rookie speaks volumes. He’s led a team that ranks fourth in schedule-adjusted passing offense and ninth in adjusted total offense, per numberFire’s metrics. While Arizona got a big boost from the return of Kyler Murray last week, a win over the Arthur Smith-led Falcons isn’t a particularly high bar, and we shouldn’t expect them to hang with a Houston squad that now has playoff aspirations. Most notably, the Cardinals rank 29th in adjusted total defense and 28th against the pass.

Total: Dallas Cowboys at Carolina Panthers Over 41.5 (-115)

Player Prop: Christian McCaffrey Over 30.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

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Aidan Cotter, Writer

Side: Dallas Cowboys -10.5 (-110)

I don’t understand this line at all. Aside from a stinker against the Cardinals, Dallas has absolutely crushed inferior competition. Five of their six wins have come by at least 20 points, and they’ve eclipsed 40 points in two of their last three games. Meanwhile, the Panthers are a dumpster fire. Coming off a loss to the Tyson Bagent-led Bears, Carolina is changing play-calling duties, again! That’s not great — especially with numberFire’s third-ranked defense up next. Dallas should cruise here.

Total: Los Angeles Chargers at Green Bay Packers Over 43.5 (-115)

Player Prop: DeVonta Smith Over 54.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

Zack Bussiere, Writer

Side: Dallas Cowboys -10.5 (-110)

Total: Dallas Cowboys at Carolina Panthers Over 41.5 (-115)

Player Prop: Trey McBride Over 55.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

After a slow start to the season, Trey McBride is now in the midst of a breakout campaign. Entering Week 10, he was being targeted on 27% of his routes — an elite number. The question that remained was would the change in quarterback to Kyler Murray have an impact? The answer was yes — a very positive one. In Week 10, McBride recorded a 78% route participation, was targeted on 32% of his routes, and commanded a 30% target share, finishing with 8 receptions on 9 targets for 131 yards. Consider the connection established. In Week 11, he will face the Texans. The Cardinals are 5.5-point underdogs in a game with the highest total of the week. I expect Arizona to have to pass in this one to keep pace with C.J. Stroud, and McBride will be a focal point of that plan.

Gabriel Santiago, Writer

Side: Miami Dolphins -12.5 (-115)

Miami should win the matchup on both sides of the football in this one. We know what the Dolphins can do on offense. Quarterback Tua Tagovailoa is tied for the touchdown lead (19) right now while Miami is the top-scoring team in the league (31.7 PPG). With speedsters Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle on hand, I don’t think the Raiders’ secondary can keep up. Across the field, Aidan O’Connell has a 2-1 record as a starter. Still, the rook from Purdue hasn’t exactly shined just yet; he yields a 2:3 touchdown-to-interception ratio. Also, O’Connell has displayed just 5.6 adjusted yards per attempt. In his first pro start traveling back to the Eastern time zone, I am not high on AOC and the Vegas offense. Laying 12.5, I’ll take the ‘Fins to win by two touchdowns.

Total: Pittsburgh Steelers at Cleveland Browns Under 32.5 (-102)

Player Prop: CeeDee Lamb Anytime TD (+100)

Who is the most valuable NFL team?
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Annie Nader, Writer

Side: Houston Texans -5.5 (-115)

Total: Chicago Bears at Detroit Lions Under 47.5 (-105)

Player Prop: Luke Musgrave Over 26.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

The Jordan Love to Luke Musgrave connection has shaped up nicely as of late with Musgrave grabbing 50+ receiving yards over his last two games. This week, the Packers will face a Chargers team that gives up 291.2 yards in the air per game (most in NFL by nearly 25 yards), including 68.33 to tight ends. Musgrave is averaging 34.7 yards per game, and when paired with a recent increase in target share and a sacrificial pass defense, the bar here seems too low.

Nick Vazquez, Writer

Side: Detroit Lions -7.5 ( -115)

Total: Seattle Seahawks at Los Angeles Rams Under 46.5 (-105)

Player Prop: Austin Ekeler Over 33.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

Ekeler has seen a 20% target share over the last three weeks. The Chargers are lacking a reliable pass catcher after Keenan Allen now that Mike Williams and Josh Palmer are both injured. Rookie Quentin Johnston doesn’t seem to have the trust of the coaching staff yet and has been largely ineffective. L.A. shouldn’t have much trouble moving the ball against a mid-ranked Packers defense, who come in 15th against the pass, according to numberFire. Ekeler can clear this number by catching a lot of passes or could take one short pass for a long gain that would also get above this total.

Riley Thomas, Writer

Side: Pittsburgh Steelers +1.5 (-120)

Total: Tennessee Titans at Jacksonville Jaguars Under 40.5 (-115)

Player Prop: CeeDee Lamb Over 82.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

CeeDee Lamb has been on an absolute tear, becoming the first player in NFL history to record at least 10 receptions and 150 receiving yards in 3 consecutive games. Look for that hot streak to continue against the Panthers. Carolina is expected to be without its top cornerbacks — Jaycee Horn and C.J. Henderson. Dak Prescott has been on a hot streak since Week 6 with 0.34 expected points added per dropback. The Panthers’ secondary should be vulnerable; Prescott and Lamb could have another field day.

Scott Edwards, Writer

Side: Pittsburgh Steelers +1.5 (-120)

The Pittsburgh Steelers have found ways to win this season, and they now sit at 6-3. In a crucial division matchup against the Cleveland Browns, head coach Mike Tomlin should be able to coach them up to take a win in this one. With Deshaun Watson out for the year due to his shoulder injury, the Browns are forced to turn to rookie Dorian Thompson-Robinson on Sunday. The Steelers’ defense should be able to keep a DTR-led offense out of the end zone while they wait for theirs to put anything together. They should cover with ease.

Total: Tampa Bay Buccaneers at San Francisco 49ers Over 41.5 (-110)

Player Prop: David Montgomery Anytime TD (-135)

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]]> NFL Week 11 Predictions, Expert Picks & Best Bets 2023 %%page%% %%sep%% %%sitename%% Get ready for a pivotal Week 11 of the NFL season with expert picks and predictions, courtesy of our friends at FanDuel Sportsbook. Austin Ekeler,Buffalo Bills,Carolina Panthers,CeeDee Lamb,Christian McCaffrey,CJ Stroud,Cleveland Browns,Dallas Cowboys,Detroit Lions,DeVonta Smith,FanDuel,FanDuel Sportsbook,football,George Kittle,Green Bay Packers,Houston Texans,Jacksonville Jaguars,Josh Jacobs,Los Angeles Chargers,Miami Dolphins,New York Giants,NFL,Odds,Pittsburgh Steelers,San Francisco 49ers,Seattle Seahawks,Tampa Bay Buccaneers,Tennessee Titans,nfl week 11 predictions Loading Broncos vs. Bills Week 10: Who Has the Edge on Monday Night Football? https://boardroom.tv/broncos-vs-bills-prediction-monday-night-football/ Mon, 13 Nov 2023 20:04:30 +0000 https://boardroom.tv/?p=83660 The Bills are just 5-4, but they're at home Monday night against Denver. FanDuel Sportsbook has your Broncos vs. Bills prediction and more.

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]]> This article originally appeared at FanDuel Research.

The Bills haven’t exactly impressed so far this season, but they’ll have the home crowd on their side against Denver. Our friends at FanDuel Sportsbook have your Broncos vs. Bills prediction, betting lines, and more.

The Broncos were terrible to start the season, losing five of their first six games and making their preseason +184 playoff odds look straight up silly. But, they do come into tonight with a two-game win streak under their belt, including a Week 8 upset victory over the lauded Kansas City Chiefs.

Even still, Denver’s current playoff odds sit at a far-fetched +1260. The fact that their offense, which features Russell Wilson at the helm and is paired with too many so-so targets, fares much better than their defense speaks volumes.

If they can hand the Bills their first home loss of the season and complete back-to-back victories over two teams who rank in the top five of numberFire’s power rankings, perhaps they can make some noise as a spoiler, but it’s more likely than not that a matchup with Denver will continue to be a welcome sign to opponents.

The Bills, meanwhile, have dropped three of their last five and serve as one of the more disappointing teams as we enter the second half of the season. Their once-feared defense has been plagued with injuries, so difficult adjustments come with the territory here. But something must be said about how Josh Allen and the offense are finishing games.

All four Buffalo losses have been decided by six points or less, and 28.6% of the Bills’ turnovers this season have taken place in the fourth quarter of these four games.

With games against the Philadelphia Eagles, Dallas Cowboys, Miami Dolphins, and Chiefs (including three road games) on the horizon, it’s fair to say that the Bills no longer have room to drop games to inferior teams.

They are on a five-game losing streak against the spread but will be playing on their home turf tonight, which affords them quite a bit. Buffalo is 4-0 at home this season and has outscored opponents by a whopping total of 124-57 at Highmark Stadium.

The game kicks off at 8:15 p.m. ET and can be watched on ABC and ESPN.

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Broncos at Bills Week 10 Betting Odds: Spread, Total, and Moneyline

Odds via FanDuel Sportsbook and subject to change.

  • Spread: Bills -7.0 (-112)
  • Total: 47.5
  • Moneyline:
    • Bills: +280
    • Broncos: -350

Broncos at Bills Week 10 Matchup Analysis

Despite what recency bias may tell us, this is a lopsided matchup and should be a victory for Buffalo’s taking, but we’ve learned to proceed with caution when siding with the Bills this season. According to numberFire’s nERD-based power rankings, the Bills come into the night as the 5th-best team while the Broncos take up residency in the lowly 28th spot.

Buffalo’s second-ranked offense will see an opportunity to detonate Denver’s worst-ranked defense, which could lead to this game getting out of hand fast. Though Josh Allen has had trouble getting his team over the hump in close games, he is still one of the best signal-callers in the business. Allen touts the fourth-highest Passing Net Expected Points (NEP) added per drop back in the league.

The Bills have struggled in the red zone as of late, converting only 54.55% of red zone visits to touchdowns over their last three games. However, their overall 68.57% red zone scoring percentage ranks third in the NFL, and a home game against a weak defense should constitute a return of their stellar, early-season red zone numbers. Denver allows a 64.29% red zone scoring percentage on the road (eighth-worst).

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But, if we’re going to play devil’s advocate for the Bills, it should probably be mentioned that Denver is allowing the second-lowest red zone scoring percentage over their last three games. They’ve yet to allow 20-plus points over this span, and there’s been a clear line drawn in the sand to that of their prior numbers. They allowed 36.2 points per game through five games (including that 70-point performance by the Dolphins) and have since allowed an average of 15.0 points.

This new-look Denver defense could be legit, and their newfound ability to capitalize on turnovers gives credence to the moderate spread; going into this week, Allen led the league (tied) in interceptions.

While it’s important to recognize the Denver D’s recent success, we can’t ignore their falters, either. No team in the league gives up more rushing yards than Denver, but James Cook can be an inconsistent option on the ground. Although, he has exploded a couple of times this season, and an early Bills lead paired with a vulnerable rush D could provide Cook ample opportunity to make his mark.

The Broncos also give up the sixth-most passing yards per game. Stefon Diggs found his way on the injury report this week, but unless we hear otherwise, we should probably expect Diggs to suit up and pose an ever-present threat. I’d look out for Dalton Kincaid to have a big game. He’s been great since stepping in for Dawson Knox, grabbing at least 65 receiving yards in his last three. Plus, no team gives up more yards to tight ends than the Broncos.

As Denver’s offense goes, there’s not a whole ton to grab your attention. Only two receivers (Jerry Jeudy and Courtland Sutton) are being targeted on a consistent basis. Jeudy and Sutton have identical 21.8% target shares while no other Bronco has a target share over 12.3%. Jeudy and Sutton’s output has been meh (47.5 and 47.0 yards per game, respectively), and though the Bills’ D is bruised and battered, it’s not too difficult to silence Denver’s passing game.

While the Broncos will need to find spots in the passing game to stay in this one, it seems their rush game is better set up for success. Buffalo gives up 114.4 rush yards per game (14th-most; as opposed to 19th-most passing yards allowed), and Javonte Williams has been a force on the ground as of late.

Broncos vs. Bills Best Bets

Bills -7.0 (-112)

The Denver Broncos’ turnaround be damned, this will be Buffalo’s game, and I expect Allen and company to show out amidst the alarm bells being sounded on their season.

The Bills’ dominance at home is no fluke. It’s been exactly one year since Buffalo last lost at Highmark Stadium, and the 124-57 point margin at home is a juicy stat when considering that Denver can be prone to blowouts. Three out of five Bronco losses have been decided by at least 10 points.

Even if Denver’s D continues to show out, it will take a lot to shut down this Bills team, and the Broncos’ offense doesn’t seem primed to put up enough points to keep up.

Look for those early-season red zone scoring numbers (which, even still, rank third in the league) to get the Bills out to an early lead and carry them tonight. The Broncos haven’t played since October 29th, and the Bills Mafia should see to a cold start only turning colder for Denver.

It’s put up or shut up time for the Bills, and I think they are up for the challenge against a team that is getting too much credit for an upset win against Kansas City.

Dalton Kincaid Over 54.5 Receiving Yards (-110)

Dalton Kincaid is averaging 73.7 receiving yards over his last three games and has a 22.9% target share over this span. That’s second on the team to only Diggs. Tonight, he will face a team that gives up 71.1 yards to tight ends per game (most in the NFL).

Now, the Broncos have faced Travis Kelce twice this season, and he lit the Broncos up for 182 yards over these two matchups.

If we want to call Kelce an outlier, that’d be more than fair, so let’s take out Denver’s numbers against Kansas City tight ends. The results? Denver still gives up a sizable 58.0 yards per game to this position, and I think Kincaid has proved he is a great target option — especially given how much attention the Broncos’ D will give to Diggs tonight.

— Annie Nader

Broncos vs. Bills Prediction: Monday Night Football

The numberFire projections model gives the Bills a 76.4% chance of victory against Denver.

A spread of 7.0 points and total of 47.5 implies a final score of approximately 27-20.

Broncos vs. Bills prediction via numberFire projection model

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]]> Broncos vs. Bills Prediction: Who has the Edge Monday Night?%%page%% %%sep%% %%sitename%% The Bills are just 5-4, but they're at home Monday night against Denver. FanDuel Sportsbook has your Broncos vs. Bills prediction and more. Buffalo Bills,Dawson Knox,Denver Broncos,FanDuel,FanDuel Sportsbook,football,Josh Allen,NFL,Russell Wilson,Stefon Diggs,broncos vs. bills prediction Loading Screenshot-2023-11-13-at-1.11.57-PM Raiders vs. Jets Week 10: Can Las Vegas Keep Rolling on SNF? https://boardroom.tv/raiders-vs-jets-odds-best-bet-nfl-week-10-sunday-night-football/ Sat, 11 Nov 2023 05:01:00 +0000 https://boardroom.tv/?p=83623 Lock in for Raiders vs. Jets on Sunday Night Football with the latest odds, matchup analysis, and betting insights from our friends at FanDuel.

The post Raiders vs. Jets Week 10: Can Las Vegas Keep Rolling on SNF? appeared first on Boardroom.

]]> This article originally appeared at FanDuel Research.

Lock in for Raiders vs. Jets on Sunday Night Football with the latest odds, matchup analysis, and betting insights from our friends at FanDuel.

The New York Jets against the Las Vegas Raiders isn’t exactly the dazzling Sunday Night Football matchup that most of us hope for. The Jets (4-4) come off a brutal 27-6 loss against the Los Angeles Chargers, which took place on Monday Night Football. Yay, more New York primetime football!

Fortunately, the Raiders (4-5) add an intriguing storyline to the matchup. After firing coach Josh McDaniels and hiring interim coach Antonio Pierce, Las Vegas had their best performance of the season in Week 9 with a 30-6 win against the New York Giants. Will the Raiders roll over another squad from the Big Apple?

Despite both teams lingering around .500, I can’t deny there are some interesting aspects for this clash. New York still has an outside shot of making the playoffs (+300) with a projected win total of 7.5, per FanDuel Sportsbook’s NFL win total odds.

Meanwhile, the Raiders could become a fun story with more success — similar to the 2021 team led by interim coach Rich Bisaccia. Is Las Vegas better at selecting interim coaches than hiring a full-time head honcho? It certainly seems that way after the last few seasons.

The Jets-Raiders may not have the heavy stakes we all covet, but there are still intriguing lines available. Here are FanDuel’s NFL odds for the matchup, followed by a breakdown and best bet for the SNF clash.

Raiders vs. Jets Week 10 Betting Odds: Spread, Total, and Moneyline

  • Spread: Jets -1 (-104)
  • Total: 36.5
  • Moneyline:
    • Jets: -110
    • Raiders: -106

Jets vs. Raiders Week 10 Matchup Analysis

As previously mentioned, the Jets and Raiders are no world-beaters. This won’t be a matchup between Super Bowl contenders — something we all crave. However, this should be a competitive game.

As the 36.5 total suggests, points could be a rarity. According to numberFire’s adjusted ratings, New York has the 3rd-worst offense in the NFL and Las Vegas has the 10th-worst. The Jets’ also have the seventh-best adjusted defense rating, further aiding the idea of a low-scoring game.

While the Raiders have numberFire’s sixth-worst defense, the secondary has been decent with the 14th-best mark schedule-adjusted pass defense. As expected, Zach Wilson‘s struggles from last season have continued as he has -0.37 expected points added per drop back (EPA/DB). It’s only gotten worse too; Wilson posted -0.49 EPA/DB over his previous two games.

Las Vegas’ run defense is extremely susceptible, though, as they have the second-worst unit in adjusted run defense. Who has been one of the few bright spots of the Jets’ offense? Breece Hall without a doubt. After averaging only 8 carries per game over the first 4 contests, the second-year running back has totaled 15.5 carries per game in the previous 4 games.

Giving Hall the rock seems like a no-brainer with his 221 yards after contact (sixth-best). After totaling 52.9 rushing yards over expectation (RYOE) over Week 4 and Week 5, Hall had -16.0 RYOE over his previous three games. The Raiders’ weak run defense could be the perfect opportunity to get back on track, though. Las Vegas holds the third-worst mark with 206.5 RYOE allowed this season.

A solid performance from Wilson also has a glimmer of hope with the Raiders’ starting cornerback duo of Nate Hobbs (ankle) and Marcus Peters (knee) both listed as questionable for Sunday’s showdown.

New York has a solid chance of going over their projected total of 17.5 points, but what about Las Vegas? Let’s look at the other side of the ball.

The Jets have a good defense; that’s the only thing that’s kept them relevant since the 2022 season. The pass defense, in particular, has been exceptional with cornerbacks Sauce Gardner and D.J. Reed, who was named Pro Football Focus’ highest graded cornerback this week.

New York’s schedule-adjusted pass defense ranks 5th, but the run defense is numberFire’s 15th-worst unit and ranks 22nd in rushing yards allowed per carry (4.3). After finishing 7th in rushing yards per carry last season, the Raiders have the 2nd-worst average at 3.2 rushing yards per attempt.

Even in last week’s 30-6 win, Las Vegas averaged only 3.7 yards per carry. Josh Jacobs managed to record his highest yard total of the season at 98 rushing yards, but that was thanks to a large workload (26 carries). Jacobs still holds underwhelming stats such as -8.9 RYOE.

Finding success on the ground could be even more difficult with three starters on the offensive line questionable: Kolton Miller, Greg Van Roten, and Thayer Munford. Munford was the only lineman absent in Week 9. If the Raiders have even more starters out, Jacobs could have another long day.

Las Vegas’ success could come down to Aidan O’Connell, who had 0.34 EPA/DB and his average depth of target rose to 7.9 (6.3 in from Week 1 to Week 8). Will O’Connell perform well in his third career start?

With that said, it’s time to make my pick. What could be the best bet for the Jets-Raiders?

Raiders vs. Jets Best Bet: NFL Week 10

All NFL odds via FanDuel Sportsbook. Lines may change after this article is published.

Jets -1 (-104)

This game could easily go either way — hence the one-point spread. The line has steadily moved in the Raiders’ favor. It’s easy to see why; everything seems just peachy in Las Vegas following Week 9’s dominant win. Plus, the Jets come off their worst showing of the year. New York football and primetime never mix, as well.

Since 2020, the Jets are 1-5 in primetime games. The Raiders haven’t been any better with a 1-5 record in primetime games since last season. Something has to give. Who will finally win one under the lights?

I’m going to go against the grain for this game. I wouldn’t be surprised if Las Vegas was a slight favorite by the time this kicks off. New York’s defense should be the best unit on the field — by a significant margin.

Even in Week 9’s 27-6 loss, the Jets held the Chargers to only 191 yards. It was a comedy of errors on offense that led to the loss (three fumbles).

The Raiders are 22nd in takeaways per game, possibly aiding New York’s turnover woes. Plus, I have a hard time seeing Las Vegas have much success on offense. Jacobs and the run game have struggled, and the Jets feature one of the best secondaries in the league.

Ultimately, New York’s offense should be able to produce enough to squeak by with a win. The Raiders’ run defense has been putrid, presenting Hall with an opportunity to go off.

— Riley Thomas

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]]> Bears vs. Panthers Week 10: 2 Teams Searching for Momentum https://boardroom.tv/bears-vs-panthers-prediction-odds-props-nfl/ Tue, 07 Nov 2023 18:50:25 +0000 https://boardroom.tv/?p=83535 It's not a marquee TNF matchup, but it's intriguing nonetheless. Our friends at FanDuel have your Bears vs. Panthers prediction and more.

The post Bears vs. Panthers Week 10: 2 Teams Searching for Momentum appeared first on Boardroom.

]]> It’s not a marquee TNF matchup, but it’s intriguing nonetheless. Our friends at FanDuel have your Bears vs. Panthers prediction and more.

This article originally appeared at FanDuel Research.

For how unappealing and not-so-primetime a Thursday Night Football meeting between the Carolina Panthers (1-7) and Chicago Bears (2-7) may sound, there are some interesting storylines between these two teams and, as always, ways we can analyze the matchup to help determine the best bets for this game.

In one of the more major trades in recent NFL history, the Bears sent their number one draft pick to the Panthers in return for D.J. Moore and a slew of draft picks (including 2023 and 2024 first-round picks). Carolina ended up using the hallowed pick to select Bryce Young, Chicago selected Darnell Wright, and now, the Bears are on track to receive the draft position of two bottom-five teams.

As Chicago fans are concerned, it’s a shame that both teams can’t leave tonight with another tick in the loss column. But, either way, the Bears are primed to have a big draft day in 2024 while the Panthers are more concerned with ensuring that Bryce Young can, in fact, be a franchise QB.

Both teams have +2500 odds to make the playoffs and come into the night fairly banged up, but a close spread and potentially lower-than-should-be game total could make this an interesting one to bet on.

The game kicks off at 8:15 p.m. ET and can be streamed on Prime Video.

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Panthers vs. Bears Week 10 Betting Odds: Spread, Total, and Moneyline

  • Spread: Bears -3.0 (-118)
  • Total: 38.5
  • Moneyline:
    • Bears: -174
    • Panthers: +146

Panthers vs. Bears Week 10 Matchup Analysis

According to numberFire’s nERD-based power rankings, the Bears come into Week 10 as the 27th-ranked team in the league, while the Panthers sit dead-last at the 32nd spot. Chicago’s offense (24th) fares a tad better than their defense (29th) while the Panthers’ offensive rank (29th) is almost identical to their defensive rank (28th).

It’s clear that neither team has much to brag about, so we should be more concerned with finding the respective squads’ most vulnerable areas that have a high exploitation potential.

No team in the NFL has a worse-ranked rush defense than the Panthers. They are allowing 131.8 rush yards per game (28th) and 1.8 rush touchdowns per game (most). Unfortunately for the Bears, they will be without Khalil Herbert tonight, so I’d look for D’Onta Foreman to have a big game on the ground.

The Panthers’ 19th-ranked pass defense may be better than their rush D, but it’s still not much to write home about. Justin Fields will miss his fourth straight game (right thumb), which means Tyson Bagent will once again be handed the pigskin for the Bears. Bagent was OK in his first full start against the Las Vegas Raiders, but in the two games since, he has thrown a towering five interceptions to his two touchdown passes.

Even still, the Panthers are giving up 28.3 points per game (most), and their defense isn’t familiar with forcing turnovers (second-least takeaways in the NFL), so perhaps Bagent can show out while the matchup still allows for it.

The Bears have a rock-solid, first-ranked rush defense. They allow a mere 79.7 rush yards per game (fourth-least), but Carolina might not even notice — the Panthers score 0.3 rush touchdowns per game (30th) and only gain 96.3 yards on the ground per game (24th).

While Chicago’s rush D sits pretty, their pass defense could not be worse. By numberFire’s metrics, they have the worst pass defense in the league (and it’s not particularly close). They allow 256.9 passing yards per game (28th) and more passing touchdowns (2.2) per game than any other team in the league.

This is great news for Bryce Young. He will need all the help he can get after throwing three interceptions in last Sunday’s game against the Indianapolis Colts.

Young’s NFL career couldn’t be much younger, but it’s not a great sign that only Zach Wilson has a lower Passing Net Expected Points (NEP) per drop back added than him. While he’s almost thrown as many touchdowns (8) as interceptions (7) this season, I think he’s due for a big game against a team that lets up 26.9 points per game (28th) and allows the majority of the damage to happen in the passing game.

D.J. Chark (WR) and Stephen Sullivan (TE) will be out for Carolina, so I’d look for players like Adam Thielen, Hayden Hurst, and Chuba Hubbard to take advantage of the Bears’ pass defense.

Defensive injuries for the Panthers include Brian Burns, Marquis Haynes, and C.J. Henderson while the Bears will be without Tremaine Edmunds.

These injuries, plus the fact that eight out of nine Bears’ games this season have surpassed the over (38.5), make it a good play. Two bottom-five defenses will face off tonight, something Chicago has already seen twice this season (Washington Commanders and Denver Broncos). The results of these two games? A 59-point and 60-point game total. I’ll take over 38.5 at -110.

Panthers vs. Bears Prop Bets

Hayden Hurst Over 15.5 Receiving Yards (-110)

The Bears allow 256.9 passing yards per game (fifth-most) and give up 52.78 of those yards to tight ends.

A tight end has grabbed 16-plus receiving yards in every game against Chicago this season, and with Stephen Sullivan out as an option, I am all over Hayden Hurst to clear this prop.

Hurst has hit the over on this prop in five out of eight games this season. He’s averaging 21.25 yards per game. Though his season-long 9.8% target share is super unappealing, he’s had a 16.2% air-yard share (third among available Panther players) in two games since Carolina’s bye week.

Last week, he had a team-leading 29.6% air-yard share. He may not be much of an offensive threat, but he has all the fixings to clear the 16-yard bar tonight.

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Chuba Hubbard Over 12.5 Receiving Yards (-110)

From one undervalued Panther receiving prop, we go to the next. Chuba Hubbard has cleared this bar just twice this season, but do not fret.

The Bears allow running backs more receiving yards per game (64.22) than they do rushing yards (63.11).

Hubbard was targeted six times in Week 9, securing four receptions. He should see looks tonight against a team that loves to make sacrifices in the air to running backs, and he won’t need that many to clear the over on this prop.

D’Onta Foreman Over 57.5 Rushing Yards (-110) / Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+115)

Carolina’s worst-ranked rush defense and Khalil Herbert’s absence should afford D’Onta Foreman many opportunities tonight.

Forman has cleared the over on this prop in three out of five games this season, and three out of four games with Herbert out.

The Panthers are allowing 120.0 rush yards per game to running backs, and though Roschon Johnson should eat up some of those yards for the Bears, he’s only had 8 carries to Foreman’s 29 over the last two games.

Not only do I like Foreman’s chances to clear his rushing yards prop, but I also think he has a great chance to find the end zone tonight. No team is giving up more rush touchdowns per game (1.8) than the Panthers, and Foreman has had a 50.0% red zone rush share in four games since Herbert has been out.

— Annie Nader

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]]> Bears vs. Panthers Prediction: A Close Spread and Tantalizing Total %%page%% %%sep%% %%sitename%% It's not a marquee TNF matchup, but it's intriguing nonetheless. Our friends at FanDuel have your Bears vs. Panthers prediction and more. betting,Carolina Panthers,Chicago Bears,FanDuel,FanDuel Sportsbook,football,NFL,bears vs. panthers prediction Loading Bills vs. Bengals Week 9: Where’s the Smart Money Going on SNF? https://boardroom.tv/bills-vs-bengals-odds-props-analysis-nfl-week-9/ Sat, 04 Nov 2023 12:00:00 +0000 https://boardroom.tv/?p=82727 Get ready for Week 9's Sunday night showdown, Bills vs. Bengals, with the latest odds, prob bets, and analysis from our friends at FanDuel.

The post Bills vs. Bengals Week 9: Where’s the Smart Money Going on SNF? appeared first on Boardroom.

]]> Get ready for Week 9’s Sunday night showdown, Bills vs. Bengals, with the latest odds, prob bets, and analysis from our friends at FanDuel.

This article originally appeared at FanDuel Research.

The NFL continues to alternate between elite clashes and underwhelming matchups for Sunday Night Football (SNF). The league elected to not flex Week 10’s SNF between the New York Jets and Las Vegas Raiders; what a treat that will be…said no one ever. Plus, we got to watch the Los Angeles Chargers pummel the Chicago Bears last week (30-13).

Fortunately, the league is delivering a SNF matchup of the elite variety for Week 9. The Buffalo Bills will hit the road to take on the Cincinnati Bengals. The storylines go on and on with this one.

Of course, these are two of the best teams in the AFC; the Bills have the fourth-shortest odds to win the conference (+750), and the Bengals have the fifth-shortest odds (+950), per FanDuel Sportsbook’s NFL conference odds.

Damar Hamlin, who suffered a devastating injury in last season’s regular-season matchup, makes his return to Cincinnati. Seeing Hamlin step on the Bengals’ field once again is sure to spark emotions.

The two teams also collided in last year’s playoffs, with Cincy rolling to a 27-10 win in the divisional round.

Buffalo ranks second in numberFire’s nERD-based power rankings, and the Bengals are red-hot with three consecutive victories.

This matchup has almost everything you could ask for in a primetime game. Let’s dig into the highly anticipated clash.

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Bills vs. Bengals Betting Odds: Spread, Total, and Moneyline

  • Spread: Bengals -1.5 (-115)
  • Total: 50.5
  • Moneyline: Bengals -130 | Bills +108

Bills vs. Bengals Week 9 Matchup Analysis

numberFire’s power rankings suggest that Cincinnati is still struggling as they rank 20th overall. However, this has looked like a different team over the last three games — especially in Week 8’s 31-17 win over the San Francisco 49ers.

The defense has performed well in back-to-back games, holding the Niners and Seattle Seahawks to an average of only 15.0 points per game. The Bengals also forced five turnovers over the last two wins.

Defensive coordinator Lou Anarumo turned in a masterful performance against the Niners by consistently deploying five-man fronts. After earning high praise this week, Anarumo will be looking to coordinate another strong defensive performance.

Of course, the Bills feature one of the league’s best offenses, ranking second in numberFire’s adjusted offense ratings. The unit has been extremely balanced with the third-best passing game and third-ranked rushing attack.

James Cook has been a key cog in the offense, averaging 4.8 yards per carry (11th) paired with the fifth-highest total in yards after contact (226). Slowing Cook could be a challenge for Cincy’s run defense, which has the sixth-worst mark in numberFire’s adjusted run defense ratings.

Josh Allen, who is +1000 to win the MVP award, is averaging 285.4 passing yards and 2.4 passing touchdowns over the last five games. He also comes off a monster showing with 324 passing yards, 41 rushing yards, and 3 touchdowns in Week 8.

However, turnovers have remained a problem for Allen. He’s thrown at least one interception in four consecutive games. The Bengals could continue to generate turnovers on SNF.

Flipping to the other side of the ball, the Bills’ pass defense could be in trouble. Joe Burrow seems to be fully healthy after totaling 283 passing yards and 3 touchdowns with 0.23 expected points added per dropback (EPA/DB) against San Francisco.

Ja’Marr Chase continues to terrorize defenses as he’s averaging 124.0 receiving yards and 10.3 receptions per game over the last three games. He also tallied 28.4 receiving yards over expectation (RecYOE) in Week 8, showcasing his ability after the catch.

Buffalo ranks 11th in numberFire’s schedule-adjusted pass defense, but they have shown cracks in their armor over the last few games. For example, the New England Patriots’ Mac Jones had a mark of 0.26 EPA/DB in Week 7 against the Bills. The Pats have the third-worst adjusted passing offense on the season; not a good look, to say the least.

Cincinnati’s offensive line is also beginning to improve its play, holding the fourth-best mark in pressure rate allowed (24.0%). If the Bills fail to generate pressure, Burrow could shred their secondary to pieces.

This was part of the problem in Week 7’s loss against the Patriots; Buffalo had only one sack and four QB hits.

Ultimately, the ability of the Bengals’ defense to generate turnovers and Burrow’s potential advantage against the Bills secondary could lead to a win. With Buffalo going 0-4 against the spread (ATS) in the last four games, I’m backing Cincinnati to cover.

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Bills vs. Bengals Prop Bets: NFL Week 9

All NFL odds via FanDuel Sportsbook. Lines may change after this article is published.

Dalton Kincaid 50+ Receiving Yards (+162)

The Dalton Kincaid breakout is officially here after the rookie tight end recorded 65 receiving yards and a touchdown in Week 8. Plus, he totaled 75 receiving yards in Week 7.

After back-to-back impressive performances, Kincaid has become a hot commodity, whether it be in fantasy or for NFL betting. On Thursday, Kincaid reaching at least 40.0 receiving yards was at +118. However, sharp bettors hopped on the line, and it is now priced at -108. As of Friday afternoon, he is +162 to reach 50.0 receiving yards. I’m completely fine with taking this line — especially considering his favorable matchup against the Bengals.

Cincinnati allows the fourth-most yards per game to tight ends (64.3 yards) and the fifth-most receptions (5.9). In Week 8, the San Francisco 49ers’ George Kittle totaled 149 receiving yards.

Of course, some will question Kincaid’s target share. Dawson Knox was placed on injured reserve ahead of Week 8’s game, opening up a larger workload for Kincaid. The rookie tight end has a 13.9% target share on the season. Over the last two games, his target share has spiked to 19.2%, including Week 7’s mark of 20.5%.

I’m on board the Kincaid hype train, and with the Bengals susceptible against tight ends, the rookie seems poised for another impressive showing.

Joe Mixon Over 62.5 Rushing Yards (-114)

Josh Allen, Joe Burrow, Stefon Diggs, and Ja’Marr Chase will make the headlines ahead of this matchup. As they should — they are a pair of elite QBs and wideouts.

However, the run game could take the forefront on Sunday night. The Bills are allowing 5.1 yards per carry (second-most) while the Bengals are surrendering 5.0 yards per carry (third-most). I’m targeting a prop for Joe Mixon, but James Cook is another favorable option with a rushing prop of 50.5 rushing yards.

Cincy averages only 21.1 rushing attempts per game (third-fewest), yet Mixon is still averaging 16 carries per game with a 74.2% snap share (seventh-highest among running backs).

Mixon has just 6.4 rushing yards over expectation (RYOE), but Buffalo is a favorable matchup as they’ve permitted the fourth-most 173.1 RYOE allowed.

After reaching 65 rushing yards in four of his last five games, Mixon can go over his projected total yet again.

— Riley Thomas

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]]> Loading Raiders vs. Lions Week 8: How Much Do Oddsmakers Really Like Detroit? https://boardroom.tv/raiders-vs-lions-prediction-odds-props-nfl-mnf/ Sat, 28 Oct 2023 19:36:50 +0000 https://boardroom.tv/?p=80999 This article originally appeared at FanDuel Research. To close out the Week 8 schedule, our friends at FanDuel have your Raiders vs. Lions prediction, as well as all the odds and props you need. After an

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]]> This article originally appeared at FanDuel Research.

To close out the Week 8 schedule, our friends at FanDuel have your Raiders vs. Lions prediction, as well as all the odds and props you need.

After an outstanding start to the season, the Detroit Lions were humbled last week by the Baltimore Ravens. Detroit will attempt to bounce back in a home Monday night clash with the Las Vegas Raiders — the first Monday night game in Detroit since 2018.

The Raiders also struggled mightily in Week 7, getting thumped 30-12 by the hapless Chicago Bears. However, Vegas is 3-4, so they’re far from out of playoff contention, especially if they can get a victory tonight.

Oddsmakers have installed Detroit as a 7.5-point favorite, per the NFL odds at FanDuel Sportsbook. We should be in for a good amount of offense as the total is at 46.5. For reference, that over/under would tie for the third-highest total for the upcoming Week 9.

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Raiders vs. Lions Betting Odds: Spread, Total, and Moneyline

  • Spread: Lions -7.5 (-105)
  • Total: 46.5
  • Moneyline: Lions -370 | Raiders +295

Raiders vs. Lions Matchup Analysis

Pretty much any way you slice it, this is a lopsided matchup.

Obviously, the 7.5-point spread is one way to gauge it. Point differential — Vegas is -49 while Detroit is +23 (even with the 32-point loss last week) — also skews heavily toward Detroit. numberFire’s nERD-based power ratings have the Lions slotted fifth while the Raiders are next to last.

Despite a not-that-bad 3-4 record, the Raiders don’t have much going for them, although they will get Jimmy Garoppolo back from injury. According to numberFire’s schedule-adjusted metrics, Las Vegas ranks 31st in defense and 25th in offense. They’re dead last in rushing offense and check in next to last in run D. Their pass defense isn’t much better (26th).

Prior to getting thrashed last week in Baltimore, the Lions had been on cruise control, starting 5-1 and ripping off four straight wins by at least 14 points. While the Lions’ D is improved this year compared to last year, Detroit is still carried by its offense — an attack numberFire’s metrics rank fourth-best, spearheaded by a second-ranked passing game. Defensively, the Lions are a middle-of-the-pack unit, ranking 18th.

The public is backing the Lions tonight, with 86% of the money and 79% of the bets coming in on Detroit to cover as 7.5-point favorites.

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Raiders vs. Lions Best Bets

Over 46.5 (-115)

There will be a lot of offensive talent on the field tonight, and when you combine that with neither defense being all that great, I think we get enough points for the over to hit.

Jared Goff has noteworthy home/road splits, performing like an elite passer at home this season — racking up a 113.3 rating and 8.88 adjusted yards per attempt at Ford Field. He had similar splits a year ago, recording 23 of his 29 passing tuddies at home. He has a great chance to put up big numbers against this Raiders D.

Vegas’ defense is bad. As we just laid out, they struggle against both the run and the pass. The Raiders haven’t faced that many good offenses, either. They’ve played just two games against an offense currently ranked in the top 18 by numberFire’s metrics. In those two games, they permitted 38 points to the Buffalo Bills and 24 points to the Los Angeles Chargers.

The Raiders’ offense should have some success, too.

While Garoppolo has struggled overall in 2023, it’s been a funky season for him and the Raiders’ offense due to injuries. Jimmy G has missed two games while Jakobi Meyers has been dinged up, as well. When Vegas has all its pieces healthy, which is the case tonight, they’ve got a good skill group around Jimmy G.

Detroit’s D was steamrolled by the Ravens last week. I’m not expecting a repeat of that showing, but Detroit’s defense has surrendered at least 20 points in five of seven outings.

numberFire’s model projects a 30.4-17.4 win for Detroit — a total of 47.8 points.

Michael Mayer Over 21.5 Receiving Yards (-128)

Michael Mayer has been coming on of late. He’s played at least 66% of the snaps in three straight contests and has posted 39, 75 and 13 receiving yards in those games — with the 13-yard effort coming with Brian Hoyer under center.

The Lions are a pretty dope matchup for tight ends. On the year, they’ve given up the fourth-most targets per game (8.3) to the position along with the fifth-most yards per game.

Mark Andrews just torched the Lions’ D for 63 yards and a pair of scores a week ago, and the expected negative game script for Vegas should help Mayer’s volume.

numberFire projects Mayer for 2.9 catches and 30.5 yards.

Riley Patterson Over 7.5 Kicking Points (+105)

Riley Patterson should get a good amount of action tonight with the Lions implied to score 27.0 points.

Patterson hasn’t missed an indoor kick in his career, going 34 of 34 on extra points and 21 for 21 in field goals in dome/retractable roof games. Tossing aside the blowout loss at the Ravens where he didn’t attempt a kick, Patterson has scored at least eight points in three of his last four games.

Taking on a Vegas D that has struggled all year and just gave up a 30 spot to Tyson Bagent and the Bears, the Lions’ offense should move the ball well and potentially set up Patterson for a few kicks as long as Detroit doesn’t turn every foray into Raiders’ territory into a touchdown.

— Austan Kas

Raiders vs. Lions Prediction: NFL Week 8

The numberFire projections model gives the Lions a great chance of winning at 85.8% against Las Vegas.

A spread of 7.5 points and a total of 46.5 implies a final score of approximately 27-19.5.

Week 8 Raiders vs. Lions prediction via numberFire projection model

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]]> Raiders vs. Lions Prediction, Odds & Prop Bets: NFL Week 8 %%page%% %%sep%% %%sitename%% To close out the Week 8 schedule, our friends at FanDuel have your Raiders vs. Lions prediction, as well as all the odds and props you need. Detroit Lions,FanDuel,FanDuel Sportsbook,football,Las Vegas Raiders,Monday Night Football,NFL,Odds,raiders vs. lions prediction Loading Screenshot-2023-10-30-at-3.26.33-PM Bears vs. Chargers Week 8: Where’s the Smart Money Going on SNF? https://boardroom.tv/bears-vs-chargers-prediction-odds-props-nfl-week-8/ Sat, 28 Oct 2023 10:00:00 +0000 https://boardroom.tv/?p=80258 Lock in for Week 8's finale with a big Chargers vs. Bears prediction, plus the latest odds and betting insights from our friends at FanDuel.

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]]> This article originally appeared at FanDuel Research.

Lock in for Week 8’s finale with a big Chargers vs. Bears prediction, plus the latest odds and prop betting insights from our friends at FanDuel.

After a must-see matchup between the Miami Dolphins and Philadelphia Eagles in Week 7, Sunday Night Football’s upcoming matchup misses the mark with the Chicago Bears visiting the Los Angeles Chargers.

The “Battle of Disappointment” pretty much summarizes this matchup. The Bears (2-5) have floundered after some expected the franchise to improve, and the Chargers (2-4) continue to underachieve with coach Brandon Staley at the helm. Through seven games, Chicago is 2-4-1 against the spread (ATS), and they currently hold a top-three pick for the 2024 NFL Draft. Meanwhile, Los Angeles is +205 to make the postseason when looking at FanDuel Sportsbook’s NFL playoff odds.

Despite their two-win start, the Chargers are still significant 8.5-point favorites for Week 8’s matchup, per FanDuel’s NFL odds. Will LA roll to their third win?

Get set for the end of Week 8 with a big Bears vs. Chargers prediction, plus the latest odds and prop betting insights from FanDuel.

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Bears vs. Chargers Week 8 Betting Odds: Spread, Total, and Moneyline

  • Spread: Chargers -8.5 (-110)
  • Total: 46.5
  • Moneyline:
    • Chargers: -460
    • Dolphins: +360

Chargers vs. Bears Week 8 Matchup Analysis

Following back-to-back losses against the Dallas Cowboys and Kansas City Chiefs, the Chargers must get back on track — and fast. The Bears will likely be the most favorable matchup over the next five games. Following Chicago, the New York Jets, Detroit Lions, Green Bay Packers, and Baltimore Ravens await.

Fortunately, Los Angeles has 13th-easiest remaining schedule, but their projected win total is only 8.5, with the over juiced to +100. The Bears — along with upcoming matchups against the Denver Broncos and Las Vegas Raiders — are must-win matchups for the Chargers if they are to earn a postseason berth.

numberFire’s nERD-based power rankings suggest LA should have multiple advantages on SNF. The Bolts are 15th in numberFire’s power rankings compared to Chicago at 28th. Justin Herbert and Co. could feast against the Bears’ susceptible secondary, which holds the third-worst mark in passing yards allowed per game and ranks third-to-last in numberFire’s adjusted pass defense ratings.

However, Chicago showed improvement in Week 7 with a 30-12 win over the Raiders. The defense surrendered only 235 yards while reeling in three interceptions; one was a pick-six from Jaylon Johnson, who has a 4.2 passer rating allowed in single coverage.

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Los Angeles’ receiving corps continues to be ravaged by injuries, as well. Of course, Mike Williams is out for the season, but Josh Palmer is also questionable with a knee injury. Even the tight room has taken a hit with Gerald Everett’s status in doubt (hip).

Plus, first-round rookie Quentin Johnston has struggled. His snap share jumped to 52.5% in Week 7, but he was only targeted twice with one catch for 20 yards.

Maybe finding success through the air against the Bears won’t be as easy as most would expect.

Chicago is dealing with plenty of injuries, too. Justin Fields is doubtful (thumb), and right tackle Darnell Wright, Eddie Jackson (foot), and Jaquan Brisker (illness) are all questionable. Fields, Johnson, and Jackson were all absent last week.

This matchup could simply come down to Herbert working his magic with a limited receiving unit. The Bears have the 13th-best run defense in numberFire’s rankings and allowed only 39 rushing yards on 2.8 yards per attempt in Week 7. LA’s ground game has been mediocre at best.

Without Fields, Khalil Herbert, and Johnson last week, Chicago still totaled 173 rushing yards on 4.6 yards per carry. They have the sixth-best adjusted run offense, and the Chargers are in the bottom half of adjusted run defense.

Ultimately, the Bolts’ offense could have less success than expected, and the Bears could play keep away with a successful rushing attack. Give me Chicago to cover the point spread.

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Bears vs. Chargers Prop Bets: NFL Week 8

All NFL odds via FanDuel Sportsbook. Lines may change after this article is published.

Keenan Allen Over 78.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

With Josh Palmer and Gerald Everett’s status unknown, the Chargers’ passing game could heavily lean on Keenan Allen. His target share has been excellent, even before Mike Williams’ season-ending injury. Allen is averaging 10.7 targets and 95.7 receiving yards per game.

Justin Herbert is regularly targeting Allen down the field, as he has a team-best 3.8 targets of 10.0 or more yards per game. This isn’t force-feeding, either, with Allen consistently getting open. In fact, he ranks within the top 20 with an average of 3.7 yards of separation.

Allen seems on track to make his first Pro Bowl since 2021 thanks to his exceptional stat lines. After erupting for 326 receiving yards from Week 2 to Week 3, his average has dropped to 57.3 yards per game over the previous three contests, but with various injuries, it feels like a matter of time before Allen returns to form.

He has a prime opportunity to dominate on SNF. The Bears have consistently allowed explosive plays through the air, ranking 27th in yards allowed per passing attempt while holding the 10th-worst mark in deep yards allowed. Additionally, Chicago struggles to rush the quarterback, holding the second-worst pressure rate. Herbert could have all day to find his favorite target.

As previously mentioned, Jaylon Johnson has been the clear bright spot of the Bears’ secondary. He has been excellent in man coverage and has an 85.5 grade via Pro Football Focus.

Allen can avoid Chicago’s shining cornerback, though. LA’s star receiver lines up in the slot on 59.8% of snaps. This should leave Allen with much more favorable matchups, such as battles with Kyler Gordon. Chicago’s pass defense improved last week, but it was against the Raiders with second-string quarterback Brian Hoyer.

I’m expecting a big night for Allen — especially if Palmer and/or Everett do not play. Targeting Allen’s receptions could be another wise wager.

D’Onta Foreman Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+230)

After the Bears totaled 173 rushing yards in Week 7, I have to take someone in the run game. D’Onta Foreman could be the obvious choice; he comes off his best game of the season with 89 rushing yards and two touchdowns.

However, rookie running back Roschon Johnson is expected to return from injury after missing the last two games with a concussion. Johnson is averaging only five carries per game. From Week 3 to Week 5 — when Khalil Herbert and Johnson were available — Foreman received no snaps. Could Johnson’s return mean fewer touches for Foreman?

Naturally, Foreman’s workload could dip with Johnson back into the equation, but it’s not like Foreman was never leaving the field over the last two weeks. He was in for only 47.8% of snaps last week. Still, Foreman managed to rack up 120 scrimmage yards and touted 75.0% of the red zone carries.

Chicago’s running backs should have a busy day ahead with Justin Fields likely out. Tyson Bagent is in line to start once again, and he totaled only three carries last week. Of course, the undrafted rookie QB does not have the same mobility as Fields. Foreman and Johnson should get plenty of touches after the running backs totaled 30 attempts in Week 7.

Foreman accrued 31.5 rushing yards over expectation (RYOE) in Week 7; he should still be a mainstay in the backfield. His projected rushing yard total sits at 48.5 compared to Johnson’s 30.5, per FanDuel’s NFL lines. With the snap share unclear, I’m targeting an anytime touchdown for Foreman.

First off, look at those odds: +230. Count me in! Foreman had a heavy workload in the red zone last week, and Johnson has only one touchdown over five outings. I’m all in on Foreman scampering into the end zone.

— Riley Thomas

Bears vs. Chargers Prediction: NFL Week 8

The numberFire projections model gives LA a significant 77.4% chance of victory against Chicago.

A spread of 8.5 points and a total of 46.5 implies a final score of approximately 27.5-19.

Week 8 Bears vs. Chargers prediction via numberFire projection model

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]]> Bears vs. Chargers Prediction, Odds & Prop Bets: NFL Week 8 %%page%% %%sep%% %%sitename%% Lock in for Week 8's finale with a big Bears vs. Chargers prediction, plus the latest odds and prop bet insights from our friends at FanDuel. Chicago Bears,FanDuel,FanDuel Sportsbook,football,Keenan Allen,Los Angeles Chargers,NFL,bears vs. chargers prediction Loading image-13 Tyson Fury vs. Francis Ngannou: Do Bettors Believe in an Upset Stunner? https://boardroom.tv/fury-vs-ngannou-prediction-odds-boxing/ Fri, 27 Oct 2023 09:00:00 +0000 https://boardroom.tv/?p=80130 Hard-hitting worlds collide! Get set for the Battle of the Baddest with the latest odds and betting insights from FanDuel, plus a big Ngannou vs. Fury prediction.

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]]> This article originally appeared at FanDuel Research

Hard-hitting worlds collide! Get set for the Battle of the Baddest with the latest odds and betting insights from FanDuel, plus a big Ngannou vs. Fury prediction.

Ahead of a career-defining fight in December with Oleksandr Usyk, WBC heavyweight champion Tyson “The Gypsy King” Fury apparently wants to shake some rust off.

This Saturday, October 28, Fury (33-0-1, 24 KO) heads to Saudia Arabia’s capital city of Riyadh to duke it out with debutante boxer and former UFC star Francis “The Predator” Ngannou (17-3, 13 KO in MMA).

Dubbed as the “Battle of the Baddest,” these two Herculean sluggers pack quite a wallop. Set to air live in the United States on Saturday afternoon, Fury and Ngannou will headline a seven-bout fight card.

As mentioned, Fury is the current WBC champ, but this match with Ngannou will be 10 rounds and the belt will not be on the line. Still, being that Fury is one of the most skilled boxers of all time at his size, he’d do well not to make this a close contest.

Of course, Ngannou has the sort of power that always warrants a “puncher’s chance.”

For all information on the fight (betting odds, how to watch, fighter history, and full card details), read below — and stick around for a big Fury vs. Ngannou prediction.

Fury vs. Ngannou Odds

All Ngannou vs. Fury boxing odds via FanDuel Sportsbook.

Moneyline

  • Fury: -2000
  • Ngannou: +1040

Round Total

  • 4.5 rounds (+102/-128)

Will Fight Go the Distance?

  • Yes: +430
  • No: -650

Method Of Victory

  • Fury by Points or Decision: +520
  • Fury by KO/TKO: -450
  • Draw: +2800
  • Ngannou by Points or Decision: +3000
  • Ngannou by KO/TKO: +1000

Specific round betting for Fury-Ngannou is also available at FanDuel Sportsbook.

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How To Watch Ngannou vs. Fury

In the United States, ESPN+ will hold the pay-per-view rights for Fury-Ngannou. On top of existing subscription, purchase for the Top Rank event is $79.99.

The card is slated to begin at 1 p.m. Eastern (ESPN broadcast starts at 2 p.m. Eastern) with main event ringwalks for Fury and Ngannou scheduled tentatively for 5:40 p.m. Eastern. Keep in mind, this strap will be hosted across the planet in Saudi Arabia.

Fighter History

Tyson Fury

Simply, Tyson Fury has been the most dominant heavyweight of the current boxing epoch. Towering at 6-feet-9 inches, the Brit utilizes his rangy 85-inch reach to punish opponents seemingly at will. Still, he is anything but a statue in the ring, blending precise footwork with timely feints to keep his (pretty much always) smaller foes off-balanced.

Fury has never been defeated outright in his professional boxing career, so it does seem farfetched to believe someone making their debut will be able to do the trick — even a man as strong a puncher as Ngannou. At age 35, Fury is also the younger fighter here.

Notably, Fury’s lone blemish on his record came against American Deontay Wilder in downtown Los Angeles back in 2018. In a moment that will live eternally in heavyweight history, Fury sustained a haymaker left-right combination from Wilder early in the final round that sent the former crashing into unconsciousness. Of course, Fury miraculously beat the 10-count and finished the bout, earning his only professional draw.

December 2022 was the most recent time Fury saw action in the ring. On that night, he squared up with Derek Chisora at home in the U.K. Fury did not look particularly challenged in that match, scoring a stoppage victory in the 10th round.

Francis Ngannou

Francis Ngannou is definitely the type of cat to let his fists do the talking, and if you’re unfamiliar, those knuckles speak quite loudly. Still, he will be working with just about every disadvantage in his date with Fury. Next to “The Gypsy King,” Ngannou is shorter, less rangy, older (age 37) and a less experienced boxer. It’s a shame this one isn’t being fought under UFC sanctions; could you imagine?

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Ngannou’s overarching story is an incredible one. A native of Cameroon, he grew up in mostly poverty and hostility but remained adamant about channelling his abilities into something positive. Ngannou’s fight career began with boxing training, but after relocating to Paris, he was introduced to MMA by Fernand Lopez. Ngannou has gone on compile a 17-3 record in the discipline, producing many showstopping knockouts.

Back in 2017, Ngannou earned various “Knockout of the Year” accolades after he sent Alistair Overeem into a deep dream state with a crushing left uppercut. Simply, Ngannou has weapon-grade fists, but will he be able to mount consistent attacks against the ring skills of Fury?

I mentioned Ngannou is smaller, but he is certainly not little. Standing at 6-foot-4, his reach of 83 inches actually measures closer to Fury’s. Of course, Ngannou is built burly like a heavyweight. He’ll need to stay strong and focused to take down the champ.

— Gabriel Santiago

Fury vs. Ngannou Prediction

According to Tapology Fight Predictions, Fury has an 85% chance of victory against Ngannou.

Fury’s -2000 moneyline odds at FanDuel Sportsbook mean an implied win probability of 95.24%.

Notably, MMA and kickboxing veteran Alistair Overeem, who was on the losing end of one of Ngannou’s most infamous knockouts, predicted that “The Predator” would score a shocking upset KO against the Gypsy King.

Fury vs. Ngannou Full Card

  • Main Event: Tyson Fury vs. Francis Ngannou
    • Exhibition heavyweight bout
  • Fabio Wardley vs. David Adeleye
    • British heavyweight title bout
  • Joseph Parker vs. Simon Kean
    • Heavyweight bout
  • Arslanbek Makhmudov vs. Junior Anthony Wright
    • Heavyweight bout
  • Moses Itauma vs. Istvan Bernath
    • Heavyweight bout
  • Carlos Takam vs. Martin Bakole
    • Heavyweight bout
  • Jack McGann vs. Alcibiade Duran Galvan
    • Super welterweight bout

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]]> Fury vs. Ngannou Prediction, Odds, Full Card & How to Watch%%page%% %%sep%% %%sitename%% Get set for the Battle of the Baddest with the latest odds and betting insights from FanDuel, plus a big Fury vs. Ngannou prediction. boxing,FanDuel,FanDuel Sportsbook,Francis Ngannou,MMA,PFL,sports betting,Top Rank,fury vs. ngannou prediction Loading Bills vs. Bucs Week 8: Who Has the Oddsmakers’ Edge on Thursday Night Football? https://boardroom.tv/bills-vs-bucs-prediction-odds-prop-bets-week-8/ Wed, 25 Oct 2023 20:09:02 +0000 https://boardroom.tv/?p=80045 Get set for Week 8 with an expert overview of top player prop betting picks -- plus a big Buccaneers vs. Bills prediction -- from our friends at FanDuel.

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]]> This article originally appeared at FanDuel Research.

Get set for Week 8 with an expert overview of top player prop betting picks — plus a big Buccaneers vs. Bills prediction — from our friends at FanDuel.

Player props can be useful in a variety of ways — from taking advantage of them straight up to measuring a player’s potential to produce in daily fantasy football on FanDuel. Here, we’re going to focus on the former.

Utilizing numberFire’s projections as a guide, here are some NFL player prop bets that look appealing, and stick around at the end for a big Bills vs. Bucs prediction.

Please note that betting lines at FanDuel Sportsbook and numberFire’s game projections may change throughout the day after this article is published. Also, the weather may be an issue in some locations.

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Week 8 NFL Betting Picks: Bucs vs. Bills

Rachaad White Any Time Touchdown (+170)

The Buffalo Bills host the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to start Week 8, so let’s dive into some player props.

An 8.5-point spread in favor of the home Bills and a modest 42.5-point over/under is where things start this week and there are a few player props to consider.

We’ll start with Rachaad White any time touchdown (+170) with his large offensive role and solid matchup.

When it comes to the Bills’ defense, they are struggling a bit more than some may realize. So far this season, they’ve allowed the seventh-most (700) rushing yards to running backs this season, and the sixth-most (303) receiving yards to running backs.

Their reputation as a good defense seems to precede them but in reality, this is a pretty juicy spot for some production.

For White, he comes in with a 66% rushing share, 73% red zone rushing share, 11.7% target share, 11.5% red zone target share, while playing on 77.9% of the snaps, and running a route on 71.4% of dropbacks. These are strong metrics for White, yet he has just a single touchdown this season.

Between the matchup and the role, White is in a good matchup to find his way into the endzone.

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James Cook Under 51.5 Rushing Yards (-114)

The Buccaneers have a solid run defense and this sets up to be a difficult matchup for James Cook.

Under 51.5 rushing yards is the spot I’m going to this week, and there’s plenty to break down.

From the start, the Buccaneers have allowed a total of 485 rushing yards to running backs this season, which is the 11th fewest in the league. That’s good for 80.8 rushing yards per game, which seems to put Cook in a good spot, but we need to dive deeper.

In Week 3 against the Philadelphia Eagles, the Bucs allowed 173 rushing yards to the Eagles’ running backs. That’s 35% of the rushing yards allowed to running backs from one game, which skews the sample size a bit.

In the other five games this season, the Buccaneers allowed just two running backs — Tyler Allgeier (59) and Alvin Kamara (51) — to rush for over 50 yards this season.

The Buccaneers’ front seven is solid this season and have kept opposing running backs in check, and leads me to under 51.5 yards for Cook.

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Gabe Davis Over 41.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

While it’s a tough matchup on the ground for the Bills, it’s a solid one in the air.

The Buccaneers have allowed the 16th most (1,075) receiving yards to opposing wide receivers, which is right at the league average. They’re not a pass defense we need to be too worried about and that leads us to over 41.5 receiving yards for Gabriel Davis.

There’s no denying that Davis can be a bit inconsistent with his production but he’s got great underlying metrics we can’t pass up.

On the season, Davis has a 14.9% target share and 26.6% air yards share, both of which are the second-highest on the team, and a 15.8 average depth of target (aDOT), which is the highest on the team.

His role is consistent, but his results are not. After a few slow games, I’m buying a bounce-back spot for Davis against a very average defense.

When it comes to the Vikings’ defense, they are in the bottom 10 of the league for the most receptions (100) and yards (1,164) allowed to opposing wide receivers this season.

We’ve also seen the Vikings’ secondary get torched by the long ball this season, allowing long receptions of 24, 25, 28, 28, 30, 33, 40, 49, and 63 yards.

This should play well into Aiyuk’s skillset, who has broken off long receptions of 23, 23, 25, 25, 33, 34, and 42 yards.

Between his usage and the matchup, Aiyuk is in a great spot to have a big game.

— Tom Vecchio

Bills vs. Bucs Prediction: NFL Week 8

The numberFire projections model gives Buffalo a significant 69.8% chance of victory against Tampa Bay.

A spread of 8.5 points and a total of 42.5 implies a final score of approximately 25.5-17.

Week 8 Bills vs. Bucs prediction via numberFire projection model

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]]> Bills vs. Bucs Prediction, Odds & Prop Bets: NFL Week 8 %%page%% %%sep%% %%sitename%% Get set for Week 8 with an expert overview of top player prop betting picks -- plus a big Bills vs. Bucs prediction -- straight from FanDuel. Buffalo Bills,FanDuel,FanDuel Sportsbook,football,NFL,Tampa Bay Buccaneers,bills vs. bucs prediction Loading image-12 49ers vs. Vikings Week 7: Where’s the Smart Money Going on MNF? https://boardroom.tv/49ers-vs-vikings-prediction-odds-prop-bets-week-7/ Mon, 23 Oct 2023 18:38:41 +0000 https://boardroom.tv/?p=79905 Let's finish Week 7 strong with a big Vikings vs. 49ers prediction, plus the latest odds and player prop betting insights from our friends at FanDuel.

The post 49ers vs. Vikings Week 7: Where’s the Smart Money Going on MNF? appeared first on Boardroom.

]]> This article originally appeared at FanDuel Research.

Let’s finish Week 7 strong with a big Vikings vs. 49ers prediction, plus the latest odds and player prop betting picks from our friends at FanDuel.

Player props can be useful in a variety of ways — from taking advantage of them straight up to measuring a player’s potential to produce in daily fantasy football on FanDuel. Here, we’re going to focus on the former.

Utilizing numberFire’s projections as a guide, here are some NFL player prop bets that look appealing, and stick around at the end for a big 49ers vs. Vikings prediction.

Please note that betting lines at FanDuel Sportsbook and numberFire’s game projections may change throughout the day after this article is published. Also, the weather may be an issue in some locations.

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Week 7 NFL Betting Picks: 49ers vs. Vikings

49ers WR Brandon Aiyuk Any Time Touchdown (+125)
Brandon Aiyuk Over 24.5 Yards Longest Reception (-114)

Brandon Aiyuk is primed for a big game on Monday Night Football to close out Week 7.

The Minnesota Vikings host the San Francisco 49ers, where we see a modest 43.0-point over/under, and the road 49ers as 6.5-point favorites. The important notes for the 49ers are that Deebo Samuel is out, while Christian McCaffrey is dealing with an oblique injury.

CMC is expected to play, but we still want to focus on Aiyuk as a main option for the 49ers’ offense tonight.

Aiyuk leads the team with an 85.3% route running rate, 30.3% target share, 50.5% air yards share, and is the second-highest on the team with a 14.9 average depth of target (aDOT) and 21.1% red zone target share. He’s all over the place for the 49ers’ passing offense and yet, he hasn’t scored since Week 1.

Remove Samuel from the mix and there’s just one fewer option for the 49ers to look to in the scoring area.

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When it comes to the Vikings’ defense, they are in the bottom 10 of the league for the most receptions (100) and yards (1,164) allowed to opposing wide receivers this season.

We’ve also seen the Vikings’ secondary get torched by the long ball this season, allowing long receptions of 24, 25, 28, 28, 30, 33, 40, 49, and 63 yards.

This should play well into Aiyuk’s skillset, who has broken off long receptions of 23, 23, 25, 25, 33, 34, and 42 yards.

Between his usage and the matchup, Aiyuk is in a great spot to have a big game.

Lions TE T.J. Hockenson Over 5.5 Receptions (-113)

With Justin Jefferson on Injured Reserve for the Vikings, the offense has an opening for some production.

We saw a glimpse of that last week when TJ Hockenson ended with eight targets, six receptions, and 50 yards. A relatively modest stat line and we should be seeing somewhat of the same tonight.

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What’s more important is that Hockenson had a team-high 26.7% target share, which is just a bit higher than his 20.7% target share for the entire season. While it’s just a one-game sample size, it’s good to see that Kirk Cousins trusts Hockenson in the passing game.

The 49ers are in the top four of the league for the fewest yards (172) allowed to opposing tight ends, so I don’t expect a massive amount of yards from Hockenson, but the target volume should be there for him to hit over 5.5 receptions tonight.

— Tom Vecchio

49ers vs. Vikings Prediction: NFL Week 7

The numberFire projections model gives San Francisco City a significant 69.4% chance of victory against Minnesota.

A spread of 7 points and a total of 43.5 implies a final score of approximately 25.25-18.25.

Week 7 49ers vs. Vikings prediction via numberFire projection model

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]]> 49ers vs. Vikings Prediction, Odds & Prop Bets: NFL Week 7 %%page%% %%sep%% %%sitename%% Let's finish Week 7 strong with a big 49ers vs. Vikings prediction, plus the latest odds and player prop bet picks from FanDuel. Brandon Aiyuk,FanDuel,FanDuel Sportsbook,football,Minnesota Vikings,NFL,San Francisco 49ers,TJ Hockenson,49ers vs. vikings prediction Loading image-11 NBA Championship Odds 2023-24: Celtics, Nuggets, Bucks & More https://boardroom.tv/nba-championship-odds-2023-2024/ Mon, 23 Oct 2023 17:15:15 +0000 https://boardroom.tv/?p=79897 This article originally appeared at FanDuel Research As the action returns in the Association, find out who has the oddsmakers’ edge in the race for the 2024 NBA title. With a busy summer behind

The post NBA Championship Odds 2023-24: Celtics, Nuggets, Bucks & More appeared first on Boardroom.

]]> This article originally appeared at FanDuel Research

As the action returns in the Association, find out who has the oddsmakers’ edge in the race for the 2024 NBA title.

With a busy summer behind us and the start of training camps just weeks away, the outlook for the 2023-24 NBA season is coming into focus.

There may still be some major moves before the start of the season on Oct. 24th — looking at you, Damian Lillard — but the majority of the offseason is officially in the books.

Let’s take a look at 2023-24 NBA championship odds from FanDuel Sportsbook and how they have shifted during the offseason.

Here is a full list of the odds as of Oct. 23, 2023, plus a breakdown of the top teams.

TeamNBA Championship Odds
Boston Celtics+380
Milwaukee Bucks+380
Denver Nuggets+550
Phoenix Suns+550
Los Angeles Lakers+1300
Golden State Warriors+1400
Cleveland Cavaliers+2400
Memphis Grizzlies+2400
Dallas Mavericks+2500
Los Angeles Clippers+2700
Philadelphia 76ers+2700
Miami Heat+3000
New York Knicks+4600
Sacramento Kings+5000
Minnesota Timberwolves+5500
Oklahoma City Thunder+7000
Chicago Bulls+13000
Toronto Raptors+13000
Brooklyn Nets+13000
Atlanta Hawks+13000
Indiana Pacers+26000
San Antonio Spurs+50000
Portland Trail Blazers+50000
Orlando Magic+50000
Houston Rockets+50000
Washington Wizards+50000
Utah Jazz+50000
Charlotte Hornets+50000
Detroit Pistons+50000
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NBA Championship Odds: Boston Celtics (+380)

The Boston Celtics had a busy offseason.

They began free agency with a bang, trading Marcus Smart to the Memphis Grizzlies in a three-team trade that resulted in Kristaps Porzingis joining Boston. They allowed Grant Williams to leave, trading him to the Dallas Mavericks, before signing Jaylen Brown to the largest contract in NBA history. They also significantly bolstered their coaching staff, bringing in multiple experienced assistant coaches to work alongside Joe Mazzula.

Williams’ exit and Brown’s extension were expected to happen, but Smart’s departure was a surprise and marked the end of an era in Boston.

The result of all these moves? A positive shift in their NBA championship odds, from +500 the day after the NBA Finals to +380 today and a jump from third to first. As it stands, they will enter the season as slight favorites to finally get over the hump and win their first title since 2008.

Their position at the top is a slightly uncertain one, as this group has yet to play a single minute with Porzingis on the floor. Their returning starters have plenty of chemistry together, but it is difficult to measure the potential impact of losing Smart, who has been with the team for every minute of both Jayson Tatum and Brown’s careers.

On Wednesday, Oct. 25th, all eyes will be on Madison Square Garden, where the Celtics’ clash with the New York Knicks will provide the first glimpse of this new-look Boston team.

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Milwaukee Bucks (+380)

Among teams ranked inside the top 10 in NBA championship odds the day after the NBA Finals, only the Golden State Warriors and Philadelphia 76ers have seen a larger decrease in odds than the Milwaukee Bucks.

After crashing out of the playoffs in the first round, Milwaukee began the offseason tied with the Nuggets as favorites to win the 2023-23 NBA Championship at +460. Fast forward three months, and they now sit in third with their odds closer to the Phoenix Suns behind them than the Nuggets ahead of them.

Despite hiring a new head coach in Adrian Griffin, the sentiment appears to be that the Bucks stood still this offseason while the teams around them improved. Milwaukee accomplished their primary offseason goal of re-signing both Khris Middleton and Brook Lopez. They also resigned Jae Crowder and brought in Malik Beasley and Robin Lopez.

They will enter the season with their core from their 2020-21 title intact. When healthy, that core has been incredibly successful, but their durability has been an issue in recent seasons. If they can avoid the injury issues that have impacted them since their title, Milwaukee will be right back in the mix for a championship — especially if Boston’s offseason changes don’t work out.

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NBA Championship Odds: Denver Nuggets (+550)

The Denver Nuggets begin their defense of their first NBA title as slight underdogs to the Celtics. Their offseason was highlighted by two key departures, with Bruce Brown joining the Indiana Pacers and Jeff Green signing with the Houston Rockets.

It is always difficult for a title-winning team to keep their roster together, and the Nuggets are no exception, but they will return the core of their roster. That core is so good that it might be enough.

Several teams in the West improved this offseason, but that improvement was desperately needed for them to contend with Denver. The Nuggets didn’t just win an NBA title last season; they ran away with it, losing just four games during the entire postseason. For Denver, minimizing their offseason losses was all they needed to do to remain at the top of the league, and they did that.

With both Brown and Green gone, sophomore Christian Braun could be tasked with a larger role off the bench. How Denver sorts out their depth will go a long way to determining their ability to repeat as champions, but make no mistake about it, they are the best team in the West and everyone else is playing catch up.

Denver’s odds have shifted slightly since the NBA finals ended, from +460 to +550, primarily due to moves made by several other contenders.

Phoenix Suns (+550)

The Suns were VERY active this offseason, and if you include their midseason trade for Kevin Durant, no team has reshaped their roster more for 2023 than Phoenix.

The Suns were bounced from the playoffs by eventual champion Denver, but looking back at it, the two games they took off the Nuggets were the most of any team. At halftime of Game 5, they were down by just three points with the series tied 2-2, but it was all downhill from there.

Since then, they have changed head coaches, bringing in Frank Vogel for Monty Williams, swapped out Chris Paul for Bradley Beal, and re-signed Damion Lee and Josh Okogie.

With so much of their salary cap tied up in their big four, how the Suns rounded out their roster was always going to be critical. They managed to bring in Eric Gordon, Keita Bates-Diop, Chimezie Metu, Yuta Watanabe, Drew Eubanks, and Bol Bol.

The results of all these moves? A decrease in odds from +700 to +650. The Suns remain fourth on the list, but the difference between their odds and the current favorites shrunk from +240 the day after the NBA Finals to +180 today.

With so many changes, early-season chemistry could be a slight concern, but if this roster stays healthy, it’s easy to see why they sit in fourth place on this list. Come playoffs, the Suns should be well-positioned to challenge for a title.

— Gabriel Santiago

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]]> Loading Chiefs vs. Chargers Week 7: Who’s Got the Oddsmakers’ Edge in Kansas City? https://boardroom.tv/chiefs-vs-chargers-prediction-odds-nfl-week-7/ Sat, 21 Oct 2023 04:01:00 +0000 https://boardroom.tv/?p=79858 Get set for Sunday's AFC West clash with a big Chargers vs. Chiefs prediction, plus the latest odds and betting insights from Week 7's top games from our friends at FanDuel.

The post Chiefs vs. Chargers Week 7: Who’s Got the Oddsmakers’ Edge in Kansas City? appeared first on Boardroom.

]]> This article originally appeared at FanDuel Research.

Get set for Sunday’s AFC West clash with a big Chargers vs. Chiefs prediction, plus the latest odds and betting insights from Week 7’s top games from our friends at FanDuel.

After one of the better Thursday night contests of the season — a road upset for the Jacksonville Jaguars over the New Orleans Saints — NFL Week 7 is officially off and rolling.

That game at the Superdome also served as a stopper for a certain totals streak. Pertaining to the Saints, the combined total had gone under in every one of their matchups this year until last night; a fourth-quarter 17-yard touchdown pass from Derek Carr to Michael Thomas cashed a win for over bettors.

Although we have six different sides on bye in Week 7 (CAR, CIN, DAL, HOU, NYJ, and TEN), Sunday’s smaller slate still offers a few high-quality clashes. In the early window, the Detroit Lions will visit the Baltimore Ravens as respective division leaders.

For the afternoon action, I am most interested in the AFC West clash in KCMO. There, the Kansas City Chiefs will host the division rival Los Angeles Chargers — fireworks always seem to fly whenever those two sides get together.

Let’s dive into the NFL Week 7 odds with an emphasis on scoping out the most valuable of Sunday’s lines in traditional betting markets and make a big Chiefs vs. Chargers prediction.

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Week7 NFL Betting Picks

Odds via FanDuel Sportsbook and subject to change.

Sunday’s Full Slate

Remaining NFL Week 7 MatchupsKickoff Time (EST)Favorite
Detroit Lions at Baltimore Ravens1 p.m.BAL
Cleveland Browns at Indianapolis Colts1 p.m.CLE
Washington Commanders at New York Giants1 p.m.WSH
Las Vegas Raiders at Chicago Bears1 p.m.LV
Buffalo Bills at New England Patriots1 p.m.BUF
Atlanta Falcons at Tampa Bay Buccaneers1 p.m.TB
Pittsburgh Steelers at Los Angeles Rams4:05 p.m.LAR
Arizona Cardinals at Seattle Seahawks4:05 p.m.SEA
Los Angeles Chargers at Kansas City Chiefs4:25 p.m.KC
Green Bay Packers at Denver Broncos4:25 p.m.GB
Miami Dolphins at Philadelphia Eagles8:20 p.m.PHI
San Francisco 49ers at Minnesota Vikings8:15 p.m./Mon.SF
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Atlanta Falcons at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

  • Time: 1 p.m. EST
  • TV: FOX
  • Spread: TB -2.5
  • Moneyline: ATL +120/TB -142
  • Total: 37.5

An NFC South contest, the Atlanta Falcons (3-3) will make the short trip to tussle with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-2). At the moment, Tampa holds just a half-game lead over Atlanta and New Orleans for the division’s top spot, but the “Dirty Birds” will be looking to change that this weekend.

In 2023, the Bucs have been led by a stout defense and timely quarterback play from Baker Mayfield. Tampa is allowing just 17.6 PPG, which is the seventh-best clip in the NFL right now. Of course, for the Falcons, they have been laboring arduously on offense. Producing only 20.0 PPG so far, Atlanta is currently a bottom-four offense.

Notably, Falcon signal-caller Desmond Ridder is struggling in his rookie campaign. He is averaging a short 6.8 yards per pass attempt while sporting an inefficient 1:1 touchdown-to-interception ratio. With that considered, I think the rook is in for a rough outing in West Central Florida.

Best Bet: Buccaneers -2.5 (-110)

Although Tampa Bay has shown mixed results of their own in 2023, they have been much more consistent when compared to Atlanta. Simply, I think the many hyper-athletic Buccaneers on defense are a large reason for that. Behind experienced stars like Antoine Winfield Jr., Devin White, Lavonte David, and Vita Vea, I don’t see this bunch from ATL in a favorable spot.

For this bid, the game projections at numberFire share my line of thinking. Their model has Tampa emerging victorious this Sunday by an estimated score of 25.58-21.06. Given that the Bucs are laying less than a field goal at the moment, I will not pass this line up. I see Tampa Bay moving to 4-2 after this week, winning by a touchdown or more versus Atlanta.

Detroit Lions at Baltimore Ravens

  • Time: 1 p.m. EST
  • TV: FOX
  • Spread: BAL -3
  • Moneyline: DET +134/BAL -158
  • Total: 43.5 (-105/-115)

In what might end up as the best game of the weekend, the Lions will head east to “Charm City” where the Ravens await. At 4-2 straight up (SU), Baltimore is pacing the AFC North while Detroit is 5-1 atop the NFC North. Maybe it’s a bit too early to exclaim, but I absolutely see this contest as a potential Super Bowl preview.

At FanDuel Sportsbook, the Lions (+1400) and Ravens (+1500) both fall within the top eight of Super Bowl LVIII odds. Of course, whichever side emerges victorious here will likely see their price shorten considerably in the big game market.

Detroit and Baltimore are both built on solid football culture in the present epoch. Respective quarterbacks Lamar Jackson and Jared Goff are each enjoying quality individual seasons, but the latter has been more sharp in 2023. Right now, Goff’s QBR yields 73.3, which is fourth-best throughout the entire NFL.

Best Bet: Over 43.5 (-105)

I don’t hate a play on the Lions moneyline this week (+134 on FanDuel Sportsbook), but I am finding more comfort in a play on the total for this contest. Considering Baltimore and Detroit are both in the top third for total offensive yardage, over 43.5 points feels best to me.

Outside of yardage, the Lions are actually the fourth-best scoring offense (28.0 PPG) in the league right now. Admittedly, passing conditions might be a little harsh in B’More, but expect these sides to lead on their high-end rushing attacks. Even with David Montgomery sitting this one out, perhaps rookie Jahmyr Gibbs keeps up the rampant ground production — gimmie the over.

Additionally, if you really like the Lions SU in this contest, you should head to FanDuel Sportsbook to check out Howie Long’s promotional parlay. The NFL Hall-of-Famer has cooked up a four-teamer and — spoiler alert — Detroit ML is one of his selections.

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Los Angeles Chargers at Kansas City Chiefs

  • Time: 4:25 p.m. EST
  • TV: CBS
  • Spread: KC -5.5
  • Moneyline: LAC +194/KC -230
  • Total: 47.5 (-115/-105)

In the modern era, it feels as if the Chargers and Chiefs have gone on to produce some of the most entertaining head-to-head football games. Between the rocket-throwing arms of Patrick Mahomes and Justin Herbert, their high-scoring head-to-head affairs really should not be a surprise to anyone.

Entering Week 7, these offensive units are beginning to take full form. Notably, Travis Kelce missed Kansas City’s opener while Austin Ekeler missed a few weeks for the Bolts with an ankle injury. Right now, the Chiefs are scoring 24.5 PPG (10th in NFL) while LAC is producing a clip of 25.4 (7th).

Initially, a play on the Chargers against the spread (ATS) caught my eye, but considering their habit of late-game collapses, I would rather not get burned there. Also, the Chargers are a poor 2-3 ATS in 2023 — that steers me into a move on the total of 47.5 points.

Best Bet: Over 47.5 (-115)

Since Herbert entered the NFL, he has faced the Chiefs in six separate contests. In that stretch, the combined point total between the Bolts and K.C. has gone over 47.5 points at an 83.3% rate. Additionally, those six games have produced an average total of 56.0 PPG.

Considering the offensive skill cast featured in this one — Mahomes, Herbert, Kelce, Ekeler, Keenan Allen, etc. — I think this one will turn into a scoring show as per usual. Mahomes and Herbert always seem to bring out the best of each other.

— Gabriel Santiago

Chiefs vs. Chargers Prediction: NFL Week 7

The numberFire projections model gives Kansas City a significant 74.1% chance of victory against Los Angeles.

A spread of 5.5 points and a total of 47.5 implies a final score of approximately 26.5-21.

Week 7 Chiefs vs. Chargers prediction via numberFire projection model

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The post Chiefs vs. Chargers Week 7: Who’s Got the Oddsmakers’ Edge in Kansas City? appeared first on Boardroom.

]]> Chiefs vs. Chargers Prediction, Odds & Prop Bets: NFL Week 7 %%page%% %%sep%% %%sitename%% Get set for Sunday with a big Chiefs vs. Chargers prediction, plus the latest odds and betting insights from Week 7's top games. FanDuel,FanDuel Sportsbook,football,Kansas City Chiefs,Los Angeles Chargers,NFL,chiefs vs. chargers prediction Loading image-10 Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2: Where’s the Smart Money Going at UFC 294? https://boardroom.tv/makhachev-vs-volkanovski-prediction-odds-ufc-294/ Fri, 20 Oct 2023 18:14:50 +0000 https://boardroom.tv/?p=79835 Lock in for a stacked fight card with a big Volk vs. Islam prediction, plus the latest UFC 294 odds and betting insights from FanDuel.

The post Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2: Where’s the Smart Money Going at UFC 294? appeared first on Boardroom.

]]> This article originally appeared at FanDuel Research

Lock in for a stacked fight card with a big Volk vs. Islam prediction, plus the latest UFC 294 odds and betting insights from FanDuel.

If you crave violence, artistry, and competition in its purest form, the Ultimate Fighting Championship might be for you.

Better known as UFC, the world’s largest mixed martial arts promotion holds around a dozen MMA fights a vast majority of the weekend throughout the year. The promotion has fathered some of the biggest combat-sport stars of the 21st century, including Conor McGregor and Jon Jones.

There are plenty of ways to get in on the action every Saturday. FanDuel Sportsbook provides MMA odds including moneylines, round totals, and prop bets for each fight, and FanDuel Fantasy has several UFC daily fantasy contests with lucrative prizes. Regardless of your preferred way to play, we’ll break down the environment, chances for each fighter to win, and matchup specifics for each bout.

Without further delay, let’s break down the 13 fights at UFC 294 from the Ethiad Arena in Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates on Saturday, including a big Makhachev vs. Volkanovski prediction.

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Makhachev vs. Volkanovski Prediction, Odds & Best Bets

All odds via FanDuel Sportsbook and subject to change.

Lightweight (155 pounds)
Five-Round Title Fight

FighterOdds (via FanDuel Sportsbook)FanDuel Salary HeightReachStriking Success Rate (SSR)FanDuel Points Per Minute (excl. bonuses)
Islam Makhachev-260$205′ 10″70″1.083.07
Alexander Volkanovski+205$175′ 6″71″2.894.56

Alexander Volkanovski is a man of his word. He loves challenging himself and believes it’s for the best.

On 10 days notice, Volkanovski steps in for the injured Charles Oliveira for his second crack at the lightweight title. Of course, the longtime featherweight champion had no issues defending his own belt in July, but this one eluded him. Islam Makhachev took a unanimous decision in a fight that was far closer than any of us expected it.

With that said, I think we may have done as UFC consumers what we always do with overperforming underdogs. There were cries of a poor decision, but Makhachev landed a significantly higher percentage of his significant strikes (60%) with four takedowns and over seven minutes of control time. Analytically, he was still fairly dominant in most rounds. Volkanovski’s knockdown and crafty final-round sweep aside, he definitely lost.

Makhachev has landed 3.24 takedowns per 15 minutes with 62% accuracy. He’s truly emulated Khabib Nurmagomedov’s unstoppable wrestling from the same camp, and Makhachev’s striking accuracy (59%) and defense (61%) are absurd. His 91% takedown D also largely removes that weapon from his opponents. He’s easily a top-three fighter in the promotion.

The problem here is that Volkanovski had an entire camp planning to be at lightweight before this duo’s first fight. This fight comes as he was likely preparing for Ilia Topuria at 145 pounds, so I’m not sure his base weight is what it was in the first bout. Plus, that was near his backyard in Australia, and this will be on Makhachev’s turf in Abu Dhabi.

As a supreme advocate of Volk and his +2.89 SSR (which is just absurd at a championship level), he fought as well as he could have in the first fight and still lost. Makhachev has more arrows in his corner this time around, and I’m concerned this bout also puts Volkanovski’s 145-pound title in jeopardy come January.

There’s challenging yourself, and then there is believing the impossible is possible. I hate to doubt the Aussie, but I think this is the latter.

Betting Verdict

  • My model has Makhachev at 54.2% to win this fight, but fighters older than 35 (Volk) facing a fighter younger than 35 (Islam) are 2-29-1 in their last 32 UFC title fights. Add in the negative change in weight class for Volkanovski, and the favorite is a worthy one.
    • I probably won’t get to the window, though. Even in such a big fight, I just don’t have an extreme desire to wager against Volk, the greatest MMA fighter of all-time.
  • I’ve got this fight at -120 to go the distance (or +120 to not), and that’s right about where this line is hovering.

DFS Verdict

  • Makhachev’s wrestling-heavy style produced just 78.2 FanDuel points in the first fight, and Volkanovski’s overall defense is exceptional. I think Islam is viable on FanDuel at $20 while other, better MVP options exist.

Said Nurmagomedov vs. Muin Gafurov

Men’s Bantamweight (135 pounds)

FighterOdds (via FanDuel Sportsbook)FanDuel Salary HeightReachStriking Success Rate (SSR)FanDuel Points Per Minute (excl. bonuses)
Said Nurmagomedov-225$165′ 8″70″1.392.94
Muin Gafurov+180$155′ 7″68″0.172.84

Though not the largest favorite on the card by any means, I’d be most surprised by a Said Nurmagomedov loss because I can’t comprehend his opponent’s path to victory.

Nurmagomedov — not from the family of the former champion — took a loss last time out, but it was one of five in a row for opponents of the ranked Jonathan Martinez (10-3 UFC), and going the full distance certainly hasn’t aged poorly. Before that, Nurmagomedov had bested five multi-time UFC winners with his only other loss coming to Raoni Barcelos (6-4 UFC). It’s a pretty stout resumé at this stage.

Meanwhile, Muin Gafurov is 0-1 in UFC, losing to John Castaneda (4-2 UFC) in his official debut. Gafurov was penalized for multiple fouls and amassed a +0.17 SSR through that one. He showed more on DWCS against Chad Anheliger, landing five takedowns in a split decision loss. More concerningly, Gafurov has just a 47% striking D and 62% takedown D through the two appearances, which are both fully exploitable for a fighter with three wins by finish.

Said is more of a striker, and his +1.39 SSR is all the more impressive when he’s landed just 3.54 significant strikes per minute. It’s nothing sensational, but he mitigates damage with elite efficiency. On the flip side, Gafurov has proven to be inefficient and sloppy at times.

Frankly, the path I’d see Nurmagomedov losing — yet to be outstruck in a fight with distance time — is via his wrestling, but even then, he defended 7 of 12 takedowns against the sensational Saidyokub Kakhramonov (2-1 UFC) before cinching a choke on the challenger. I see Gafurov as a level below Nurmagomedov’s last four opponents; that’s usually when special happens.

Betting Verdict

  • Nurmagomedov’s inside-the-distance prop (+135) is wholly undervalued when he’s a proven finisher against multi-time winners. Gafurov might wrestle himself into immense danger, and he’s also been knocked down in both UFC-affiliated appearances.
  • With a near coin flip on the total, I prefer under 2.5 rounds (-108) while also acknowledging I don’t believe Gafurov has inside-the-distance upside.

DFS Verdict

  • Said ($16) is a guy I’ve generally shied away from, but in hindsight, it was attached to a lot of talented, decision-oriented bantamweights themselves. This matchup could unlock his true upside.

Magomed Ankalaev vs. Johnny Walker

Light Heavyweight (205 pounds)

FighterOdds (via FanDuel Sportsbook)FanDuel Salary HeightReachStriking Success Rate (SSR)FanDuel Points Per Minute (excl. bonuses)
Magomed Ankalaev-355$196′ 3″75″1.402.53
Johnny Walker+270$116′ 6″82″1.272.85

This fight was quite the ride to model.

Frankly, I’ve kind of forgot what an uninspiring run Magomed Ankalaev has been on despite being tabbed as the future of this division. Now at 31, he’s exiting a draw (that was a poor decision) against Jan Blachowicz, which was so ugly that UFC re-racked the title fight with two new combatants less than a month later. That was one of four decisions in his last five bouts, and the exception was Anthony Smith breaking his leg on the other side.

Still, one odd note is that Ankalaev’s knockdown rate (1.24%) does just exceed that of Johnny Walker (1.19%) in a fight where most view the Brazilian underdog as a knockout-or-bust option. I’m not sure of that; he just took a convincing decision from Smith in May that followed first-round finishes of Ion Cutelaba and Paul Craig. Walker’s last loss was to the vacated champion, Jamahal Hill, by first-round KO.

Though Ankalaev’s stiking defense (59%) is signifcantly higher, he and Walker get it done in different ways with SSRs of +1.40 and +1.27, respectively. Many are scared to engage with the 6’6″ Walker, who will have seven inches of reach on Ankalaev. If Magomed tries to exploit Walker’s 60% takedown D, he better be careful. He’s 0-1 via submission in UFC, and Walker — out of nowhere — used three submission attempts to dispatch Cutelaba.

My model checked my bias here. I would have called Walker the power puncher, but his underrated win condition might also be a submission with Ankalaev yet to offer an official attempt in UFC. Ankalaev’s own hesitancy — offering just 6.83 significant strikes per minute — might also help Walker’s defensive shortcomings just as it did his previous opponents’.

I see Walker as the toolsier fight that is notably improving, so I wouldn’t totally doubt his power and athleticism at this betting number.

Betting Verdict

  • I was pretty surprised to show value on Walker here. I’ve got him at 43.1% to win this fight when these odds imply a 27.0% chance.
  • Oddly, Walker’s submission prop is approximately +925 in my model. It’s +2200 on FanDuel with most assuming the Dagestani wrestler wouldn’t lose that way.
  • As another oddity, I’m actually showing this fight at 63.5% to go the distance. That seems crazy when it’s +152 at FanDuel, but Ankalaev has been a decision machine inside the top 10 at light heavyweight.

DFS Verdict

  • If this fight simply goes the distance regardless of outcome, it’ll ruin plenty of lineups pegging Ankalaev ($19) as one of the card’s best bets for a quick finish. Walker ($11) is the side I’ll nervously target.

Khamzat Chimaev vs. Kamaru Usman

Middleweight (185 pounds)

FighterOdds (via FanDuel Sportsbook)FanDuel Salary HeightReachStriking Success Rate (SSR)FanDuel Points Per Minute (excl. bonuses)
Khamzat Chimaev-300$186′ 2″75″3.327.14
Kamaru Usman+235$136′ 0″76″1.713.89

Kamaru Usman is likely getting compensated handsomely for such a tall task on 10 days notice, but this has disaster written all over it to me.

The latest version we saw of the former dominant welterweight champ was a shell of himself at 36 years old in March. He landed just 4 of 15 takedown attempts on Leon Edwards, and Edwards landed a whopping 74% of his significant strikes. “Rocky” Edwards was a fighter my model believed was wildly overrated entering his two battles with Usman, but that second act elevated his profile closer to divisional averages.

The aforementioned model would have had Khamzat Chimaev north of -1200 against Edwards before that last Usman-Edwards clash, so with the full expectation that “Borz” is a better fighter, this lopsided moneyline makes more sense. The enigmatic Russian missed weight by nine pounds last fall but still crushed ranked welterweight Kevin Holland when UFC got done shuffling chairs to find him a bout. He’s now only allowed to compete at middleweight, per the promotion.

Overall, Chimaev’s “vulnerability” was shown from a -11 striking differential to Gilbert Burns (15-6 UFC) in which he still won by unanimous decision. I’m still concerned about Chimaev’s 41% striking D in the future, but he waded through all of Burns’ power punches with no sort of wobble or danger.

I actually think Chimaev’s striking, which has produced 7.30 significant strikes per minute with lethal 59% accuracy, is an underrated element of this fight. Much of the discussion is whether or not he can exploit Usman’s elite 97% takedown defense; I still think he could, but Chimaev won’t be out to lunch on the feet given how much success Edwards had.

The problem for me is that I no longer can trust Usman’s +1.71 SSR and excellent wrestling stats. He showed a sharp decline from even the first Edwards bout in March, and my model still has Chimaev at -295 to win when giving full credit overall to those metrics.

The future middleweight champion of the world fights on Saturday; I’d tune in to watch.

Betting Verdict

  • My model absolutely helped check my bias in this fight. Chimaev’s growing sample is seemingly not human, and even the overall, prime-weighted version of Usman would have a tough task here. I think this reduced version is toast.
  • This fight is -200 to not go the distance, and I’m on the same page, projecting it 82.2% to finish before the final bell.

DFS Verdict

  • Chimaev ($18) is usually the maximum salary on the slate, so I appreciate Usman’s legacy providing some value here. He sprints for the finish from the opening bell and didn’t slow down in the Burns fight. Cutting less weight, another monstrous effort could be on the way.

— Austin Swaim

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]]> Makhachev vs. Volkanovski Prediction, Odds & Best Bets: UFC 294 %%page%% %%sep%% %%sitename%% Lock in for a big fight card with a big Makhachev vs. Volkanovski prediction, plus the latest UFC 294 odds and betting insights from FanDuel. Alexander Volkanovski,FanDuel,FanDuel Sportsbook,Islam Makhachev,Kamaru Usman,Khamzat Chimaev,MMA,sports betting,UFC,Makhachev vs. Volkanovski prediction Loading Saints vs. Jaguars Week 7: Who’s Got the Oddsmakers’ Edge on TNF? https://boardroom.tv/saints-vs-jaguars-prediction-odds-prop-bets-week-7/ Thu, 19 Oct 2023 04:01:00 +0000 https://boardroom.tv/?p=79737 Lock in for Week 7 with a big Jaguars vs. Saints prediction, plus the latest odds and betting insights from our friends at FanDuel.

The post Saints vs. Jaguars Week 7: Who’s Got the Oddsmakers’ Edge on TNF? appeared first on Boardroom.

]]> This article originally appeared at FanDuel Research.

Lock in for Week 7 with a big Jaguars vs. Saints prediction, plus the latest odds and betting insights from our friends at FanDuel.

Player props can be useful in a variety of ways — from taking advantage of them straight up to measuring a player’s potential to produce in daily fantasy football on FanDuel. Here, we’re going to focus on the former.

Utilizing numberFire’s projections as a guide, here are some NFL player prop bets that look appealing, plus a big Saints vs. Chargers prediction.

Week 7 of the 2023 NFL season is here, and we kick things off on Thursday Night! I’ll be bringing this article every Thursday along with a show on the Covering the Spread podcast feed to break things down.

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Jaguars vs. Saints Prop Bets: NFL Week 7

Odds via FanDuel Sportsbook and subject to change.

Alvin Kamara Any Time Touchdown (+120)
Alvin Kamara Over 29.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

The New Orleans Saints are hosting the Jacksonville Jaguars on Thursday Night Football to kick off Week 7.

This game features a very modest 39.5-point over/under and sees the home Saints favored by 1.5 points. The Jaguars’ defense has been struggling this season and we want some props that reflect that, so let’s start with a pair from Alvin Kamara.

Since Kamara returned from his three-game suspension to start the year, he’s played a large part of the Saints’ offense and offers plenty of value in the prop market.

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Over the last three weeks, Kamara has been playing on 72.7% of the offensive snaps, running a route on 56.1% of dropbacks, a 22.9% target share, and 57.1% red zone target share. Both the target share and the red zone target share are the highest on the team over the last three weeks.

This has led to Kamara racking up 25 targets, 23 receptions, and 86 receiving yards in these three games.

The Jaguars have struggled against running backs in the passing game and have allowed 243 receiving yards, which is the seventh-most in the league.

Between Kamara’s high offensive usage and the favorable matchup against the Jaguars’ defense, he’s primed for a big game.

Chris Olave Over 23.5 Longest Reception (-114)

Sticking with the Saints, we’ll turn to Chris Olave and over 23.5 longest reception.

Olave is a consistent deep-ball threat for the Saints and is known for breaking off big plays. To this point in the season, Olave has hauled in long receptions of 24, 27, 28, 42, and 45 yards.

This shouldn’t be a surprise since Olave leads the team with a 39.3% air yards share and 14.7 average depth of target (aDOT), which is the second-highest on the team.

The Jaguars’ secondary is struggling this season and has allowed 1,080 receiving yards to wide receivers, which is the fifth-most in the league. They’ve allowed a total of 13 receptions that have gone for 22 yards or more, 10 of which have been for 30 yards or more.

The Saints look to get Olave the ball deep down the field and the Jaguars’ defense has been getting torched by the long ball this year, setting up a big gainer from Olave this week.

— Tom Vecchio

Saints vs. Jaguars Prediction: NFL Week 7

The numberFire projections model gives the Jaguars a 56.1% chance of victory against Los Angeles.

A spread of 1.5 points and a total of 39.5 implies a final score of approximately 20.5-19.

Saints vs. Jaguars prediction via the numberFire projection model

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]]> Saints vs. Jaguars Prediction, Odds & Prop Bets: NFL Week 6 %%page%% %%sep%% %%sitename%% Lock in for Week 7 with a big Saints vs. Jaguars prediction, plus the latest odds and betting insights from our friends at FanDuel. Alvin Kamara,Chris Olave,FanDuel,FanDuel Sportsbook,football,Jacksonville Jaguars,New Orleans Saints,NFL,saints vs. jaguars prediction Loading image-9 Cowboys vs. Chargers Week 6: Where’s the Smart Money Going on MNF? https://boardroom.tv/cowboys-vs-chargers-prediction-odds-prop-bets-2023/ Mon, 16 Oct 2023 16:07:01 +0000 https://boardroom.tv/?p=79524 Get set to cap off Week 6 with a big Chargers vs. Cowboys prediction, plus the latest odds and betting insights from our friends at FanDuel.

The post Cowboys vs. Chargers Week 6: Where’s the Smart Money Going on MNF? appeared first on Boardroom.

]]> This article originally appeared at FanDuel Research.

Get set to cap off Week 6 with a big Chargers vs. Cowboys prediction, plus the latest odds and betting insights from our friends at FanDuel.

Monday Night Football is back with the Dallas Cowboys (3-2) visiting the Los Angeles Chargers (2-2) for a cross-conference matchup.

After a slew of uneventful primetime games, NFL fans should be in for a treat with this one — especially considering the high game total (50.5) and close spread (Dallas -1.5). The game kicks off at 8:15 p.m. EST and can be watched on ESPN and ABC.

The Cowboys have been a bit of an anomaly this season. Their three wins came against teams ranked 19th or lower by numberFire’s power ratings — New York Jets (19th), New England Patriots (27th), and New York Giants (29th) — but they by no means won these games by the skin of their teeth. In fact, they totally eviscerated these opponents, outscoring them by a towering 108-13.

However, Dallas also fell to a bottom-ranked Arizona Cardinals squad and didn’t come close to keeping up with the top-ranked San Francisco 49ers. Dallas was outscored 70-26 in those two defeats.

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They will face their most evenly matched opponent yet in the Chargers, and a win on the road could legitimize Dallas’ current -420 “To Make The Playoff” odds. A loss would hand the Cowboys a .500 record and lead to questions about their legitimacy as a true contender.

The Chargers, meanwhile, haven’t seen the field in more than two weeks and will look to come out strong following a bye. Their preseason win total of 9.5 has stood pat going into tonight’s game, but injuries have been an issue for them as they’ve been without some of their top offensive targets, although Austin Ekeler is expected back tonight.

With a game against the Kansas City Chiefs on the horizon, the Chargers will need to prioritize a win tonight to keep their current +104 “To Make the Playoff” odds afloat.

Let’s break things down with a big Cowboys vs. Chargers prediction, plus the latest odds and betting insights from FanDuel.

Cowboys at Chargers Week 6 Betting Odds: Spread, Total, and Moneyline

Odds via FanDuel Sportsbook and subject to change.

  • Spread: Cowboys -1.5 (-118)
  • Total: 50.5
  • Moneyline:
    • Cowboys: -130
    • Chargers: +110
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Cowboys at Chargers Week 6 Matchup Analysis

In comparing the numbers for these teams going into Week 6, it becomes pretty clear why we have such a close spread on tap.

According to numberFire’s nERD-based power rankings, the Cowboys are the 7th-ranked team in the league while the Chargers are narrowly behind in the 12th spot.

Los Angeles boasts the better signal-caller between the two teams in Justin Herbert. Although Herbert and Dak Prescott rank similarly in Adjusted Total QBR — Herbert comes in sixth spot while Prescott sits seventh — their parallels end there.

Herbert ranks No. 6 among starting quarterbacks in EPA, seventh in Adjusted Passing Net Expected Point (NEP) per play, and No. 9 in passing success rate. Prescott ranks 15th, 11th, and 22nd, respectively, in those categories.

Based on this, it should be of no surprise that the Chargers’ overall offense is ranked 10th in the NFL while the Cowboys are back at the 18th spot.

Though the Chargers win games on offense, their weapons have been riddled with injuries and could shake things up going into tonight. Mike Williams was placed on IR with a torn ACL following Week 3. He had been averaging 83.0 yards per game on 8.7 targets prior to being sidelined, so it’s fair to say his presence is missed, even if the Chargers boast decent backup options.

Star running back Austin Ekeler was injured in Week 1 and hasn’t seen the field since, but he has been marked good to go for tonight’s game. The return of injured players, especially with someone as important as Ekeler, are always tricky to navigate, but all signs point to Ekeler having a full workload tonight. Reports suggest Ekeler was prepared to suit up last week if not for the bye, so he should give Herbert and the Chargers a much-needed boost against the dominant Dallas defense.

The Cowboys’ defense ranks fifth in the league, and they boast defensive monsters such as Micah Parsons and Demarcus Lawrence. If America’s Team wins this game, it will likely be won on defense.

Though the defense is the star of the show for Dallas, Prescott and his receivers have a chance to make a splash against the Chargers’ 20th-ranked defense.

The Bolts let up a whopping 404.0 yards per game (second-most), giving Prescott some room to rebound off his poor performance (153 yards, 1 TD, 3 INT) from last week. He will need help from star receiver CeeDee Lamb and disappointing-thus-far backup options such as Brandin Cooks and Michael Gallup, but if there’s a game where the Dallas offense has a shot to shine, it should be this one.

I would be remiss if I didn’t mention the Cowboys’ infamous road struggles. Last season, the team went 8-1 at home and 4-4 on the road. This season has been more of the same, with Dallas posting a 2-0 home record and a 1-2 road mark.

Though home/away history is not the be-all and end-all, I think it helps give the Chargers the edge in this game — although there will likely be plenty of Dallas fans in the stands tonight. Plus, I trust Herbert and his targets to produce against a tough defense more than I do Prescott and company against a weak defense. But the path to a victory is fairly clear for both teams, so we should be in for a competitive shootout.

Cowboys vs. Chargers Prop Bets

CeeDee Lamb Over 73.5 Receiving Yards (-110)

Though Lamb has cleared this line just twice through five games, there is good reason why he could explode tonight.

Lamb, understandably so, leads the Dallas passing attack in just about every regard — snap rate (73.1%), route rate (88.0%), target share (21.9%), and air yard share (27.5%). Even though his season thus far could reasonably be classified as underperformance, he still averages 71.6 yards per game, which is not too far off from where he needs to be tonight.

More than any of this, though, is the fact that the Chargers give up a league-leading 231.75 yards per game to wide receivers. We can’t take the Chargers’ average as the bible, but we can expect some decent yardage work from Prescott and his wideouts.

Only one other Dallas receiver (Gallup) has eclipsed 60 yards through five games this season, leaving Lamb as the clear benefactor should the Cowboys capitalize on the Chargers’ vulnerable defense.

Austin Ekeler Over 51.5 Rushing Yards (-110)

It makes sense that the market would undervalue a player coming off a five-week injury stint, but it also makes sense that we would take advantage of this inordinately low line, especially considering that Austin Ekeler is expected to play without any limitations tonight.

In Week 1, Ekeler exploded for 117 rushing yards on 16 carries. While we should by no means expect a follow-up performance to that caliber, it is nice to know that he could cut his rush yardage from that game in half and still hit the over for this prop.

Last season, he averaged 53.8 rush yards per game on 12.0 carries. numberFire’s projections predict Ekeler to rush for 58.98 yards on 13.24 carries against the Cowboys.

Though Dallas gives up only 168.6 receiving yards per game (third-fewest), they struggle on the ground, giving up 123.4 rushing yards per game (ninth-most).

Ekeler will likely split time in the backfield with Joshua Kelley, but this shouldn’t perturb Ekeler bettors. He and Kelley both carried the ball 16 times in Week 1, and Kelley’s performance during Ekeler’s recent absence wasn’t anything to write home about. In what should be a close and high-scoring affair, I think Ekeler will produce more on the field than the market expects.

— Annie Nader

Cowboys vs. Chargers Prediction: NFL Week 6

The numberFire projections model gives the Cowboys a 57.7% chance of victory against Los Angeles.

A spread of 1.5 points and a total of 50.5 implies a final score of approximately 26-24.5.

Week 6 Cowboys vs. Chargers prediction via numberFire projection model

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]]> Cowboys vs. Chargers Prediction, Odds & Prop Bets: NFL Week 6 %%page%% %%sep%% %%sitename%% Get set for a Week 6 capper on MNF with a big Cowboys vs. Chargers prediction, plus the latest odds and prop bet insights from FanDuel. Austin Ekeler,CeeDee Lamb,Dallas Cowboys,FanDuel,FanDuel Sportsbook,football,Los Angeles Chargers,NFL,cowboys vs. chargers prediction Loading image-8 Bills vs. Giants Week 6: Who Has the Oddsmakers’ Edge on Sunday Night Football? https://boardroom.tv/bills-vs-giants-prediction-odds-nfl-week-6/ Sat, 14 Oct 2023 12:00:00 +0000 https://boardroom.tv/?p=79470 Lock in for SNF with a big Giants vs. Bills prediction, plus the latest odds and betting insights from our friends at FanDuel.

The post Bills vs. Giants Week 6: Who Has the Oddsmakers’ Edge on Sunday Night Football? appeared first on Boardroom.

]]> This article originally appeared at FanDuel Research.

Lock in for SNF with a big Giants vs. Bills prediction, plus the latest odds and betting insights from our friends at FanDuel.

The New York Giants are the latest NFL team to fall woefully short of expectations while being featured in what feels like far too many primetime games. After last season’s surprise 9-7-1 finish, New York entered the season with playoff aspirations. The NFL reacted by placing the Giants into six primetime slots. For the third time since Week 3, New York will be playing under the lights.

This likely produces a collective sigh for most NFL fans as the Giants have lost their last three games by an average margin of 18 points. This week, New York will head about 300 miles northwest to take on the Buffalo Bills at Highmark Stadium on Sunday Night Football.

The Bills come off a 25-20 loss against the Jacksonville Jaguars as 5.5-point favorites in London. The Giants have a long list of injuries that have caused the point spread to steadily climb. When looking at FanDuel Sportsbook’s NFL odds, Buffalo is favored by 15.5 points. New York’s postseason hopes already look nearly impossible while Buffalo boasts the fourth-shortest line to win the Lombardi Trophy (+1000), per FanDuel’s Super Bowl odds.

Following the San Francisco 49ers’ 42-10 win against the Dallas Cowboys in last week’s edition of SNF, are we in store for another primetime blowout? Does New York (1-4) have a chance of keeping within striking distance of the Bills (3-2)? Let’s break things down with a big Bills vs. Giants prediction, plus the latest odds and betting insights from FanDuel.

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Giants vs. Bills Week 6 Betting Odds: Spread, Total, and Moneyline

  • Spread: Bills -15.5 (-110)
  • Total: 43.5
  • Moneyline:
    • Bills: -1200
    • Giants: +750
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Giants vs. Bills Week 6 Matchup Analysis

Before digging into the matchup, let’s look at the Giants’ injury report. Daniel Jones, Andrew Thomas, John Michael Schmitz, and Azeez Ojulari have been ruled out for Sunday’s game.

Thomas — the 2022 All-Pro — and Schmitz will be difficult to replace on the offensive line. The blocking has been bad enough, ranking 28th in ESPN’s pass block win rate and 17th in run block win rate. What happens when you take away two more starters? The nightmare probably gets even worse. Tyrod Taylor will fill in the starting signal-caller spot. He has not started a game since the 2021 season in which he threw five interceptions in six starts.

Fortunately, Saquon Barkley could be nearing his return from an ankle injury, which has kept him out for three consecutive games. The Giants could look to lean on their star running back — especially if Jones is absent.

The Bills have the 12th-worst run defense, per numberFire’s adjusted run defense ratings. Buffalo also suffered devastating injuries in Week 5. Matt Milano (leg), who is one of the NFL’s best off-ball linebackers, and defensive tackle DaQuan Jones (pectoral) sustained potential season-ending injuries and were placed on injured reserve this week. This could cause the run defense to further slide — especially with Milano out of the fold.

Buffalo also lost cornerback Tre’Davious White for the season due to an Achilles injury. Once again, this leaves the Bills’ defense somewhat susceptible. New York has numberFire’s second-worst adjusted offensive rating, though. Plus, Buffalo still has the third-best adjusted defensive rating as they weather the storm.

If the Giants are to come up with a point-spread cover, the defense must show up. The Bills’ offense has concerns with their tight end room with Dawson Knox and Dalton Kincaid listed as questionable for Sunday’s game. Outside of tight ends, Buffalo’s offense is healthy.

The Bills have numberFire’s third-best mark in offensive rankings. Stopping the run game could be the biggest key for New York. They have the 15th-worst run defense while Buffalo has the sixth-best rush offense, per numberFire’s schedule-adjusted ratings.

After attempting only 14 runs in Week 5, look for the Bills to get back to running the rock. James Cook has excelled when his number is called, averaging 74.0 rushing yards when receiving at least 12 carries. Cook also ranks ninth with 138 rushing yards after contact.

Ultimately, I don’t trust New York to keep this close. Buffalo still has one of the league’s best defenses, and with the Giants battling a load of injuries on the offensive side, New York could be in store for another low-scoring game. Led by Josh Allen, who has +700 odds to win the NFL MVP award, the Bills could roll to cover the spread easily.

— Riley Thomas

Bills vs. Giants Prediction: NFL Week 6

The numberFire projections model gives the Bills a significant 87.8% chance of victory against New York.

A spread of 15.5 points and a total of 43.5 implies a final score of approximately 29.5-14.

Week 6 Bills vs. Giants prediction according to numberFire projections model

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]]> Bills vs. Giants Prediction, Odds & Prop Bets: NFL Week 6 %%page%% %%sep%% %%sitename%% Lock in for Week 6 Sunday Night Football with a big Bills vs. Giants prediction, plus the latest odds and betting insights from FanDuel. FanDuel,FanDuel Sportsbook,football,NFL,bills vs. giants prediction Loading image-7 Colorado vs. Stanford: Are Bettors Backing a Buffaloes Stampede? https://boardroom.tv/colorado-vs-stanford-prediction-odds-2023/ Thu, 12 Oct 2023 16:06:16 +0000 https://boardroom.tv/?p=79371 Get set for a Prime college football Friday night with a big Stanford vs. Colorado prediction, plus the latest odds and betting insights from FanDuel.

The post Colorado vs. Stanford: Are Bettors Backing a Buffaloes Stampede? appeared first on Boardroom.

]]> This article originally appeared at FanDuel Research

Get set for a Prime college football Friday night with a big Stanford vs. Colorado prediction, plus the latest odds and betting insights from FanDuel.

Not only are we in the spookiest month on the calendar, but this October also features a Friday the 13th, and what better way to spend it than watching some scary-good college football action?!?

All superstitions aside, this Friday evening offers a three-game slate to keep college football’s Week 7 churning. Of the three contests, no AP Top 25 schools are featured, but there are still lucrative NCAA football betting markets to ponder.

Most noteworthy, Coach Prime and the Colorado Buffaloes are attempting to spark another winning streak; CU takes on the Stanford Cardinal in Boulder for a #Pac12AfterDark affair.

One state over, the Utah State Aggies will host the Fresno State Bulldogs in a Mountain West clash under the lights. How will that shake out?

Let’s dive into Friday’s college football schedule with an emphasis on scoping out the most valuable lines in traditional betting markets, including a big Colorado vs. Stanford prediction.

Colorado vs. Stanford Prediction & Odds: College Football Week 6

All college football odds via FanDuel Sportsbook. Lines may change after this article is published.

  • Time: 10 p.m. EST
  • TV: ESPN
  • Spread: COLO -11.5 (-105)
  • Moneyline: STAN +330/COLO -430
  • Total: 58.5 (-108/-112)
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What are we in store for on this week’s episode of the Coach Prime Show? Well, Colorado did well to get back in the win column last Saturday versus the Arizona State Sun Devils. Especially after previously dropping consecutive games against ranked conference opponents, the Buffaloes are looking to restart their momentum. Do the Stanford Trees have any shot of standing sturdy in Boulder?

Football for Stanford University has been rather hard to watch in 2023. With just a lone win over the Hawaii Warriors this season, the Cardinal have played to a dismal 1-4 SU record. Still, their low point of the year came back on September 16th when they lost to NorCal neighbor Sacramento State (FCS). So, how can they possibly hang with Shedeur Sanders and the speed of Colorado?

Colorado vs. Stanford Best Bet: Over 58.5 (-108)

I’m quite certain the Buffaloes will take care of business on home turf, and I also don’t doubt that they defeat Stanford by double digits. But, after seeing the collective defensive performances between these two Pac-12 schools, I prefer a play on the over.

When looking at the conference, Colorado has jumped into the middle tier while the Cardinal just might be the Pac-12’s very worst. As stated, neither side here seems particularly strong on defense. Stanford is currently surrendering 34.6 PPG — 11th-worst rate in FBS — while the Buffaloes are only one position better, allowing opponents an average of 34.2 PPG.

Glancing back at numberFire’s college football game projections, the estimated combined point total is showing 59.67 — 34.09-25.58 in favor of CU. That equates to more than one point of breathing room with the current set number of 58.5. Considering FanDuel Sportsbook has a better payout to the over (-108) at the moment, I will be backing a high-scoring affair this Friday in Boulder.

Colorado vs. Stanford prediction based on numberFire projection model
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Tulane Green Wave vs. Memphis Tigers Odds & Best Bet

  • Time: 7 p.m. EST
  • TV: ESPN
  • Spread: TULN -4.5 (-112)
  • Moneyline: TULN -192/MEM +155
  • Total: 54.5

In his eighth season at the helm, head coach Willie Fritz and the Tulane Green Wave will travel due north to crash upon the Memphis Tigers. At the moment, both schools have played to a 4-1 record straight up (SU), but Tulane has been slightly better against the spread (ATS). In that category, the Green Wave is 2-3 while Memphis is 1-3-1.

Tulane is coming off one of its best years in program history. In 2022, Fritz coached the Green Wave to a 12-2 overall record and a conference title in The American. Additionally, they notched a bowl win by outdueling Heisman Trophy winner Caleb Williams and the USC Trojans in the Goodyear Cotton Bowl. Tulane seems to be channeling that same energy into the current campaign as winners of their past three consecutive games.

Under head coach Ryan Silverfield, the Tigers have been strong as well this year. This is Silverfield’s fourth season at Memphis, and the program has not produced a sub-.500 record since then. Like Tulane, the Tigers also secured a bowl win last year, trouncing Utah State in the Servpro First Responder Bowl.

So, in meeting a familiar foe this Friday night in Grind City, who has the edge?

Best Bet: Tulane -4.5 (-112)

As American Athletic Conference rivals, Tulane and Memphis see each other just about every season. In last year’s head-to-head bid, the Green Wave did well to control the trenches, outrushing the Tigers 186 yards to 103. Tulane also scored three touchdowns on the ground, which is a fabulous recipe to repeat this season on the road. Worth mentioning: both quarterbacks from that day — Michael Pratt and Seth Henigan — are back for their respective schools this year.

According to ESPN’s 2023 College Football Power Index, Tulane is ranked second-best (4.2 FPI) in the American after the Southern Methodist Mustangs, which is good enough for 45th in FBS. Memphis chimes in down the list at 59th (1.0 FPI). That’s enough separation for me to make a play on Tulane ATS on the road — especially laying less than a touchdown.

At numberFire, the college football game projections concur on support for the Green Wave this week. Their model gives Tulane a 78.5% chance of victory, showing an estimated 30.01-19.04 winning score. Let’s ride the wave!

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Fresno State Bulldogs vs. Utah State Aggies Odds & Best Bet

  • Time: 8 p.m. EST
  • TV: CBSSN
  • Spread: FRES -5.5
  • Moneyline: FRES -235/USU +190
  • Total: 57.5 (-105/-115)

Fresno State (5-1 SU) just went 364 days between losses, which has got to put a chip on their shoulder after dropping a game to the Wyoming Cowboys last week. Over that span (one day short of an entire year), the Bulldogs had fired off 14 consecutive wins. Can they reignite a new streak this weekend in Logan, Utah?

The Aggies (3-3 SU & ATS) play their football just south of the Idaho border. Thankfully for the group from California’s Central Valley, true mountain weather has not set in yet. Additionally, Utah State already has already lost at home this season — a 45-38 thriller versus the James Madison Dukes.

USU is undefeated in conference play at the moment, but they have only played one Mountain West game, which was against the Colorado State Rams. This Friday evening, a tougher test awaits the Aggies; these Bulldogs are tough to tame, but then again, the Cowboys just did it.

Best Bet: Fresno State -5.5 (-105)

I have been a proponent of head coach Jeff Tedford since his days leading Aaron Rodgers, Marshawn Lynch and the California Golden Bears. With Tedford back at his alma mater Fresno State, his prowess over young quarterbacks continues. Current Bulldog starter Mikey Keene (15-4 TD-INT ratio in 2023) is the latest in a line of talented passers for Tedford, and I think the sophomore signal-caller can have a productive day against Utah State.

Looking at the latest SP+ rankings on ESPN, Fresno State carries a 5.2 rating (42nd of 133 FBS schools). On that same scale, USU yields a -5.2 score, which lands them in the bottom third of FBS (85th). The Aggies are worse on the defensive side of the ball, and that could present problems against Keene and the ‘Dogs; Fresno State is currently averaging 33.5 PPG and 402.8 YPG on offense.

— Gabriel Santiago

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]]> Colorado vs. Stanford Prediction, Odds & Best Bet 2023 %%page%% %%sep%% %%sitename%% Get set for college football's Week 6 with a big Colorado vs. Stanford prediction, plus the latest odds and betting insights from FanDuel. College Football,Colorado Buffaloes,Deion Sanders,FanDuel,FanDuel Sportsbook,football,Fresno State Bulldogs,Memphis Tigers,sports betting,Stanford Cardinal,colorado vs. stanford prediction image-6 Chiefs vs. Broncos Week 6: Where’s the Smart Money Going on TNF? https://boardroom.tv/chiefs-vs-broncos-prediction-odds-props-week-6/ Wed, 11 Oct 2023 19:15:20 +0000 https://boardroom.tv/?p=79332 Get set for Week 6 with a big Broncos vs. Chiefs prediction, plus the latest odds and betting insights from FanDuel.

The post Chiefs vs. Broncos Week 6: Where’s the Smart Money Going on TNF? appeared first on Boardroom.

]]> This article originally appeared at FanDuel Research.

Get set for Week 6 with a big Broncos vs. Chiefs prediction, plus the latest odds and betting insights from FanDuel.

Player props can be useful in a variety of ways — from taking advantage of them straight up to measuring a player’s potential to produce in daily fantasy football on FanDuel. Here, we’re going to focus on the former.

Utilizing numberFire’s projections as a guide, here are some NFL player prop bets that look appealing.

Let’s break things down with a big Chiefs vs. Broncos prediction, plus the latest odds and player prop bet insights from FanDuel.

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Broncos vs. Raiders Best Bets: Player Props

Patrick Mahomes Under 272.5 Passing Yards (-114)

Week 6 starts on Thursday Night with the Kansas City Chiefs as 10.5-point home favorites against the Denver Broncos.

There are two main notes for this game starting with star tight end, Travis Kelce dealing with an ankle injury, and is limited in practice this week. The next note would be with the weather, where the wind will be sustained at 15-20 mph, with gusts to 30 mph, and some rain.

The weather can always impact how games play out and with higher wind, we often see teams stick to shorter passes or the run game. Add in the game script with the Chiefs as large home favorites, and it leads us to Patrick Mahomes under 272.5 passing yards.

If the Chiefs are out in front by multiple scores, they won’t need to push the ball downfield that much, and will be able to control the clock. This is nothing new and often leads to quarterbacks ending with rather modest yardage totals.

For Mahomes, he’s been under this 272.5 mark in three of the five games this season, where two of those three games occurred when the Chiefs were 8.0-point favorites and 12.5-point favorites.

If Kelce isn’t able to play or plays and isn’t at 100% health, the offensive efficiency for the Chiefs will be lacking. The wind won’t be doing him any favors either, and when we add all of this up, it should lead to under 272.5 passing yards for Mahomes.

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Isiah Pacheco Longest Rush Over 16.5 Yards (-114)

Isiah Pacheco has the factual easiest matchup for running backs this week.

That’s right, the Broncos have allowed the most (821) rushing yards to opposing running backs this season, which is 142 yards worse than the second-worst team.

What I mentioned above about Travis Kelce’s health and the weather both play into this prop as well. The high wind/rain can often lead to teams running the ball a bit more, which is only good news for Pacheco with this soft matchup.

To this point in the season, Pacheco has broken off long runs of 17, 18, 31, and 48 yards. The Denver defense has allowed long runs of 20, 24, 27, 52, 67, and 72 yards.

This is a juicy matchup for Pacheco, who continues to lead the Chiefs’ backfield with a 52.3% snap rate and handling 51% of the team’s rushing attempts. He is the main option for their rushing offense and that should be put on full display this week.

Russell Wilson Under 33.5 Passing Attempts (-108)

An ineffective offense leads to shorter drives and a lack of volume.

That’s what we have with the Broncos’ offense, who have been all over the place this season. There have been times when they look like the league’s worst team and times when they are firing on all cylinders and moving the ball well.

A lack of consistency is never a spot I want to look at the over, so under 33.5 passing attempts for Russell Wilson is the play.

Wilson has been under this mark in three of the five games this season, with the other two games being at 34 and 38 passing attempts.

For the third time, I’ll mention the potential weather issues for this game, which can negatively impact the passing game. This is where we see teams turn to the running game, taking time off the clock, and attempts out of the quarterback’s hands.

Denver should have a bit of a boost to their running game with Javonte Williams fully back at practice after missing last week’s game.

This should all lead to fewer passing attempts for Wilson, making under 33.5 the spot to go.

— Tom Vecchio

Chiefs vs. Broncos Prediction: NFL Week 6

The numberFire projections model gives the Chiefs a significant 86.1% chance of victory against Denver.

A spread of 10.5 points and a total of 47.5 implies a final score of approximately 29-18.5.

Chiefs vs. Broncos prediction via the numberFire projection model

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]]> Chiefs vs. Broncos Prediction, Odds & Prop Bets: NFL Week 6 %%page%% %%sep%% %%sitename%% Get set for NFL Week 6 with a big Chiefs vs. Broncos prediction, plus the latest odds and betting insights from FanDuel. Denver Broncos,FanDuel,FanDuel Sportsbook,football,Isiah Pacheco,Kansas City Chiefs,NFL,Patrick Mahomes,Russell Wilson,sports betting,chiefs vs. broncos prediction Loading image-4 NHL Player Awards Odds 2023-24: Hart Trophy, Vezina, Norris & More https://boardroom.tv/nhl-awards-odds-2023-2024-mcdavid-matthews-makar/ Sun, 08 Oct 2023 12:00:06 +0000 https://boardroom.tv/?p=79172 Will Connor McDavid claim his third Hart Trophy in the last four years? Can Linus Ullmark or Erik Karlsson repeat? Boardroom explores NHL player awards odds heading into the 2023-24 season.

The post NHL Player Awards Odds 2023-24: Hart Trophy, Vezina, Norris & More appeared first on Boardroom.

]]> Will Connor McDavid claim his third Hart Trophy in the last four years? Can Linus Ullmark or Erik Karlsson repeat? Boardroom explores the latest NHL awards odds heading into the 2023-24 season.

The long summer is over, and the NHL is back, with three games set to kick off the 2023-24 regular season on Tuesday evening, Oct. 10. And while many are debating which team will take home the Stanley Cup come June, fans are eager to see which players will step up and claim individual honors.

From the Hart Trophy to the Vezina to the Jack Adams and more, Boardroom breaks down all the latest NHL awards odds heading into the 2023-24 campaign.

NHL Awards Odds 2023-24

All NHL awards odds are courtesy of our friends at FanDuel Sportsbook as of Oct. 9, 2023.

Hart Memorial Trophy

Recognizes NHL’s Most Valuable Player

  • Connor McDavid (Oilers): +100
  • Auston Matthews (Maple Leafs): +1000
  • Nathan MacKinnon (Avalanche): +1100
  • David Pastrňák (Bruins): +1200
  • Leon Draisaitl (Oilers): +1200
  • Matthew Tkachuk (Panthers) +1200
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With each passing season, Edmonton’s Connor McDavid further solidifies himself as the best player in hockey. The 2023-24 odds reflect as much, with McDavid heading into the campaign as the heavy favorite to repeat as the NHL’s MVP. Should he be able to do so, it would be his third time winning the award in the last four seasons and his fourth overall, tying him with Eddie Shore for third in the most all-time, trailing only Wayne Gretzky (9) and Gordie Howe (6).

The man who kept McDavid from claiming three consecutive Hart Trophies — Toronto’s Auston Matthews — carries the second-best odds to find his way back on top, while Nathan MacKinnon of the Colorado Avalanche sits in third. With the odds massively in favor of McDavid, the race for who finishes second could be the more interesting one, with five players boasting anywhere from +1000 to +1200 odds to be the runner-up.

Vezina Trophy Odds

Recognizes NHL’s best goaltender

  • Juuse Saros (Predators): +500
  • Connor Hellebuyck (Jets): +500
  • Igor Shesterkin (Rangers): +500
  • Ilya Sorokin (Islanders): +500
  • Jake Oettinger (Stars) +1100
  • Linus Ullmark (Bruins): +1700

After becoming the first netminder since Carey Price in 2014-15 to lead the NHL in wins, goals-against average, and save percentage, what does Boston’s Linus Ullmark — the defending Vezina Trophy winner — get for his repeat defense? Odds that have him looking up at five of his counterparts despite helping lead the Bruins to an NHL-best 65-12-5 record and 135 points before being upset in the first round of the 2023 Stanley Cup playoffs against the Florida Panthers.

The rest of the list is full of some of the league’s typical candidates for this award, including former winners in Connor Hellebuyck and Igor Shesterkin and a finalist from last season in Ilya Sorokin, all of whom are tied with Nashville’s Juuse Saros for the best odds to claim the award. This hardware is truly up for grabs in 2023-24.

James Norris Memorial Trophy

Recognizes NHL’s best defenseman

  • Cale Makar (Avalanche): +240
  • Adam Fox (Rangers): +650
  • Rasmus Dahlin (Sabres): +650
  • Miro Heiskanen (Stars): +850
  • Quinn Hughes (Canucks): +1100
  • Roman Josi (Predators): +1100
  • Erik Karlsson (Penguins): +1300

Similar to Ullmark above, the winner of last year’s award here — Erik Karlsson — finds himself on the outside looking in when it comes to a repeat. Perhaps it’s due to a change of scenery with his new team, the Pittsburgh Penguins, but the 33-year-old defenseman will have his work cut out for him if he wants to win his fourth James Norris Trophy. Meanwhile, Makar, Fox, and Josi will all be looking to add a second trophy to their case.

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Calder Trophy Odds

Given to: The NHL’s best rookie

  • Connor Bedard (Blackhawks): -125
  • Logan Cooley (Coyotes): +700
  • Luke Hughes (Devils): +900
  • Adam Fantilli (Blue Jackets): +1200

With all the hype surrounding Bedard, it’s no surprise to see him as the overwhelming favorite to be the league’s best rookie this season. The guy is being hyped up as one of the best prospects in the last decade; consider the following — The Athletic conducted an executive poll in which it ranked the No. 1 picks from the last decade with Bedard thrown into the mix. The result? A No. 2 ranking for Bedard that placed him behind only the aforementioned McDavid, who racked up 153 total points and 64 goals this season.

Not only that, but the second Bedard to Blackhawks became a reality, the rookie immediately made the franchise money. If Bedard gets anywhere close to the production of McDavid or projected profit — starting with his debut against idol and fellow generational prospect Sidney Crosby and the Penguins on Tuesday night — Chicago should be more than pleased.

Rocket Richard Trophy

Recognizes NHL’s top goalscorer

  • Connor McDavid (Oilers): +200
  • Auston Matthews (Maple Leafs): +300
  • Leon Draisaitl (Oilers): +400
  • David Pastrňák (Bruins): +1000
  • Mikko Rantanen (Avalanche): +1500

Jack Adams Trophy Odds

Recognizes NHL’s best coach

  • Rod Brind’Amour (Hurricanes): +950
  • Jared Bednar (Avalanche): +950
  • Lindy Ruff (Devils): +950
  • Sheldon Keefe (Maple Leafs): +1100
  • Jay Woodcroft (Oilers): +1100
  • Jon Cooper (Lightning): +1500

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]]> Loading NFL Week 5 Picks: Which Games & Props Do the Experts Like? https://boardroom.tv/cowboys-vs-49ers-prediction-week-5-nfl-picks-2023/ Sat, 07 Oct 2023 17:30:00 +0000 https://boardroom.tv/?p=79081 With plenty of action this weekend, our friends at FanDuel Sportsbook take a look at the full slate. Here are their best NFL week 5 picks.

The post NFL Week 5 Picks: Which Games & Props Do the Experts Like? appeared first on Boardroom.

]]> This article originally appeared at FanDuel Research

Our friends at FanDuel Sportsbook named the games and props that caught their eye in Week 5 — and stick around for a big 49ers vs. Cowboys prediction.

Each week throughout the NFL season, the staff here at FanDuel Research will bring you their three favorite bets on the board — one side, one total, and one player prop. They’ll share some insight into one of the picks to provide you with reasoning as to why they’re on that bet, and stay around at the end for a big Cowboys vs. 49ers prediction for Sunday Night Football.

All odds come from the NFL odds at FanDuel Sportsbook.

NOTE: Betting lines and numberFire’s player projections may change after this article is published.

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Expert NFL Week 5 Picks

Jim Sannes, Digital Media Managing Editor

Side: Indianapolis Colts +2.5 (-110)

The Colts opened as slight favorites here, but their moneyline has lengthened to +116. Frankly, I don’t agree with that movement. My model makes the Colts 2.2-point favorites here, thanks to both homefield and a surprisingly decent offense to open the year. Anthony Richardson has been good enough through the air to give you some confidence should they not find themselves in a positive script. The Titans did work last week, but I’m still not convinced they’re as good as the market seems to believe.

Total: Baltimore Ravens at Pittsburgh Steelers Over 38 (-108)

Player Prop: Tank Dell Over 41.5 receiving yards (-114)

Austin Swaim, Senior Editor

Side: Indianapolis Colts +2.5 (-110)

Total: Houston Texans at Atlanta Falcons Over 41.5 (-110)

Player Prop: Jaylen Waddle Over 61.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

It’s been an odd season for Jaylen Waddle, but he should be fully up to speed for this game after clearing the concussion protocol last week. With the Giants potentially getting back key pieces, I actually expect this to remain slightly competitive, and Waddle is well overdue for a stellar outing. He’s still mustered 2.33 yards per route run (17th in the NFL) in limited work, but Tyreek Hill dominated touches in Week 1, the concussion came in Week 2, and he folded with the rest of the offense in Week 4. Nonetheless, he’s still passed this mark in two of three games this year; it’s far too low.

Austan Kas, Senior Editor

Side: Indianapolis Colts +2.5 (-110)

Total: New York Jets at Denver Broncos Under 43.5 (-110)

Denver’s defense has been horrible this year, but they have too much talent to continue being this bad — right? I think they keep the Jets’ offense quiet on Sunday, and while Russell Wilson has been solid, the Jets’ D should be able to hold Denver’s offense in check. All in all, I see defenses winning out in this one.

Player Prop: Jordan Addison Over 44.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

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Tom Vecchio, Editor

Side: New England Patriots +1 (-115)

Total: Philadelphia Eagles at Los Angeles Rams Under 50.5 (-105)

Player Prop: Desmond Ridder Under 181.5 Passing Yards (-114)

Ridder comes in averaging just 186 passing yards per game and is also averaging 6.3 yards gained per pass attempt, which is 26th in the league. The Texans are showing up on defense this season and have held opposing quarterbacks to only 195.3 passing yards per game, the ninth-best in the league.

Kenyatta Storin, Editor

Side: Arizona Cardinals +3.0 (-108)

Joe Burrow simply hasn’t looked right this season, ranking last among starters in yards per pass attempt (4.8) and throwing just two touchdowns total. On the other hand, Joshua Dobbs has been a pleasant surprise for the Cardinals, and the team actually ranks as one of the better-adjusted offenses in the league, per numberFire’s metrics. In this battle of 1-3 teams, I’m inclined to take the points being given to what could be an undervalued home team.

Total: Carolina Panthers at Detroit Lions Under 44.5 (-118)

Player Prop: Tank Dell Over 41.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

Aidan Cotter, Writer

Side: Kansas City Chiefs -3.5 (-110)

Total: New Orleans Saints at New England Patriots Under 39.5 (-110)

Player Prop: Anthony Richardson Anytime TD (+135)

Anthony Richardson has played 10 quarters of professional football across three games. He has scored four rushing touchdowns on seven red zone attempts. Maybe that touchdown rate is unsustainable, and maybe Jonathan Taylor’s return cuts into Richardson’s goal line work. Or, maybe Richardson is an athletic freak and is paired with a playcaller who knows how to use running quarterbacks. I’m more inclined to believe the latter and will continue to take his touchdown prop while it’s plus odds.

Zack Bussiere, Writer

Side: Kansas City Chiefs -3.5 (-110)

The Chiefs are the fifth overall team in numberFire’s power rankings. Their offense ranks 8th, per numberFire’s metrics, and their defense ranks 11th. Minnesota sits in 16th overall, with an offense ranked 18th and a defense ranked 19th. Notably, the Vikings’ pass defense ranks 26th, which is a tough weakness to have when facing Patrick Mahomes.

Total: New York Jets at Denver Broncos Under 43.5 (-110)

Player Prop: CeeDee Lamb Anytime TD (+155)

Gabriel Santiago, Writer

Side: Philadelphia Eagles -4.5 (-105)

Total: Baltimore Ravens at Pittsburgh Steelers Under 38.0 (-112)

Before even diving into the physical, defensive rivalry at hand, you should know that Baltimore and Pittsburgh have both been friendly to under bettors in 2023. Through four previous weeks this season, the Ravens and Steelers both have a 1-3 record for over supporters. Simply, in the eight total games these sides have played this year, the under has prevailed 75% of the time. In terms of this specific head-to-head rivalry, the combined total has averaged 32.0 PPG through their past five meetings.

Player Prop: Jaylen Waddle Anytime TD (+125)

Annie Nader, Writer

Side: New York Jets +2.5 (-110)

Total: Houston Texans at Atlanta Falcons Over 41.5 (-110)

Player Prop: Sam LaPorta Anytime Touchdown (+190)

The Lions have the fourth-ranked passing offense and are at home this weekend facing a winless and low-ranked Carolina Panthers defense, meaning Goff and his receivers should see decent end-zone opportunities on Sunday. Sam LaPorta has only reached the end zone once through four weeks, but his 80.0% snap percentage, 21.8% target market share, and 20.0% red zone target market share are second (only to St. Brown) among Detroit players. Coach Campbell announced that St. Brown is not in line to practice on Friday and is questionable for Sunday’s matchup, so LaPorta could move into the number one spot, at least as Goff’s targets are concerned. Either way, LaPorta has proven to be a very consistent aspect of Detroit’s offense, so I think his +190 odds to score a touchdown offers decent value.

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Nick Vazquez, Writer

Side: Houston Texans +1.5 (-110)

The Houston Texans are coming off two impressive wins and really seem to be clicking under their new coaching staff. Meanwhile, the Falcons have lost two in a row and their limited passing game seems to be hurting them. Throw in the fact they had to travel back from London before this game makes me believe that Houston should be able to cover 1.5 points this week.

Total: Carolina Panthers at Detroit Lions Over 44.5 (-104)

Player Prop: Anthony Richardson Anytime Touchdown (+135)

Riley Thomas, Writer

Side: Kansas City Chiefs -3.5 (-110)

Total: Houston Texans at Atlanta Falcons Over 41.5 (-110)

Player Prop: Tony Pollard Over 58.5 Rushing Yards (-114)

The Cowboys have committed to the run game, averaging 34.3 carries per game (third). The 49ers boast one of the NFL’s best run defenses, though; they rank third in rushing yards allowed per game. However, numberFire’s adjusted run defense suggests otherwise, as San Francisco has the 15th-worst adjusted run defense. Dallas ranks fourth in ESPN’s run block win rate. Plus, the Cowboys could finally have their best five offensive linemen healthy for the Sunday night clash. Opponents average only 17.0 carries per game against the Niners (first). San Fran could finally face a team that is committed to the run, especially if the game stays competitive as most expect. Tony Pollard could be in store for an impressive performance.

Scott Edwards, Writer

Side: New York Jets +2.5 (-110)

We learned two things last week. The Jets still have some fight in them, and Zach Wilson can make throws when the opportunities are there (thanks offensive line). They were a score away (and a call) from taking down the Kansas City Chiefs. So, why should they be the underdogs against a Denver Broncos team that barely survived the Chicago Bears in the same exact week? The Broncos have talent on their roster, but it’s not going to magically all figure itself out this week. Between the Jets having a truly elite defense and the Broncos having the complete opposite, I feel confident the Jets can take care of business for the first time since Week 1.

Total: New York Giants at Miami Dolphins Over 47.5 (-114)

Player Prop: Bijan Robinson Over 77.5 Yards (-114)

Cowboys vs. 49ers Prediction: NFL Week 5

The numberFire projection model lists a win probability fairly strongly in the 49ers’ favor on Sunday Night Football against the Dallas Cowboys.

Overall, they project the Niners to have a 69.4% win probability.

Cowboys vs. 49ers prediction based on numberFire projection model

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]]> Cowboys vs. 49ers Prediction & Week 5 NFL Picks %%page%% %%sep%% %%sitename%% Our friends at FanDuel Research provide their best NFL Week 5 picks, including a big Cowboys vs. 49ers prediction. Atlanta Falcons,Baltimore Ravens,Carolina Panthers,Denver Broncos,Desmond Ridder,Detroit Lions,FanDuel,Houston Texans,Indianapolis Colts,Jaylen Waddle,Kansas City Chiefs,Los Angeles Rams,Miami Dolphins,Minnesota Vikings,New England Patriots,New Orleans Saints,New York Giants,New York Jets,NFL,Patrick Mahomes,Philadelphia Eagles,Pittsburgh Steelers,sports betting,Tony Pollard,Cowboys vs. 49ers prediction Loading Loading Screenshot-2023-10-06-at-5.54.09-PM Texas vs. Oklahoma: Where’s the Smart Money Going in the Red River Showdown? https://boardroom.tv/texas-vs-oklahoma-prediction-odds-2023/ Fri, 06 Oct 2023 18:11:15 +0000 https://boardroom.tv/?p=79034 It's going down at the Cotton Bowl! Lock in for college football Week 6 with a big Oklahoma vs. Texas prediction, plus the latest odds and insights from FanDuel.

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]]> This article originally appeared at FanDuel Research

It’s going down at the Cotton Bowl! Lock in for college football Week 6 with a big Oklahoma vs. Texas prediction, plus the latest odds and insights from FanDuel.

As Kip proclaimed about his blossoming romantic relationship in Napoleon Dynamite, college football is at the point in the year where “I guess you could say things are getting pretty serious.”

Notably, Week 6 in college football features the annual Red River Rivalry between the No. 12 Oklahoma Sooners and No. 3 Texas Longhorns. As is tradition, Dallas’ Cotton Bowl will serve as host for the two hated sides; something tells me this year’s rendition will deliver in a major way.

In the 3 p.m. eastern spot, I’m thrilled for a Pac-12 matchup between the No. 13 Washington State Cougars and UCLA Bruins at the Rose Bowl. Wazzu has not defeated UCLA in Pasadena since 2015, but perhaps that changes this weekend.

From there, a heavyweight SEC clash between the No. 20 Kentucky Wildcats and defending national champion No. 1 Georgia Bulldogs awaits in the early evening window. At about the same time, the No. 10 Notre Dame Fighting Irish will visit the No. 25 Louisville Cardinals.

Let’s dive into Saturday’s slate with a big Colorado vs. Oregon prediction and scope out the most valuable college football picks on the traditional betting markets.

Texas vs. Oklahoma Prediction & Odds: College Football Week 6

All college football odds via FanDuel Sportsbook. Lines may change after this article is published.

  • Neutral location: Cotton Bowl, Dallas, Texas
  • Time: 12 p.m. EST
  • TV: ABC
  • Spread: TEX -5.5
  • Moneyline: OU +176/TEX -215
  • Total: 60.5
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Transparently, even folks who don’t follow sports know that OU and UT brew a fierce resentment for one another. On the gridiron, the Longhorns lead the all-time series against Oklahoma 63-50-5 dating back to 1900; that’s nearly 125 years of direct history.

As has been the case every year since 1929 (with exception of the 2018 Big 12 Championship Game at AT&T Stadium), the head-to-head meeting will be held at the Cotton Bowl in Fair Park, which results in an approximate 200-mile trip from opposite directions for these programs. In 2022, Texas blanked the Sooners 49-0 — the Longhorns’ first shutout in the series since 1965.

Oklahoma and UT both enter the upcoming game at 5-0. The Sooners are also 5-0 against the spread (ATS) while the ‘Horns have covered thrice. OU is fresh off dismantling the Iowa State Cyclones, 50-20, while Texas bullied the Kansas Jayhawks last week, 40-14.

Naturally, this could be the ‘Horns and Sooners final meetings as members of the Big 12 and not the SEC, which is sort of crazy to think about.

Texas vs. Oklahoma prediction based on numberFire projection model. A spread of 5.5 points and a total of 60.5 implies a final score of approximately 33-27.5 in favor of Texas.

OU vs. Texas Best Bet: Oklahoma +5.5 (-105)

Head coach Brent Venables seems to have re-bolstered Oklahoma’s football program following Lincoln Riley’s Hollywood departure. Even with all the hype around Texas this season, the Sooners actually chime in higher on ESPN’s 2023 college football power index; OU is second in the entire nation (25.8 FPI) with the Longhorns close behind at fourth (24.2).

Showing skills in many different offensive schemes, Sooners quarterback Dillon Gabriel (89.4 QBR) has been electric this year. As a unit, Oklahoma is averaging 47.4 points per game in the current campaign, which is the fourth-best scoring clip in FBS right now. He has an elite receiving corps in Andrew Anthony, Jalil Farooq, Nic Anderson, and Drake Stoops, the son of legendary OU coach Bob Stoops.

I can absolutely respect what the Longhorns have built over the past two seasons. Starting signal-caller Quinn Ewers has a great throwing arm while tailback Jonathon Brooks is filling Bijan Robinson’s void quite nicely behind 6.94 yards per carry. Simply, I think this Saturday’s game in Dallas will be a nail biter. Counting on this one being decided by less than a touchdown, I like OU getting five points with a hook.

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Washington State vs. UCLA Odds & Best Bet

  • Time: 3 p.m. EST
  • TV: Pac-12 Network
  • Spread: UCLA -3.5 (-104)
  • Moneyline: WSU +136/UCLA -164
  • Total: 60.5

Quietly, this contest could wind up being the best game of the week. Out at Pasadena’s historic Rose Bowl, Washington State should feel just a little disrespected. They come into this conference matchup at 4-0 straight up (SU). Still, all shops across America have the Bruins as home favorites despite recent speedbumps in UCLA’s offense.

Head coach Jake Dickert is in his second full season leading the pack in Pullman. Of course, he took over for Nick Rolovich — who is attempting to sue Wazzu after his firing — midway through the 2021 campaign. In the current year, Dickert has meshed brilliantly with star quarterback Cameron Ward.

In four contests, Ward is averaging 347.25 passing yards per game on 9.9 yards per attempt. He has also scored thrice with his legs in 2023. It all equates to Ward holding the eighth-best QBR (86.5) in the country right now. At FanDuel Sportsbook, Ward is tied for the seventh-best odds to win the Heisman Trophy.

The Bruins had been building under head coach Chip Kelly and current NFL backup quarterback Dorian Thompson-Robinson. With DTR gone, this is Kelly’s first season in Westwood without him. That gives the keys to the car to freshman signal-caller Dante Moore. Still, the young quarterback had a harsh introduction to Pac-12 play, completing only 42.9% of his passes in a 14-7 loss at the No. 18 Utah Utes.

UCLA vs. WSU Best Bet: Washington State +3.5 (-118)

After starting conference action on September 23rd, both of these programs were without games last weekend. Wazzu is riding the momentum of defeating the No. 15 Oregon State Beavers in their most recent outing while, as mentioned, UCLA is attempting to get their offense moving after a dismal showing in Salt Lake City. Despite everyone favoring the Bruins this weekend, I have been significantly more impressed by Washington State.

The Cougars (3-1 against the spread) have twice been priced as underdogs this season, winning both contests outright. After seeing their explosive upset performance versus a stout Oregon State team, wherein Wazzu produced 38 points behind 528 total yards of offense, I am high on the Cougs. Still undefeated SU, I will lay +3.5 with WSU at the Rose Bowl — a venue that typically does not draw a huge student section for UCLA.

Notre Dame vs. Louisville Odds & Best Bet: Odds: College Football Week 6

  • Time: 7:30 p.m. EST
  • TV: ABC
  • Spread: ND -6.5
  • Moneyline: ND -245/LOU +198
  • Total: 53.5

The No. 10 Notre Dame Fighting Irish are running the gamut right now, having just split games with two very good teams in the No. 4 Ohio State Buckeyes and No. 19 Duke Blue Devils. This week, the Irish will travel to the No. 25 Louisville Cardinals before hosting the rival No. 9 USC Trojans on Oct. 14th. I think this is what they call “crunch time.”

On the Ohio-Kentucky border, Louisville is no slouch. They are currently an undefeated 5-0 in 2023, yet, three of their four victories against FBS opponents have been by a single score. They are led by native son and head coach Jeff Brohm, who is in his first season at the helm for his alma mater. As such, the Cardinals are off to their best start in the past 10 years.

Notre Dame and Louisville have not shared the football field together since 2020. On that night, the Cards almost upset a then No. 4 Irish side, but Notre Dame held on for a 12-7 win. However, both programs are in drastically different places since then.

Notre Dame vs. Louisville Best Bet: ND -6.5 (-110)

I absolutely respect what Brohm has done with his Cardinals, but head coach Marcus Freeman has Notre Dame as a national contender in just his second season. At FanDuel Sportsbook, the Irish have +750 odds (12th-best) to qualify for the upcoming College Football Playoff.

The Domers have shown on more than one occasion in 2023 that they can go toe-to-toe with premiere programs while Louisville’s toughest test this year came against the unranked North Carolina State Wolfpack (2.2 FPI; 52nd in FBS).

According to the college football game projections on numberFire, Notre Dame is estimated to defeat the Cardinals on Saturday by a score of 29.55-21.05. Confidently, that leaves a margin of 8.5 points, which would obviously work favorably for Irish -6.5 supporters. In Bourbon Country, I think N.D. wins one for the Gipper.

— Gabriel Santiago

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]]> Texas vs. Oklahoma Prediction, Odds & Best Bet 2023 %%page%% %%sep%% %%sitename%% Get set for college football Week 6 with a big Texas vs. Oklahoma prediction, plus the latest odds and betting insights from FanDuel. College Football,FanDuel,FanDuel Sportsbook,Louisville Cardinals,Notre Dame Fighting Irish,Oklahoma Sooners,sports betting,Texas Longhorns,texas vs. oklahoma prediction image-2 Loading MLB World Series Odds 2023: Who’s the Best Bet to Win it All? https://boardroom.tv/mlb-playoff-odds-2023-world-series-mvp/ Thu, 05 Oct 2023 11:00:23 +0000 https://boardroom.tv/?p=78861 As October rolls on, lock in for the latest World Series odds, as well as markets for pennant winners and the World Series MVP award. There’s nothing quite like the glory — and the

The post MLB World Series Odds 2023: Who’s the Best Bet to Win it All? appeared first on Boardroom.

]]> As October rolls on, lock in for the latest World Series odds, as well as markets for pennant winners and the World Series MVP award.

There’s nothing quite like the glory — and the stress, oh, the glorious stress! — of the MLB Postseason. For as long as your team sticks around, you’re hanging on every pitch. Sitting in your lucky chair. Activating your Lenny Dykstra-branded essential oil diffuser. Eating all manner of snackfoods out of a batting helmet because you can, AND ALSO IT TASTES BETTER.

But the biggest question is not about nachos vs. loaded tots (even though you already know the correct answer). Rather, it’s the simpler one: Who’s going to win this whole damn thing? Is it smart to stick with the high-flying favorites from Atlanta, or is there superior value to be had down the docket among baseball’s upwardly mobile giant-killers?

Folks, let’s dive into the latest 2023 MLB Playoff odds from our friends at FanDuel Sportsbook, plus additional betting markets for the AL and NL pennant and the World Series MVP award.

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2023 World Series Odds to Win

World Series odds via FanDuel Sportsbook as of Oct. 5, 2023 following the end of the Wild Card round.

TEAMODDS
Atlanta Braves+260
Los Angeles Dodgers+440
Houston Astros+490
Baltimore Orioles+700
Philadelphia Phillies+800
Minnesota Twins+800
Texas Rangers+950
Arizona Diamondbacks+1000
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MLB Playoff Odds to Win the American League & National League

NL Pennant

Braves+130
Dodgers+200
Phillies+380
Diamondbacks+600

AL Pennant

Astros+175
Dodgers+270
Phillies+300
Diamondbacks+330
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MLB Playoff Odds: World Series MVP 2023

PLAYERTEAMODDS
Ronald Acuña Jr.Braves+1000
Austin RileyBraves+1900
Matt OlsonBraves+1900
Yordan AlvarezAstros+2600
Mookie BettsDodgers+2600
Freddie FreemanDodgers+2600
Kyle TuckerAstros+3000
Ozzie AlbiesBraves+3000
Bryce HarperPhillies+3100
Spencer StriderBraves+3200
Jose AltuveAstros+3200
Royce LewisTwins+3300
Marcell OzunaBraves+3500
Adley RutschmanOrioles+3500
Gunnar HendersonOrioles+3500

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]]> Loading Commanders vs. Bears Week 5: Who Has the Oddsmakers’ Edge on TNF? https://boardroom.tv/commanders-vs-bears-tnf-prop-bets/ Wed, 04 Oct 2023 18:31:53 +0000 https://boardroom.tv/?p=78840 Get ready for Thursday Night Football with three prop bets to know in this week's clash, plus a Commanders vs. Bears prediction, from our friends at FanDuel.

The post Commanders vs. Bears Week 5: Who Has the Oddsmakers’ Edge on TNF? appeared first on Boardroom.

]]> This article originally appeared at FanDuel Research

Get ready for Thursday Night Football with three prop bets to know in this week’s clash, plus a Commanders vs. Bears prediction, from our friends at FanDuel.

Player props can be useful in a variety of ways — from taking advantage of them straight up to measuring a player’s potential to produce in daily fantasy football on FanDuel. Here, we’re going to focus on the former.

Utilizing numberFire’s projections as a guide, here are some NFL player prop bets that look appealing, plus a big Bears vs. Commanders prediction.

Please note that betting lines and numberFire’s game projections may change after this article is published. Also, the weather may be an issue in some locations.

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Commanders vs. Bears Prop Bets: TNF Week 5

Terry McLaurin Any Time Touchdown (+145)

What better way to kick off the spookiest month of the year than a touchdown from Scary Terry?

Scary Terry of course being Terry McLaurin of the Washington Commanders, who are 5.5-point home favorites against the Chicago Bears this Thursday, with a modest over/under at 44.5.

The home Commanders have a 25.25 implied team total and let’s roll with their top receiver, McLaurin, for a touchdown this week.

McLaurin comes in with a 19.8% target share and 26.2% air yard share, both of which are the highest on the team. This has led to a total of 26 targets, 21 receptions, 212 receiving yards, and a single touchdown which came in Week 2.

However, through four games, McLaurin has a 0.0% red zone target share. Yup, he’s yet to be targeted in the red zone.

Ultimately, it’s only four weeks and I’m not overly worried since last year he held a team-high 19.1% red zone target share. McLaurin is the best wide receiver on the Commanders, and a bit of offensive inefficiency and small sample size could be to blame this season.

When it comes to the Bears’ defense, they have not been good to start the season and are currently allowing the fourth-most yards per game (267.8) and the second-most yards per pass attempt (8.4).

Washington should be able to move the ball via the passing game, putting McLaurin in a favorable spot to find the end zone this week.

Justin Fields Over 189.5 Passing Yards (-114)

The Bears’ offense can be a bit all over the place at times, but Justin Fields’ passing is their best option to move the ball.

On the season, the Bears have a total of 476 rushing yards through four games, which is the 13th most in the league. At face value, that seems decent, but in reality, they are horrible at running the ball.

Justin Fields has 134 rushing yards this season, so if we remove his rushing total from the team’s total, the Bears have a total of 342 rushing yards. That is good for the sixth-lowest in the league, meaning they can’t actually run the ball effectively.

I say all of that about their rushing offense to paint the picture of their offense and what actually works best, which isn’t running the ball.

Giving the ball to Fields and letting him throw is what’s best for their offense and that should be the focus this week. The Commanders’ defense has allowed 977 passing yards this season or 244.3 yards per game.

Fields has crossed this 189.5-yard mark in three of the four games this season, highlighted by 335 yards last week.

Do I expect him to hit 300 passing yards again? No, but with the Bears as 5.5-point underdogs, they should be in a pass-heavy game script, allowing Fields to rack up yards through the air.

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Brian Robinson Over 65.5 Rushing yards (-114)

Finally, over 65.5 rushing yards for Brian Robinson of the Washington Commanders.

While the Commanders have a bit of a split snap share between Brian Robinson (52.0%) and Antonio Gibson (44.9%), it’s clear Robinson is the main rushing option.

Through four games, Robinson has 61 rushing attempts to only 13 for Gibson. If the Commanders are running the ball, Robinson is going to be the one they turn to, full stop.

This has led to Robinson exceeding this 65.5-yard mark in two of four outings this season and falling just short in Week 1 with 59 yards. Robinson also does so somewhat effectively with 4.3 yards per attempt, which is the 18th-best in the league among running backs.

He’s not in elite territory but that is certainly very solid and it should be on display against the Bears, who have allowed the 11th most (384) rushing yards to running backs this season.

The Commanders are 5.5-point favorites, which should have them playing from ahead and in a spot to run the ball and control the clock.

numberFire’s projections have Robinson going for 76.3 rushing yards, which has him hitting the over on this prop.

— Tom Vecchio

Bears vs. Commanders Prediction: NFL Week 4

The numberFire projections model gives the Commanders a significant 65% win probability on Thursday night.

A spread of 6 points and a total of 44.5 implies a final score of approximately 25.25-19.25.

Bears vs. Commanders prediction based on numberFire projection

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]]> Bears vs. Commanders Prediction, Odds & Prop Bets: NFL Week 4 %%page%% %%sep%% %%sitename%% Get ready for TNF with three prop bets to know in this week's clash, plus a Bears vs. Commanders prediction, from our friends at FanDuel. betting,Chicago Bears,FanDuel,FanDuel Sportsbook,football,Justin Fields,NFL,Washington Commanders,bears vs. commanders prediction Loading image-1 Giants vs. Seahawks Week 4: Who’s Got the Oddsmakers’ Edge on MNF? https://boardroom.tv/giants-vs-seahawks-prediction-odds-nfl-week-4/ Mon, 02 Oct 2023 17:26:30 +0000 https://boardroom.tv/?p=78721 Get set for Week 4's capper with a big Seahawks vs. Giants prediction, plus the latest odds and betting insights from our friends at FanDuel.

The post Giants vs. Seahawks Week 4: Who’s Got the Oddsmakers’ Edge on MNF? appeared first on Boardroom.

]]> This article originally appeared at FanDuel Research

Get set for Week 4’s capper with a big Seahawks vs. Giants prediction, plus the latest odds and betting insights from our friends at FanDuel.

The Seattle Seahawks will visit the New York Giants for a Monday night primetime game and look to remain undefeated at the Giant’s MetLife Stadium.

A close spread and fairly high projected game total should prove for this to be a competitive matchup. The game kicks off at 8:15 p.m EST and can be seen on ABC and ESPN.

The Giants entered the season with a somewhat sunny outlook. New York’s pre-season projected win total stood at 7.5, while their odds to make the playoffs came in at a solid +184. However, after putting up a goose egg against the Dallas Cowboys in Week 1 (40-0 final score) and showing less than impressive qualities on both the offensive and defensive end, their playoff hopes look quite gloomy.

As it stands, the Giants are projected to win 6.5 games, and their playoff odds have collapsed to +410. Menacing away games against the AFC-powerhouse Miami Dolphins and Buffalo Bills are imminent for the G-Men, meaning a win at home tonight is necessary to keep them alive in any form of postseason talks.

The Seahawks’ projected preseason win total (8.5) has stood pat going into Week 4, but their playoff odds have taken a bit of a hit, going from -122 to +128 through three games.

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However, we can’t exactly pin this on Seattle’s performance, considering they have the disadvantage of going up against current Super Bowl-favorite and undefeated San Francisco 49ers for the NFC West division title. With a win tonight, Seattle could further hoist themself into the playoffs realm — even if their path will likely come at the hands of an NFC Wild Card game.

Let’s lock in for Monday Night Football with the latest odds and betting insights from FanDuel, plus a big Giants vs. Seahawks prediction.

Seattle Seahawks vs. New York Giants Odds, Spread, Total & Moneyline

All NFL odds via FanDuel Sportsbook. Lines may change after this article is published.

  • Spread: Seahawks -1.5 (-112)
  • Total: 47.5
  • Moneyline: Giants +114 / Seahawks -134

Seahawks at Giants Week 4 Matchup Analysis

Despite the Seahawks only being favored by a point and a half, the numbers show that they have the clear upper hand in this matchup. According to numberFire’s nERD-based power rankings, Seattle enters the night with a middle-of-the-pack rank of 16th while New York sits far behind in the 30th spot.

Geno Smith has solidified himself as the preferred signal caller over Daniel Jones, though Jones’ numbers are undoubtedly impacted by that Week 1 rout at the hands of Dallas — as well as the lack of offensive weapons readily available with Saquon Barkley in limbo. Smith comes into Week 3 with the NFL’s fifth-best QB rating and seventh-highest expected points added among starting quarterbacks. Jones, meanwhile, trails far behind in this regard, suffering from the 21st-worst quarterback ranking and 25th-least expected points added.

Seattle and New York’s Venn diagram seem to intersect on the defensive end with both teams putting up poor efforts thus far. According to numberFire’s power rankings, the Seahawks’ defense ranks 25th, while the Giants rank 27th. Seattle comes into Week 4 with the 29th-worst ranked pass defense and 26th-ranked Adjusted Defensive Net Expected Points (NEP) per play, while New York ranks 27th and 30th, respectively, in this regard.

Given these numbers, we could be in for a bit of a shootout tonight, but it remains to be seen whether this is possible for Jones and the Giants.

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The Giants’ receivers have, essentially, been rendered useless this season. In two out of three games, a Giant receiver has failed to eclipse over 36 receiving yards. Though offseason tight-end addition Darren Waller has been a tolerable offensive target, the fact that he leads the team in target market share speaks volumes.

It certainly doesn’t help that New York’s stud running back Barkley is listed as doubtful, making it even more imperative that a receiver steps up to the plate tonight. Seattle’s bottom-of-the-barrel pass defense ranking should aid in Jones getting things going early for his receivers, but make no mistake, the only way the Giants can stay in this game is if they see improvements from their offensive targets.

The Seahawks seem to be the more likely benefactor of these two teams’ defensive shortcomings. They have the best running back on the field in Kenneth Walker III, and Smith boasts receiving targets such as DK Metcalf and Tyler Lockett. Metcalf was originally listed as questionable for this game and failed to practice last Thursday but has since been labeled as not carrying an injury designation. Seattle is 5-0 in their history at MetLife Stadium (including three wins against the Giants) and should be primed to continue this streak tonight.

Week 4 Seahawks vs. Giants Prop Bets

Kenneth Walker III Over 64.5 Rushing Yards (-114)

Simply put, the Giants don’t know how to handle stud running backs. Not only are they ranked 21st in rush defense, but they have also given up sizable yardage to starting running backs in each game this season, including 70 rushing yards to Tony Pollard of the Cowboys, 85 rushing yards to San Francisco’s Christian McCaffrey, and 106 rushing yards to Arizona’s James Conner.

Enter Seattle running back Kenneth Walker III, who is averaging 68 rushing yards per game coming into Week 4.

Not only does Walker boast the advantage of a weak defensive competition, but he also has seen a decent lack of carry competition. Second-string running back Zach Charbonnet has clocked in a total of 16 carries through three games, and given the close-natured expectation of this game, we can expect Walker to continue his monopolization of the Seattle run game.

There is a clear correlation between Walker’s performance and the rank of the rush defense he opposes. He rushed for 43 yards against the Detroit Lions (11th-ranked rush defense), 64 yards against the Los Angeles Rams (20th), and 97 yards against the Carolina Panthers (30th). Given the Giants’ status as a bottom-ranked rush defense, we can likely expect Walker to continue his trend of stomping on weak opponents.

The numberFire model anticipates Walker to rush for 71.44 yards tonight, leaving a nice chunk of wiggle room between expected yards and the line for this prop.

Matt Breida Under 47.5 Rushing Yards (-114)

Despite Barkley’s expected absence for this game, I wouldn’t rely on any of the other New York running backs to pick up the slack.

Matt Breida has been a less-than-impressive run game option, rushing for a total of 31 yards on seven carries this season. He was a non-factor in last week’s game against the 49ers, and it seems unlikely that head coach Brian Daboll will turn to him in a major way tonight. In fact, we’ve already seen third-string running back Gary Brightwell get some play time, matching Breida with four carries last Thursday.

The Giants’ run game comes in against their stiffest rush defense competition yet. Despite Seattle’s overall defensive struggles, these weak spots have predominantly come in the passing game. The Seahawks are ranked 12th in rush defense while the Giants’ previous competition this season trails behind in this regard (49ers ranked 19th; Cowboys, 22nd; Arizona Cardinals, 28th).

If Breida failed to perform against weak rush defense teams, I don’t foresee him being a star in this game. Further, the Giants will likely look to exploit the Seahawks’ weak pass defense, which, in turn, will see to that Breida’s prioritization plummets.

Parris Campbell Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+600)

Predicting which New York Giant receiver will perform big is a bit of crapshoot at the moment, but stay with me on this one.

Offseason wide receiver addition Parris Campbell has stood in the same underperforming line as the rest of the Giants’ offensive targets, but the numbers show he could be primed to see the endzone tonight.

Campbell posts a 64.3% route rate and 16.7% target market share (third in both behind Darren Waller and Darius Slayton) and has seen an increase in receptions and yardage with each game this season, proving he will at least be a solid target option for Daniel Jones.

More than this, Campbell leads the Giants in red zone target market share at 33.3%. This, plus the fact that the Seahawks come in with the 29th-worst pass defense rating, emphasizes that if there is one game where the Jones-Campbell connection could work, it is this one.

Given Seattle’s pass defense woes, and the lack of running options for the Giants, we can reasonably expect New York’s receivers to get some decent looks tonight. Campbell’s numbers show he is a viable option for Jones, and arguably the best-value touchdown prop on the board tonight at +600.

— Annie Nader

Giants vs. Seahawks Prediction: NFL Week 4

The numberFire projection model lists a win probability slightly in Seattle’s favor on the road against the G-Men.

A spread of 1.5 points and an over/under of 47.5 total points implies a final score of approximately 24.5-23.

Week 4 Giants vs. Seahawks Prediction based on numberFire projection model
Week 4 Giants vs. Seahawks Prediction based on numberFire projection model

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]]> Giants vs. Seahawks Prediction, Odds & Prop Bets: NFL Week 4 %%page%% %%sep%% %%sitename%% Get set for Week 4's capper with a big Giants vs. Seahawks prediction, plus the latest odds and betting insights from our friends at FanDuel. FanDuel,FanDuel Sportsbook,football,New York Giants,NFL,Seattle Seahawks,sports betting,giants vs. seahawks prediction Loading image Chiefs vs. Jets Week 4: Where’s the Smart Money Going on Sunday Night Football? https://boardroom.tv/chiefs-vs-jets-prediction-odds-nfl-week-4/ Sat, 30 Sep 2023 13:00:00 +0000 https://boardroom.tv/?p=78636 Get set for this week's SNF nightcap with a big Jets vs. Chiefs prediction, plus the latest prop bets and insights from our friends at FanDuel.

The post Chiefs vs. Jets Week 4: Where’s the Smart Money Going on Sunday Night Football? appeared first on Boardroom.

]]> This article originally appeared at FanDuel Research

Get set for this week’s SNF nightcap with a big Jets vs. Chiefs prediction, plus the latest insights and *bespoke Taylor Swift-inspired prop bets* from our friends at FanDuel.

The Kansas City Chiefs, who come off back-to-back wins, look to extend their winning streak on the road against the New York Jets on Sunday Night Football.

Before the 2023 season, this matchup was circled on the SNF slate. Both teams were drawing Super Bowl buzz as contenders in the AFC. Then, disaster struck in New York.

Aaron Rodgers suffered a season-ending Achilles injury in Week 1, likely ending the Jets’ Super Bowl aspirations. Of course, you probably already knew that — unless you’re living under a rock.

Jets fans are now suffering through more Zach Wilson. Since their season-opening win over the Buffalo Bills, New York has lost back-to-back games, including a 20-point defeat in Week 2. The Chiefs are rolling into Week 4 following an imposing 41-10 win over the Chicago Bears.

Due to Rodgers’ injury, the point spread has ballooned to 9.5 with Kansas City tabbed as heavy favorites. FanDuel Sportsbook’s NFL odds have the Chiefs (2-1) priced at -405 on the moneyline. Can the Jets (1-2) make this primetime matchup competitive?

Let’s lock in for SNF with a big Chiefs vs. Jets prediction, plus the latest odds and betting insights from FanDuel.

Please note that betting lines and numberFire’s game projections may change throughout the day after this article is published. Also, the weather may be an issue in some locations.

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Week 4 Chiefs vs. Jets Odds, Spread, Total, and Moneyline

  • Spread: Chiefs -9.5 (-105)
  • Total: 41.5
  • Moneyline: Chiefs -405 / Jets +320

New York Jets vs. Kansas City Chiefs Matchup Analysis

A quick look at statistics immediately shows why Kansas City is a big-time favorite. According to numberFire’s nERD-based power rankings, the Chiefs are ranked 4th while the Jets are 21st.

There should be a long list of advantages for Kansas City, especially high-flying offense. Surely, New York’s passing defense should hold its own, right? The Jets boast a formidable cornerback duo in Sauce Gardner and DJ Reed. The unit ranked third in passing yards allowed per game last season.

New York’s secondary has come out of the gate stumbling. It is 17th in passing yards allowed per game and 27th in opponent completion percentage. This is reflected in numberFire’s pass defense rating where the Jets hold the 10th-worst unit. Of course, Patrick Mahomes leads another strong passing attack; Kansas City is fourth in scheduled-adjusted passing efficiency.

After witnessing the Chiefs’ dominant Week 3 win, New York’s defensive coordinator Jeff Ulbrich probably lost a lot of sleep this week. Join the club; Andy Reid’s offense creates endless nightmares for the opposition. The offense was firing on all cylinders against the Bears, totaling 456 yards and 41 points.

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Let’s Go

With Wilson leading the Jets’ offense, New York will be leaning on its defense just like last season. However, if Kansas City is poised for another impressive offensive showing, how can the Jets make this competitive? New York must control the clock, which starts and ends with the run game.

The Chiefs are numberFire’s 16th-best adjusted run defense, and New York comes in as its seventh-worst rushing offense. Neither team is exceptional in these areas. ESPN’s blocking win rates also provides us with good insight. The Jets are 26th in run-blocking win rate, and Kansas City is 30th in run-stuff win rate.

Kansas City’s star defensive tackle, Chris Jones, saw limited snaps last week and is questionable with a groin injury. If Jones cannot go, this would have a profound effect on New York’s ability to move the ball.

Ultimately, I like the Jets to cover the spread in Week 4. We know Breece Hall and Dalvin Cook are a talented running back duo. They could finally put up solid numbers against a mediocre run defense. Plus, numberFire’s game projection is suggesting a cover for New York.

Chiefs vs. Jets Prop Bets

All NFL odds via FanDuel Sportsbook. Lines may change after this article is published.

Travis Kelce Over 71.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

Travis Kelce already demands attention in NFL circles as the top tight end in football. He’s been drawing even more eyes over the last week after pop star Taylor Swift attended Kansas City’s Week 3 matchup against Chicago. Kelce showed out with T-Swift in attendance, posting 69 receiving yards and a touchdown.

Kelce saw his jersey sales soar by over 400%, while the telecast of the game set records across multiple demographics.

Swift is also expected to attend Sunday night’s game. Does this mean another solid showing for the KC All-Pro?

Travis Kelce & Taylor Swift: The Numbers Behind the Phenomenon
From digital footprint to merch to live event impact and beyond, let’s take a closer look at the economics of the two-time Super Bowl champ and the pop superstar.
Check it Out!

This is a great story for the NFL as more people are tuning into games. However, we can’t back a prop based on Swift attending a game. Let’s dig into the stats.

According to FanDuel Sportsbook, Kelce has a projected receiving total of 71.5 yards when looking at NFL props. numberFire’s DFS projections have Kelce’s total at 77.4 yards, suggesting the over for this prop.

Through two games, Kelce is averaging 8.5 targets per game and 5.5 receptions per game. He’s only averaging 8.6 yards per reception thus far compared to 12.2 yards per catch last season. The Jets are the fifth-worst team in tight end receiving yards allowed per game. This once again suggests a big day for Kelce — especially when New York is surrendering 10.6 yards per reception against tight ends.

I’m locked in on this standard over for Kelce, which translates to Kelce to Record 80+ Receiving Yards (+116), as well. However, FanDuel Sportsbook also has plenty of special Kelce markets for Sunday’s game, including:

Special WagerOdds
FriENDZONE: Kelce to NOT Score a TD+105
Top of the Charts: Kelce to Lead the Game in Receiving Yards+140
Seeing Red: Chiefs to Win by 22+ Points+380
Opening Act: Travis Kelce First TD Scorer+400
Running Away Together: Chiefs to Have 150+ Rushing Yards+420
Seemingly Ranch: Travis Kelce Last TD Scorer+500
Plot Twist: Zach Wilson to Have 300+ Passing Yards+1800
Platinum Performance: Travis Kelce to Score 3+ TDs+2500
Exes & 0s: NY Jets to Score Zero Total Points+3000

Breece Hall Over 50.5 Rushing Yards (-114)

As previously mentioned, New York will likely lean on the run as they attempt to keep the Chiefs’ offense off of the field. According to NFL’s Next Gen Stats, Wilson has been the worst passer in the NFL attempting at least 25 throws per game (-0.48 expected points added per dropback). The Jets must avoid Wilson shouldering the load at all costs.

Thanks to early deficits, the Jets rank 24th in carries per game. They must find a way to stay with the run on Sunday night. This bodes well for Breece Hall, who was shut down last week with 18 rushing yards on 1.5 yards per carry.

Fortunately, Hall has a more favorable matchup against Kansas City’s run defense. The New England Patriots — last week’s opponent — are rated 8th in numberFire’s rush defense ratings while the Chiefs are 16th.

Hall’s workload continues to be a mystery, though. Hall and Cook have been pretty much evenly split in touches and snaps. Cook has a snap share of 36.5% while Hall is at 38.4%. Hall is averaging 8.7 rushing attempts compared to Cook’s 8.3. Yet, Hall received only four attempts in Week 2.

Expect Hall and Cook to split carries yet again. In Week 3, Hall ran the rock 12 times. If he gets this kind of workload, the former Iowa State Cyclones tailback roll to the over. His efficiency has been exceptional at 5.9 yards per carry so far.

Among qualifying players, Hall leads the NFL in yards after contact per carry. I expect New York to utilize its running backs due to Wilson’s poor play. Give me Hall to go over.

In line with an over, numberFire’s projections have Hall expected to record 57.0 yards.

— Riley Thomas

Chiefs vs. Jets Prediction: NFL Week 4

The numberFire projection model lists a win probability strongly in the Chiefs’ favor on the road against the Jets.

A spread of 9.5 points and an over/under of 41.5 total points implies a final score of approximately 25.5-16.

Read More:

The post Chiefs vs. Jets Week 4: Where’s the Smart Money Going on Sunday Night Football? appeared first on Boardroom.

]]> Chiefs vs. Jets Prediction, Odds & Prop Bets: NFL Week 4 %%page%% %%sep%% %%sitename%% Get set for Sunday Night Football with a big Chiefs vs. Jets prediction, plus the latest prop bets and insights from our friends at FanDuel. Dalvin Cook,FanDuel,FanDuel Sportsbook,football,Jason Kelce,Kansas City Chiefs,New York Jets,NFL,Patrick Mahomes,Sauce Gardner,sports betting,Taylor Swift,chiefs vs. jets prediction Loading image-3 Canelo Alvarez vs. Jermell Charlo: Who Has the Betting Edge for Undisputed Gold? https://boardroom.tv/canelo-vs-charlo-prediction-odds-boxing/ Fri, 29 Sep 2023 18:08:18 +0000 https://boardroom.tv/?p=78614 This article originally appeared at FanDuel Research It’s on! Lock in for Saturday’s superfight in Vegas with a big Charlo vs. Canelo prediction, plus the latest odds and insights from our friends at FanDuel.

The post Canelo Alvarez vs. Jermell Charlo: Who Has the Betting Edge for Undisputed Gold? appeared first on Boardroom.

]]> This article originally appeared at FanDuel Research

It’s on! Lock in for Saturday’s superfight in Vegas with a big Charlo vs. Canelo prediction, plus the latest odds and insights from our friends at FanDuel.

The past few months of 2023 offered a slugging run of fights in the world of boxing. Yet, as with every year, the summer has to come to an end eventually.

For fight fans, the heat is still on through this Saturday, Sept. 30 when undisputed super middleweight champ Saúl “Canelo” Álvarez (59-2-2, 39 KO) battles Jermell “Iron Man” Charlo (35-1-1, 19 KO) at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas.

Álvarez’s IBF, WBA, WBC, and WBO world titles at 168 pounds will be on the line. He and Charlo serve as the main event for a 12-bout fight card.

With Mexican Independence Day taking place on Sept. 27, there will be no shortage of pride in Las Vegas this weekend. Canelo will be defending his undisputed status against Charlo (not to be confused with his twin brother Jermall Charlo, a world champ at 160 pounds), who is in action for the fourth time in just the past 17 months.

For all the latest betting odds and insights, how to watch, full card details, and a big Canelo vs. Charlo prediction, read on.

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Canelo Álvarez vs. Jermell Charlo Fight Odds

All Canelo-Charlo boxing odds via FanDuel Sportsbook.

Moneyline

  • Álvarez: -430
  • Charlo: +300

Round Total

  • 10.5 rounds (-330/+235)

Will Fight Go the Distance?

  • Yes: -240
  • No: +182

Method Of Victory

  • Canelo by Points or Decision: -120
  • Canelo by KO/TKO: +280
  • Draw: +1600
  • Charlo by Points or Decision: +480
  • Charlo by KO/TKO: +950

How To Watch Canelo vs. Charlo

Showtime owns the event’s broadcasting rights in the United States. The card will be available via pay-per-view for $84.99.

In the UK and Ireland, DAZN will live-stream the fight available as part of its monthly subscription service.

The card is slated to begin at 9 p.m. EST with main event ringwalks for Canelo-Charlo scheduled tentatively for 11 p.m. EST.

Fighter History

Saúl “Canelo” Álvarez

Arguably boxing’s most prevalent icon of the current era, Álvarez is the fighting national pride of El Tri. Simply, in Mexico, there is no sporting superstar bigger than Canelo. At the ripe age of 33, he is back in Vegas for his third time in 17 months; his June 2023 bout against John Ryder was south of the border.

It is not breaking news to claim Álvarez is a thoroughly impressive fighter. At 5-foot-8, he is built thick from the shoulders up, using elite neck strength for lighting-quick head movement in the ring. Simply, he is a defensive nightmare with equally as scary counter-punching abilities — the longer Charlo will need to watch his liver.

As pundits are quick to mention, Canelo has never been knocked out — or knocked down. After all, he has only suffered two career losses: one to undefeated Floyd Mayweather and the other to the much larger DmitriI Bivol, both via decision. When looking at the boxing odds on FanDuel Sportsbook, it makes sense that the “Will the Fight Go the Distance?” betting market has a longer price on “No” at +182.

Álvarez enters this weekend’s scrap with a 66.1% KO rate through 63 professional contests. The Ring magazine and Boxing Writers Association of America both have Canelo ranked as the No. 4 active pound-for-pound (P4P) boxer. On Saturday, he will hunt for his 60th win against the taller, slighter Charlo.

Vegas may be US soil, but expect the crowd out west to be heavily in favor of Canelo — especially considering September’s Mexican holiday.

Jermell Charlo

Moving up from junior middleweight, the Texas native Charlo — also age 33 — is back in the ring after a year and a half between bouts. We last saw Charlo fight in Carson, California, winning a rematch against Brian Castaño in emphatic fashion. The two previously fought to a draw 10 months prior, but a short left hook in the 10th round of the second meeting from Charlo put Castano down for the night.

On Christmas 2018, Charlo received his lone professional loss, suffering a unanimous decision to Tony “Superbad” Harrison in Brooklyn for the WBC super welterweight title. Still, Charlo was able to avenge the loss a year later, scoring a TKO victory over Harrison to reclaim the hardware. Again, the left hook was a winner for Charlo.

Charlo is not built quite as sturdily as Canelo, but the American challenger does hold a couple of physical advantages. Standing six feet tall, Charlo boasts a height advantage and a standing reach of 73 inches; for comparison, Álvarez’s reach is only measured at 70.5 inches.

Does “Iron Man” have the necessary core strength to go into deep water with Canelo? His camp certainly believes so. Charlo has critical recognition, as well. The Boxing Writers Association of America also has Jermell on its P4P rankings, showing up at No. 9. According to the Transnational Boxing Rankings Board, Charlo is currently 10th on the P4P list, while Canelo is No. 7.

— Gabriel Santiago

Canelo vs. Charlo Prediction

Combat sports platform Tapology’s community predictions back Álvarez to win by an overwhelming 92% of respondents.

Method of victory predictions break down thus:

  • 58.88% back Canelo by decision
  • 29.44% back Canelo by KO/TKO
  • 5.33% back Charlo by decision
  • 2.48% back Charlo by KO/TKO

Canelo Álvarez vs. Jermell Charlo Full Fight Card

  • MAIN EVENT: Saúl “Canelo” Álvarez vs. Jermell Charlo
    • Undisputed WBC, WBO, WBA and IBF super middleweight (168 lb.) championship
  • CO-MAIN EVENT: Jesus Ramos Jr. vs. Erickson Lubin
    • Light middleweight (154 lbs.)
  • Yordenis Ugas vs. Mario Barrios
    • For WBC interim welterweight (147 lb.) championship
  • Elijah Garcia vs. Armando Resendiz
    • Middleweight (160 lbs.)
  • Frank Sanchez vs. Scott Alexander
    • Heavyweight
  • Gabriel Valenzuela vs. Yeis Gabriel Solano
    • Super lightweight (140 lbs.)
  • Terrell Gausha vs. KeAndre Leatherwood
    • Middleweight
  • Oleksandr Gvozdyk vs. Isaac Rodrigues
    • Light heavyweight (175 lbs.)
  • Curmel Moton vs. Ezequiel Flores
    • Super featherweight (130 lbs.)
  • Justin Viloria vs. Angel Barrera
    • Super featherweight
  • Bek Nurmaganbet vs. Abimbola Osundairo
    • Super middleweight (168 lbs.)
  • Abilkhan Amankul vs. Joeshon James
    • Middleweight (160 lbs.)

Read More:

The post Canelo Alvarez vs. Jermell Charlo: Who Has the Betting Edge for Undisputed Gold? appeared first on Boardroom.

]]> Canelo vs. Charlo Prediction, Odds, Betting Insights & Fight Card %%page%% %%sep%% %%sitename%% It's on! Lock in for Saturday's superfight in Vegas with a big Canelo vs. Charlo prediction, plus the latest odds and insights from FanDuel. boxing,Canelo Alvarez,FanDuel,FanDuel Sportsbook,sports betting,canelo vs. charlo Loading Candace Parker, Jayson Tatum Join Kevin Durant in Backing League One Volleyball https://boardroom.tv/headline-to-go/09-28-2023-parker-tatum-durant-lovb-lillard-giannis-bucks-usher-tour/ Thu, 28 Sep 2023 13:00:00 +0000 https://boardroom.tv/?post_type=headline-to-go&p=78421 Candace Parker, Jayson Tatum Join Kevin Durant in Backing League One Volleyball League One Volleyball (LOVB), the largest brand in youth volleyball and the first professional full-season volleyball league in the US, has raised $35 million

The post Candace Parker, Jayson Tatum Join Kevin Durant in Backing League One Volleyball appeared first on Boardroom.

]]> Candace Parker, Jayson Tatum Join Kevin Durant in Backing League One Volleyball

League One Volleyball (LOVB), the largest brand in youth volleyball and the first professional full-season volleyball league in the US, has raised $35 million in Series B funding, it announced Wednesday. Some of the famous faces backing the firm are Olympic gold medalist Lindsey Vonn, two-time WNBA MVP Candace Parker and her daughter Lailaa Williams, Olympic volleyball gold medalist Jordyn Poulter, actress Amy Schumer, 1991 FIFA Women’s World Cup champion Amy Griffin, Fenway Sports Group Partner Linda Henry, and Boston Celtics star Jayson Tatum. This follows initial support from LOVB’s existing Series A investors like Kevin Durant and Rich Kleiman‘s Boardroom Sports Holdings and comedian Chelsea Handler, all of whom endorse LOVB’s special community-up ideology. LOVB will use the funding to strengthen both pro and club operations, hire more athletes, coaches, and trainers, build out its branding, and more.

Boardroom’s Vinciane Ngomsi has more details on LOVB’s latest multimillion-dollar funding group.

Damian Lillard to Join Giannis, Bucks in Reported Trade; Holiday & Ayton Also Moved

After 11 seasons with the Portland Trail Blazers, Damian Lillard is headed to the Midwest. The Trail Blazers agreed to trade the veteran guard to the Milwaukee Bucks in a three-team trade also involving the Phoenix Suns, ESPN’s Adrian Wojnarowski reported Wednesday. As part of the deal, Jrue Holiday, Deandre Ayton, and Toumani Camara are going to the Blazers, as well as the Bucks’ 2029 unprotected first-round pick and unprotected swap rights in 2028 and 2030. Meanwhile, the Suns land Jusuf Nurkić, Grayson Allen, Nassir Little, and Keon Johnson. Prior to the announcement, the Bucks’ odds of winning next year’s NBA Finals were at +600. Now, they stand at +360. In his first remarks post-trade, Lillard said he was “excited to get to work.”

Usher Reportedly Going on Global Tour Following 2024 Super Bowl Show

In addition to his new gig as the headline of the upcoming Super Bowl‘s halftime show, Usher‘s adding to an already busy 2024. The eight-time Grammy Award-winning musician plans to embark on a worldwide tour next year, Billboard reported on Wednesday. The official announcement is expected to come during his SBLVIII performance in February. The report also alleged that Usher‘s team has been placing holds on international arenas, further heightening suspicions of a global jaunt. The “My Way” singer hasn’t been on the road since The UR Experience Tour in 2015 but has been keeping audiences plenty entertained with his sold-out residency in Las Vegas.

WNBA Expansion Expected to Hit Bay Area with Help From Warriors

The Golden State Warriors have achieved monumental success in the Bay Area. And now, with the help of the seven-time NBA champions, the area is hoping to recreate the same magic with a women’s professional basketball team. The Athletic reported Tuesday that while a deal hasn’t been finalized yet, a WNBA team in the Bay is expected to soon. The team will also play at the Chase Center and will be operated by Golden State. The most recent WNBA franchise team is the Atlanta Dream, which began playing in 2008.

Colbert, Fallon, Meyers, Kimmel Shows to Return on Oct. 2 After WGA Strike Ends

The WGA strike is officially over, so when will your favorite shows make their returns to the screen? While it’s unclear for scripted programs, we do have insight into when late-night television will be back. CBS’s Stephen Colbert, NBC’s Jimmy Fallon and Seth Meyers, and ABC’s Jimmy Kimmel announced that their late-night shows will return on Monday, Oct. 2. For other late-night hosts, John Oliver‘s HBO late-night program will return on Sunday, Oct. 1, while Bill Maher said on X that his HBO show will be back Friday. To support their respective writers during the 148-day protest, Colbert, Fallon, Meyers, Kimmel, and Oliver hosted a joint Spotify podcast beginning in August called Strike Force Five — named after their personal text chain.

Boardroom’s D’Shonda Brown breaks down all the details of the WGA’s finalized deal.

Meta Unveils Updated Headsets in Quest to Become Metaverse-first Company

When Mark Zuckerberg addressed employees at the Meta Connect conference on Wednesday, the company’s CEO unveiled two new high-tech headsets: the AR/VR-powered Meta Quest 3 and the Ray-Ban Meta smart glasses. As it continues efforts to become a metaverse-first enterprise, the gadgets are reflective of the advances made to achieve those goals. Priced at $499, the Meta Quest 3 features a thinner design and sharper visuals compared to its predecessor. The $299 Ray-Ban Meta smart glasses debut with a new silhouette and upgraded cameras for better photo and video capture. The Quest 3 is available online and in brick-and-mortar stores on Oct. 10, while the glasses go on sale Oct. 17.

The post Candace Parker, Jayson Tatum Join Kevin Durant in Backing League One Volleyball appeared first on Boardroom.

]]> Packers vs. Lions Week 4: Who’s Got the Oddsmakers’ Edge on Thursday Night Football? https://boardroom.tv/packers-vs-lions-prediction-odds-props-nfl-week-4/ Wed, 27 Sep 2023 20:05:35 +0000 https://boardroom.tv/?p=78449 Lock in for NFL Week 4 with a big Lions vs. Packers prediction, plus the latest prop bets and insights from our friends at FanDuel.

The post Packers vs. Lions Week 4: Who’s Got the Oddsmakers’ Edge on Thursday Night Football? appeared first on Boardroom.

]]> This article originally appeared at FanDuel Research

Lock in for NFL Week 4 with a big Lions vs. Packers prediction, plus the latest prop bets and insights from our friends at FanDuel.

Player prop bets can be useful in a variety of ways — from taking advantage of them straight up to measuring a player’s potential to produce in daily fantasy football on FanDuel. Here, we’re going to focus on the former.

Utilizing numberFire’s projections as a guide, here are some NFL player props that look appealing as Monday Night Football heads to Raymond James Stadium, and stay tuned for a big Packers vs. Lions prediction.

Please note that betting lines and numberFire’s game projections may change throughout the day after this article is published. Also, the weather may be an issue in some locations.

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Amon-Ra St. Brown Any Time Touchdown (+145)

A classic NFC North rivalry starts Week 4 with the Detroit Lions visiting the Green Bay Packers.

This game features a tight 1.5-point spread in favor of the road Lions, and the clash has a modest 45.5-point total. Let’s jump right in with Amon-Ra St. Brown to score a touchdown this week.

ARSB is simply an elite wide receiver and comes in with the stats to back it up. He’s rocking a 28.9% target share, 30.8% air yards share, 8.3 average depth of target (aDOT), and 57.1% red zone target share. All of those are tops on the Lions outside of the aDOT, making him the clear number-one option in their passing offense.

He does all of that while playing on 87.3% of the snaps and running a route on 89.6% of dropbacks, which are both the highest on the team — surprise, surprise.

This has led to 27 targets, 21 receptions, 275 yards, and a single touchdown through the first three weeks. That touchdown came in Week 1, and he hasn’t been back in the end zone since.

While the Packers have allowed just two touchdowns to wide receivers this season, they haven’t been tested through the air too much given their matchups against the Chicago Bears, Atlanta Falcons, and New Orleans Saints.

The Lions have a 23.50 implied team total this week — slightly more than three touchdowns. If Detroit is set to score multiple touchdowns, ARSB is sure to be in the mix when they get to the scoring area thanks to his team-high 57.1% red zone target share.

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From Mahomes and Allen to Lamar, AR12, and beyond, find out who tops football’s salary honor roll this season.
Show Me the Money!

Jared Goff Under 253.5 Passing Yards (-114)

Next up, we’ll take a look at under 253.5 passing yards for the Lions’ quarterback, Jared Goff.

Goff is off to a solid start this season, but this doesn’t set up to be a favorable matchup for him.

As mentioned above, the Packers’ defense hasn’t really been tested too much in the passing game and has allowed just 657 passing yards — or 219 yards per game — this season. Take that with a slight grain of salt.

However, since arriving in Detroit in 2021, Goff’s home-road splits are rather noticeable and don’t paint a good picture for this week. In 2022, Goff averaged 274.7 passing yards per game at home and just 245.8 yards on the road. In 2021, it was 237.5 yards per game at home and 224.2 yards on the road.

The Packers have also had his number — holding him to an average of 180.5 yards per game in 2022 and 242.0 yards per game in 2021. This simply hasn’t been an easy matchup for Goff.

That will likely continue this week since the Packers’ defense comes in with 35 quarterback pressures through three games, which is the fifth-most in the league. If Goff doesn’t have much time to get the ball out, he probably won’t be racking up a ton of yards.

When it comes to the Lions’ offense overall, they come in with a 53.54% pass-play percentage, which is 23rd in the league. They aren’t throwing the ball at a high rate and continue to trust their running game each week.

That running game might be put on display considering that Lions head coach Dan Campbell was optimistic about running back David Montgomery returning to the lineup this week. The Packers’ defense has allowed 300 total rushing yards to opposing running backs thus far, which is the 11th-most in the league.

When we combine all of this, the easiest path to take for the Lions’ offense might be via the rushing game, which takes chances away from Goff to pile up the yards. Give me under 253.5 passing yards this week.

Romeo Doubs Under 39.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

The Packers’ offense could look a bit different this week, and it leads me to under 39.5 receiving yards for Romeo Doubs.

The big news coming into this week is that the Packers are expected to get two offensive playmakers back on the field.

The first is running back Aaron Jones, who missed the last two games due to a hamstring injury he suffered in Week 1. The second is wide receiver Christian Watson, who has yet to play this season due to a hamstring injury.

While Doubs comes in with a team-high 21.1% target share this season, that doesn’t tell the whole story. The injuries have led to an increased role this year, so let’s look back to last season.

In 2022, Doubs had a 15.7% target share, Watson had a 15.2% target share, and Jones had a 13.4% target share. Sure, Doubs still led this group, but it wasn’t as if he was leaps and bounds ahead of the other two. Doubs’ role might be secure, but it’s not massive by any stretch.

For the Lions’ defense, they’ve been super solid against wide receivers early on, surrendering only 375 total receiving yards, which is the sixth-fewest in the league.

Taking a non-stats view of things, it would make sense for the Packers and Jordan Love to focus on getting Watson and Jones fully worked into the offense. This should lead to less involvement for Doubs and help this bet to cash.

— Tom Vecchio

Packers vs. Lions Prediction: NFL Week 4

The numberFire projection model lists a win probability modestly in the Lions’ favor on the road against the Packers.

A spread of 1.5 points and an over/under of 45.5 total points implies a final score of approximately 23.5-22.

Packers vs. Lions prediction based on numberFire projection model

Read More:

The post Packers vs. Lions Week 4: Who’s Got the Oddsmakers’ Edge on Thursday Night Football? appeared first on Boardroom.

]]> Packers vs. Lions Prediction, Odds & Prop Bets: NFL Week 4 %%page%% %%sep%% %%sitename%% Lock in for Week 4 in the NFL with a big Packers vs. Lions prediction, plus the latest prop bets and insights from our friends at FanDuel. Amon Ra St. Brown,Detroit Lions,FanDuel,FanDuel Sportsbook,football,Green Bay Packers,Jared Goff,sports betting,packers vs. lions prediction Loading Screenshot-2023-09-27-at-3.48.56-PM Open Run: The Premier Lacrosse League’s Vision for North America’s Oldest Game https://boardroom.tv/pll-lacrosse-boardroom-open-run-next-generation/ Sat, 23 Sep 2023 16:00:00 +0000 https://boardroom.tv/?p=77934 As the Premier Lacrosse League caps its fifth season, Boardroom breaks down how it has disrupted the world of lacrosse and its vision for growing the sport. The Premier Lacrosse League caps its fifth

The post Open Run: The Premier Lacrosse League’s Vision for North America’s Oldest Game appeared first on Boardroom.

]]> As the Premier Lacrosse League caps its fifth season, Boardroom breaks down how it has disrupted the world of lacrosse and its vision for growing the sport.

The Premier Lacrosse League caps its fifth season at the PLL Cash App Championship in Philadelphia on Sept. 24. As the No. 1 Archers take on this No. 3 Waterdogs the season title is on the line, but it’s been a long line of wins for the emerging league all year long.

On Sept. 8, PLL linked up with Boardroom to host the first-ever NYC Street Lacrosse event. The clouds cleared, enabling a memorable day as hundreds of players from preteen to pro took over Kevin Durant‘s “Build it and They Will Ball” court at East Side Community School on East 12th Street in Manhattan. Together, they showcased a new, more accessible version of the game historically affiliated with stuffy, exclusive prep school traditions.

However, to PLL founder Paul Rabil, the first-ever open run harkened back to the sport’s native roots. “A lot of what we were trying to do here, which is to get the game back to its roots so anyone could play at any moment,” he told Boardroom.

A weather scare on the day in question only illuminated part of what makes the street game so special.

“It’s like it definitely shows the resiliency of the sport,” Rabil reflected. “Harlem, Bronx, Brooklyn, [the teams repping these boroughs are] used to playing on these surfaces. I’ve been at their practices and they play on handball courts, play on basketball courts. That’s why they’re turning shit up. They’re used to it, and it makes the pros play a little lighter.”

The open run event is just one way that Rabil and the PLL seek to take the game to the masses in building a top-tier sports and entertainment product. Since its inception, the Premier Lacrosse League has laid a new game plan for the oldest organized sport in North America, providing the game’s elite talent with resources and skills to help them thrive individually while also promoting the game to a new, highly engaged generation of fans.

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Running Outside the Box

Paul Rabil came up as a quintessential laxer. A Johns Hopkins standout, he rewrote the script regarding what was possible throughout his college and professional career. After graduating in 2008, where he took home a national title and nearly every individual honor available, he played in both Major League Lacrosse and the National Lacrosse League during his pro career before co-founding the PLL in 2018 with his brother, Mike, an entrepreneur and lax player himself.

Professional lacrosse was not a new concept. After nearly 20 years, however, the MLL still hadn’t gained the traction it desired due to lagging attendance and limited growth. To Rabil, part of the chronic issue facing the pro game was the fact that players were not involved in plans for its evolution. When he and his brother founded the Premier Lacrosse League, Paul utilized his own experiences to inform what he sought to build, creating pathways to ensure that players would be involved in its development at every step.

The Rabil brothers launched a funding campaign that attracted the likes of BSE Global’s Joe Tsai, The Kraft Group, the WWE, CAA, and Boardroom’s Kevin Durant and Rich Kleiman. Among his investors, Rabil sought individuals with a deep well of knowledge about building premium experiences across sports and entertainment — and a key to that success had to be continuing to grow both awareness and involvement in the sport.

More importantly, the group he amassed believed specifically in what the PLL aimed to build.

At the open run event, Kevin Durant captured what excited him the most about the PLL’s promise. “Man, I love the concept of sport. [The way it builds] character, discipline, and gets you up and out the house and active… I love what Paul is doing, so it’s good to empower the best of people like that.”

Moving ahead, the sustained excitement among the PLL’s investors is key to what makes Rabil so excited about the product he’s building. “[They] were ambitious around our goals: bringing lacrosse more into the community and try to limit the barriers to play the game.”

With these north stars guiding the way, the PLL has a game plan that will not only build an engaging, competitive league, but fundamentally change the DNA of the fastest game on two feet.

Building the PLL as a Premium Product

Despite his success on the field, Rabil had to hustle away from it in order to maintain a living while playing for minimal pay in Major League Lacrosse. He began experimenting with social media in an attempt to build his fanbase and spread the word of the sport — and to help him generate the extra cash he needed to get by. He was among the first pro athletes to build a YouTube channel and treat it like a second job as he increasingly experimented with fan engagement strategies across social media.

“When I started playing professional lacrosse, our games weren’t on TV. Social media just started. I was getting paid $8,000,” Rabil recalls. “I logged on to Facebook and signed up for an Instagram account. That was the way that I made my way, and sponsors saw it. They came over, and then I started learning more about social media and branding and marketing.”

He took these wins as a key part of the foundation for his new venture, and after just one year, the PLL became the first professional sports league to boast a full-time production house, content team, and digital app team under the same roof. Collectively, they created content alongside their players while empowering the athletes with the skills to do so themselves.

Today, the PLL is something of an accelerator for players’ personal brands. Two-time PLL All-Star Connor Farrell noted that these skill-building efforts by the league are a service that has panned out better than he and his fellow athletes could have anticipated.

Want to Learn More About the Roots of the PLL?
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Eyeing The Next Goal

Since its first face-off in 2019, the PLL’s growth has been impressive. In addition to its deep bench of big-name investors, the league has brokered a media rights with ESPN.

For Rabil, it’s still only the beginning.

The league’s future growth prioritizes seeking out untapped talent who currently play other sports around the country. Enhancing opportunities through street lacrosse and the open run-style pickup games is just one part of that.

The PLL’s 2022 MVP Trevor Baptiste agrees. “I think lacrosse is very grassroots by nature,” he said. “We need to do more of that stuff because we get more people to play the game because it’s such a special game and there can be more opportunity for everybody.”

Charlotte North — the top women’s player in the game — said she sees lacrosse as a combination of basketball, football, and hockey: a combination of stick work, speed, and finesse.

Notably, this crossover potential isn’t anything new. NFL legend Jim Brown made his mark as one of the greatest lacrosse players of all time, becoming an All-American at Syracuse; the PLL MVP trophy is named in his honor. New England Patriots head coach Bill Belichick, who played the sport during his high school and college days, often looks to lacrosse rosters to scout nontraditional football talent. After he spotted former Patriots and Bills receiver Chris Hogan on the Penn State team, the player went on to make significant contributions to two of New England’s Super Bowl titles. Hogan even played one season in the PLL following his NFL retirement.

But the NFL is only one potential talent pool. Several sporting superstars see things in a similar way, including KD, Stephen Curry, and many more.

In addition to the play itself, the business of the PLL continues to bloom. This summer, Rabil unveiled at Boardroom and CNBC’s Game Plan event that the league is entering a partnership with FanDuel. “We’re thinking about different ways to introduce people to the game. Forty-five million people bet on football every year trying to get a few of those people over,” he told Boardroom. “We see betting and fantasy as core to growing the interest in lacrosse and getting in front of people who haven’t seen it before.”

With new initiatives well underway, the future potential of the Premier Lacrosse League is limitless. Although removed from his days of scrappily using his personal platform to secure a sponsorship check, Rabil remains dogged in his mission to bring the sport that stole his heart to ever-higher levels.

“In the end, where I want lacrosse to be is on par with the big five sports.”

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]]> Loading Colorado vs. Oregon: Are Bettors Backing a Sanders Stunner? https://boardroom.tv/colorado-vs-oregon-prediction-odds-2023/ Thu, 21 Sep 2023 15:51:27 +0000 https://boardroom.tv/?p=78045 It's a Prime showdown in Eugune! Lock in for college football Week 4 with a big Oregon vs. Colorado prediction, plus the latest odds and insights from FanDuel.

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]]> This article originally appeared at FanDuel Research

It’s a Prime showdown in Eugene! Lock in for college football Week 4 with a big Oregon vs. Colorado prediction, plus the latest odds and insights from FanDuel.

College football’s Week 4 is where conference action floods the market.

Of this season’s most pleasant surprises, the Pac-12 — in its final campaign as currently constructed — has eight schools ranked in the AP Top 25 right now. For this upcoming Saturday, Deion Sanders and the No. 19 Colorado Buffaloes will visit the No. 10 Oregon Ducks. Expect fireworks on offense in Eugene.

Other noteworthy top-25 clashes around FBS this week include the No. 6 Ohio State Buckeyes making the short trip to South Bend where the No. 9 Notre Dame Fighting Irish await. For a bit of SEC action, the No. 13 Alabama Crimson Tide and No. 15 Ole Miss Rebels will meet in Tuscaloosa.

As a nightcap, I am intrigued to see how Caleb Williams and the No. 5 USC Trojans perform in their first road bid of the season; they head to Tempe this weekend to face the Arizona State Sun Devils.

Let’s dive into Saturday’s slate with a big Colorado vs. Oregon prediction and scope out the most valuable college football picks on the traditional betting markets.

Colorado vs. Oregon Prediction & Odds: College Football Week 4

All college football odds via FanDuel Sportsbook. Lines may change after this article is published.

  • Time: 3:30 p.m. EST
  • TV: ABC
  • Spread: ORE -21 (-106)
  • Moneyline: COLO +740/ORE -1250
  • Total: 70.5
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With a roller coaster 3-0 record, Coach Prime and Colorado have already produced plenty of noteworthy action this season. Still, they have yet to face a football team like the one currently fielded at the University of Oregon. The Ducks — who also enter conference play at 3-0 — are led by a dynamic quarterback of their own: Bo Nix. Will quarterback Shedeur Sanders be able to keep the Buffaloes up to speed without two-way star Travis Hunter?

Colorado was pushed to the limit by the Colorado State Rams last weekend. The Buffs emerged victorious after an incredible offensive drive to force overtime. In double OT, Colorado stifled the Rams for the 43-35 win, but the Buffs’ biggest loss came in the first half when CSU safety Henry Blackburn laid an illegal hit on Hunter. By halftime, it was announced that Hunter was en route to the hospital. With a lacerated liver, Hunter is expected to miss multiple weeks.

If you hadn’t noticed by now, Oregon’s offense has come out of the gate at full speed. Through three contests in 2023, the Fighting Ducks have produced a staggering 58.0 points per game — 2nd of 133 FBS institutions. Nix has done well to get four of his receivers over 100 yards already with Troy Franklin leading the way. Franklin has 292 yards and 3 scores so far. Also, tailback tandem Bucky Irving and Jordan James have been fierce, combining for eight touchdowns thus far.

Colorado vs. Oregon prediction graphic depicting the Ducks having a high chance to win based on amathematical projections model
Colorado vs. Oregon prediction based on numberFire’s projections model gives the Ducks a 98.6% chance to win at home against Colorado on Saturday.

Oregon vs. Colorado Best Bet: Oregon -21

I see Colorado’s first Pac-12 contest as a rude awakening. Through no fault of their own, the Buffaloes are tasked with starting conference play by taking on UO and USC — arguably the conference’s top two football schools — in consecutive weeks. After their slugfest with CSU, I think Colorado sputters without Hunter against Oregon.

The Ducks are 3-0 against the spread (ATS) so far this season. According to the CFB game projections on numberFire, Oregon is estimated to win by a score of 53.10-17.07 (-36.03), providing a confident cover. Considering this game is in Eugene rather than Boulder, I trust Oregon to pour on the points in their third home contest of the season.

@boardroom_ A prime example of Coach Prime’s ability to seize a prime opportunity. #deionsanders #gobuffs #collegefootball #coachprime ♬ original sound – Boardroom

Duke Blue Devils at UConn Huskies

  • Time: 3:30 p.m. EST
  • TV: CBSSN
  • Spread: DUKE -21.5 (-106)
  • Moneyline: DUKE -2500/CONN +1100
  • Total: 45.5

When the Duke Blue Devils and Connecticut Huskies get together, most sports fans likely first think of college basketball. Regardless, these two universities have made impressive improvements on the gridiron in the current era. At No. 18, Duke currently has their highest AP Top-25 ranking since 1994. On the other hand, UConn is continuing to grow under head coach Jim Mora.

The Blue Devils are thriving on offense right now with dual-threat quarterback Riley Leonard. They have churned out 36.0 points per game so far in 2023 while Leonard is averaging 8.3 yards per carry. Along with running back Jordan Waters, the two form a dynamic duo in Duke’s backfield. As a team, the Dukies are rushing the ball for 242.7 yards each contest. Simply, head coach Mike Elko has the program in a strong position.

UConn football has been a cellar-dweller for the majority of the current millennium. Keep in mind that the Huskies have competed in Division I-A since only 2000. To commence the action in 2023, Connecticut showed a resilient effort back in Week 1 before ultimately losing to the North Carolina State Wolfpack, 24-14. Since then, the Huskies have scored at least two touchdowns in every game but still find themselves winless in three tries this year.

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UConn vs. Duke Best Bet: Duke -21.5

Looking at ATS records, Duke is 2-1 while UConn is at 1-2. This meeting will be in East Hartford rather than Durham, so the Huskies will have that advantage but not much else. I mentioned the Blue Devils’ potent ground game in 2023, but their defense has been equally impressive this season, allowing just 9.3 points per contest. Duke held the Clemson Tigers (then ranked ninth) to only seven points in the opening week, so I am confident they can stifle Connecticut.

In 2023, this week will be Duke’s first road test. Additionally, this will be their final “cushy” game for a while. Next week, the Blue Devils host No. 9 Notre Dame before meeting with conference foe NC State. I think Duke flexes their muscles against UConn before tougher tests ahead.

In Week 4, numberFire’s college football projections have Duke winning by a score of 36.79-14.81. That estimation presents a cover of 21.89 points, and Duke has won by an average margin of 26.7 points this year. The Blue Devils will be the best side Connecticut has faced thus far in 2023, so give me Duke laying points.

USC Trojans at Arizona State Sun Devils

  • Time: 10:30 p.m. EST
  • TV: FOX
  • Spread: USC -35.5 (-105)
  • Moneyline: USC -10000/ASU +2400
  • Total: 61.5

Commencing the 2023 campaign, many had the Stanford Cardinal as the Pac-12’s worst football team. Well, I am confident in claiming that title should actually apply to Arizona State instead. As it is now, FanDuel Sportsbook has Stanford and ASU tied for the longest odds to win the conference (+50000).

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Of course, incoming Southern Cal is the cream of Pac-12 football. At the moment, the Trojans have propelled to fifth in the AP Top 25. This is USC’s highest ranking since prior to 2017 when Sam Darnold was under center. I can buy it, though. With reigning Heisman Trophy winner Caleb Williams at the helm these days, the Trojans have scored 59.3 points per game in 2023. That is currently the highest clip in all of FBS, and don’t expect it to stop this weekend in the desert.

Through three games, Williams has outputted a QBR of 91.9 (fourth-best in the nation) behind a dozen touchdown passes with no turnovers. If you’re wondering what his chances are of winning back-to-back Heismans, Williams currently leads the Heisman odds market at FanDuel Sportsbook with +350 odds.

For the Sun Devils, there have not been many positives on the gridiron in 2023. At 1-2 straight up, they are 0-3 ATS. When glancing at the power rankings on numberFire, Arizona State is way down at 125th (out of 133) with a -31.88 nERD. Who is ASU’s best player this season? At this point, wide receiver Elijhah Badger appears to be their most explosive offensive threat.

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Arizona State vs. USC Best Bet: USC -35.5 (-105)

I’m not sure if the Trojans can go all the way this season (USC currently shows a +1400 price in the CFP National Championship odds), but that train certainly will not halt Saturday night in Tempe. According to ESPN’s 2023 College Football Power index, Southern Cal has a 23.2 rating (5th) compared to Arizona State’s -11.5 (109th). In regards to ASU, that is the very worst score of any Power 5 institution right now.

Coming into 2023, Pro Football Focus had USC’s offensive line fifth in the nation at that position group. Three games in, that big offensive line has allowed Williams and the Trojan offense to seemingly operate at will. Sure, a -35.5 spread is rather daunting, but SC has aleady covered 37.5 against the Nevada Wolf Pack this year. In their most recent showing, the Trojans shellacked Stanford 56-10.

Facing a Sun Devils side that was just shutout against the Fresno State Bulldogs last week, I am — once again — all over Coach Riley’s Trojans. When I remember that ASU football currently has a metaphorical dark cloud looming overhead, my confidence is amplified.

— Gabriel Santiago

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]]> Colorado vs. Oregon Prediction, Odds & Best Bet 2023 %%page%% %%sep%% %%sitename%% Get set for college football Week 4 with a big Colorado vs. Oregon prediction, plus the latest odds and betting insights from FanDuel. Alabama Crimson Tide,Arizona State Sun Devils,College Football,Colorado Buffaloes,Deion Sanders,FanDuel,FanDuel Sportsbook,Notre Dame Fighting Irish,Ohio State Buckeyes,Ole Miss Rebels,Oregon Ducks,sports betting,USC Trojans,colorado vs. oregon prediction image Loading 49ers vs. Giants Week 3: Who Has the Oddsmakers’ Edge on TNF? https://boardroom.tv/49ers-vs-giants-prediction-odds-nfl-2023/ Wed, 20 Sep 2023 17:48:56 +0000 https://boardroom.tv/?p=78011 This article originally appeared at FanDuel Research Lock into Week 3 with a big Giants vs. 49ers prediction, plus the latest props and betting insights from our friends at FanDuel. Player props can be

The post 49ers vs. Giants Week 3: Who Has the Oddsmakers’ Edge on TNF? appeared first on Boardroom.

]]> This article originally appeared at FanDuel Research

Lock into Week 3 with a big Giants vs. 49ers prediction, plus the latest props and betting insights from our friends at FanDuel.

Player props can be useful in a variety of ways — from taking advantage of them straight up to measuring a player’s potential to produce in daily fantasy football on FanDuel. Here, we’re going to focus on the former.

Utilizing numberFire’s projections as a guide, here are some NFL player prop bets that look appealing.

Week 3 of the 2023 NFL season is here and we’re ready to kick off Thursday Night in the Bay Area! I’ll be bringing this article every Thursday along with a show on the “Covering the Spread” podcast feed to break things down.

Let’s lock in with a big 49ers vs. Giants prediction, plus the latest odds and prop betting insights from FanDuel.

Please note that betting lines and numberFire’s game projections may change throughout the day after this article is published. Also, the weather may be an issue in some locations.

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George Kittle Any Time Touchdown (+190)

The 49ers are healthy 10.0-point favorites with the over/under sitting at a modest 44.0 points. This gives the 49ers a 27.0 implied team total this week, a great indication we should see plenty of scoring from them.

Let’s turn to George Kittle for an any time touchdown this week, as this is a great matchup for him.

Kittle comes in with a 17.3% target share, 11.3% air yards share, 16.7% red zone target share, while playing on 80.8% of the snaps, and running a route on 72.4% of dropbacks. These are all relatively modest numbers in the grand scheme of things, but we should anticipate those numbers increasing as the weeks go on.

Looking back to last season after Brock Purdy took over the starting quarterback role, Kittle had a 19.9% target share and 27.6% red zone target share. That red zone target share was tied for the highest on the team alongside the always-elite Christian McCaffrey.

The Giants are middle-of-the-road against tight ends this season, allowing the 15th most (99) yards and no touchdowns. However, they haven’t faced a tight end with the skill or pedigree of Kittle.

While Kittle hasn’t had a big role this season, there’s no cause for concern as he is a trusted option in their offense — especially when it comes to the red zone.

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Darren Waller Over 48.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

Next up, let’s take a look at the tight end on the other side of this game, Darren Waller.

The big news for the Giants this week is the health status of running back Saquon Barkley, who was injured at the end of last week’s game against the Arizona Cardinals. The initial report stated that Barkley is week-to-week and should miss a few games. Barkley didn’t practice on Tuesday but Giants’ head coach, Brian Daboll suggested that Barkley could be a game-time decision.

While this could be some smoke and mirrors so as to not give away their game plan, we need to account for what the Giants’ offense would look like in Barkley’s absence.

The Giants are 10.0-point underdogs, which should put them in a passing game script, the expectation for any team in this spot. This should lead to some correlation for receiving yards overs and thus, points us to Waller.

Through two games, Waller actually leads the Giants with a 20.3% target share, with Barkley tied for the second-highest at 17.2%. Removing a high-target option such as Barkley should only be a benefit for Waller. Of course, not all of that usage will go to Waller, but the favorite target of Daniel Jones is sure to see a boost.

Waller also comes in with an 8.6 average depth of target (aDOT), which is very important and a key part of this prop. An 8.6 aDOT isn’t that far down the field and should play well into what I’m expecting from this game, so let me explain.

The 49ers’ defense is elite, this is not news to anyone. Through two games this year, they have accumulated 34 quarterback pressures, which leads the league. That’s been their calling card for a few seasons, and it has led to them only allowing a 6.9 aDOT from opposing quarterbacks this season.

What does this all mean?

The 49ers are going to bring the pressure, which is going to cause Daniel Jones to get rid of the ball quickly, where he won’t have time to look downfield for a pass. Who will be sitting right underneath for an easy completion? Darren Waller.

If Barkley is going to miss this game, Waller should be the safety net for Jones, who will be under pressure from the 49ers’ front seven. Easy completions and yards for Waller should allow him to hit the over on this prop.

Parris Campbell Under 29.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

Finally, under 29.5 receiving yards for the Giants‘ third-string wide receiver, Parris Campbell.

While the Giants are expected to be in a passing game script, there’s nothing that would suggest Campbell is in for a ton of production.

In the first two games, Campbell has a 15.6% target share and super low 3.7 aDOT, while playing on 65.9% of the snaps, and running a route on 75.3% of drop backs. This has led to a total of 10 targets, 5 receptions, and 23 receiving yards in two games.

That 65.9% snap rate is the third-highest among Giants’ wide receivers and generally isn’t on the field when the Giants are in two wide receiver sets. This isn’t a surprise, but players need to be on the field and play a ton of snaps to have a chance at racking up yards, which can’t be said about Campbell.

numberFire’s projections have Campbell going for 29.38 receiving yards, which has him hitting the under this week.

— Tom Vecchio

49ers vs. Giants Prediction: NFL Week 3

The numberFire projection model gives the Niners a 69.6% chance to win.

A spread of 10 points and a total of 44 at FanDuel Sportsbook implies a final score projection of approximately 27-17.

Click here for more numberFire NFL projections.

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]]> 49ers vs. Giants Prediction, Odds & Prop Bets: NFL Week 3 %%page%% %%sep%% %%sitename%% Lock in for Week 3 with a big 49ers vs. Giants prediction, plus the latest props and NFL betting insights from our friends at FanDuel. Darren Waller,FanDuel,FanDuel Sportsbook,George Kittle,New York Giants,San Francisco 49ers,sports betting,49ers vs. giants prediction Loading Steelers vs. Browns Week 2: Where is the Smart Money Going on Monday Night Football? https://boardroom.tv/steelers-vs-browns-prediction-odds-nfl-2023/ Mon, 18 Sep 2023 20:00:33 +0000 https://boardroom.tv/?p=77940 Get set for an AFC North showdown with a big Browns vs. Steelers prediction, plus the latest prop betting insights from our friends at FanDuel.

The post Steelers vs. Browns Week 2: Where is the Smart Money Going on Monday Night Football? appeared first on Boardroom.

]]> This article originally appeared at FanDuel Research. Click for predictions and betting insights for the other half of Week 2’s MNF doubleheader between the Panthers and Saints.

Get set for an AFC North showdown with a big Browns vs. Steelers prediction, plus the latest prop betting insights from our friends at FanDuel.

Player props can be useful in a variety of ways — from taking advantage of them straight up to measuring a player’s potential to produce in daily fantasy football on FanDuel. Here, we’re going to focus on the former.

Utilizing numberFire’s projections as a guide, here are some NFL player props bets that look appealing.

Let’s get into the best bets, plus a Steelers vs. Browns prediction.

Please note that betting lines and numberFire’s game projections may change throughout the day after this article is published. Also, the weather may be an issue in some locations.

Browns WR Elijah Moore Any Time Touchdown (+260)

The Cleveland Browns enter as 2.5-point road favorites to take on the Pittsburgh Steelers, with the total set at 38.5 points.

The second of the two Monday Night games gives us a classic AFC North rivalry where both teams are dealing with a few injuries.

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For the Browns, they are expected to be without their top wide receiver, Amari Cooper, who is dealing with a groin injury. His final status is yet to be determined, but even if he plays, a less than 100% receiver is never a spot that offers any safety.

This should lead to Elijah Moore stepping into the top receiver spot, and we’ll turn to him for an any time touchdown tonight.

For the Steelers’ defense, they got torched in Week 1 by the San Francisco 49ers‘ wide receivers, who went for 184 receiving yards and a pair of scores. A lackluster secondary should allow Moore to have a large impact tonight with extra usage.

In Week 1, Moore finished with a 24.1% target share, which was tied for the highest on the team with Cooper. Moore played on 62.9% of the snaps while running a route on 78.1% of drop-backs, both of which were higher than Cooper.

While Cooper is viewed as the top receiver for the Browns, Moore is seemingly challenging him for that spot, albeit in a one-game sample size.

Regardless, in the event Cooper doesn’t play, Moore should have a clear role in the Browns’ passing game tonight.

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Browns RB Nick Chubb OVER 18.5 Rushing Attempts (-102)

As noted above, Amari Cooper isn’t expected to play tonight, and that impacts the Browns’ play-calling plan.

While I like Moore for a touchdown, I expect the Browns to lean on the running game for the majority of their offense.

If the Browns are missing a top receiver in Cooper, passing the ball won’t be their first option, which leads to plenty of carries for Nick Chubb. Once they get to the red zone, that is where I expect Moore to play a large role as explained above.

In Week 1, the Browns had a 44.44% pass play percentage, which was the second-lowest in the league. A one-game sample is nothing to write home about, but this is par for the course when it comes to the Browns’ play-calling tendencies. They like to run the ball early and often.

In each of the last three seasons under head coach Kevin Stefanski, the Browns have finished in the top eight of the league or higher when it comes to rushing play percentage.

Chubb has been one of the most consistent running backs in the league over this stretch and didn’t waste any time in Week 1, where he picked up 18 carries for 106 yards. numberFire’s projections have Chubb going for 20.95 carries and 108.14 yards this week.

Given the health status of Amari Cooper, a run-first offense should be no surprise for the Browns, leading to a big night for Chubb.

Steelers WR George Pickens OVER 42.5 Receiving Yards (-110)

With Diontae Johnson out for the Steelers, they will need a pass-catcher to step up.

That leads us to George Pickens and over 42.5 receiving yards tonight.

Pickens is looking to build on a modest rookie season and got off to a decent start in Week 1, as he ended with seven targets, five receptions, 36 yards, and no scores.

Those are modest box score numbers, but what’s good to see is that he had a 15.6% target share, which was the second-highest on the team, along with a team-high 25.7% air yards share and 90.2% routes run on drop-backs.

Pickens did *a lot* within the Steelers’ offense, but it just didn’t translate to massive box score numbers. That’s totally fine because we know he is on the field a ton and is their primary downfield target.

numberFire’s projections have Pickens going for 4.65 receptions and 60.16 receiving yards. That is a strong differential and very much worth targeting tonight.

— Tom Vecchio

Steelers vs. Browns Prediction: NFL Week 2

The numberFire projection model gives the Browns a 53.3% chance to win.

A spread of 2.5 points and a total of 38.5 at FanDuel Sportsbook implies a final score projection of approximately 20.5-18.

Click here for more numberFire NFL projections.

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]]> Steelers vs. Browns Prediction, Odds & Prop Bets: NFL Week 2 %%page%% %%sep%% %%sitename%% Get set for Week 2's finale with a big Steelers vs. Browns prediction, plus the latest prop betting insights from our friends at FanDuel. Amari Cooper,Cleveland Browns,FanDuel,FanDuel Sportsbook,football,NFL,Nick Chubb,Pittsburgh Steelers,sports betting,steelers vs. browns prediction Loading